How will the Broncos fare in 2023 after a disappointing 2022 campaign. What changes have been made to improve their chances. Can Russell Wilson bounce back under new head coach Sean Payton. How will Denver compete in the tough AFC West division.
The Fall from Super Bowl Glory: Denver’s Recent Struggles
The Denver Broncos’ fall from grace since their Super Bowl 50 victory in 2016 has been dramatic. Once perched atop the NFL mountain, the team has endured a series of disappointing seasons, culminating in a dismal 5-12 record in 2022. This stark decline prompts an examination of the factors contributing to Denver’s struggles and the potential for a resurgence in 2023.
A Championship Legacy Fades
Denver’s Super Bowl 50 triumph, led by Peyton Manning, marked the pinnacle of the franchise’s success. However, the years following Manning’s retirement have been characterized by instability and underperformance. The team’s inability to find a suitable quarterback replacement has been a primary factor in their decline.
The Quarterback Conundrum
Since Manning’s departure, the Broncos have cycled through a series of quarterbacks, including Trevor Siemian, Paxton Lynch, Case Keenum, Joe Flacco, and Drew Lock. None managed to provide the stability and leadership necessary to maintain the team’s competitive edge. This revolving door at the most crucial position has significantly hampered the team’s offensive productivity and overall performance.
The Russell Wilson Experiment: A Rocky First Year
In a bold move to address their quarterback woes, the Broncos acquired Russell Wilson from the Seattle Seahawks in a blockbuster trade before the 2022 season. The acquisition of the Super Bowl-winning quarterback was expected to be the solution to Denver’s offensive struggles. However, Wilson’s first year in Denver was far from the success story many had anticipated.
Wilson’s Disappointing Debut
Russell Wilson’s 2022 season with the Broncos was arguably the worst of his career. He posted career-low numbers in several key categories:
- Completion percentage: 60.5%
- Touchdown passes: 16
- QBR: 35.1
These statistics paint a picture of a quarterback struggling to adapt to his new surroundings and failing to meet the lofty expectations set for him.
A Season to Forget
The nadir of Wilson’s first season in Denver came during a Week 5 loss to the Indianapolis Colts. In a game that epitomized the Broncos’ offensive woes, Denver managed just one field goal in a 12-9 overtime defeat. The home crowd’s frustrated booing of Wilson highlighted the growing discontent with the team’s performance.
Sean Payton’s Arrival: A New Hope for Denver
Following the disappointing 2022 season, the Broncos made a significant change in leadership, hiring Sean Payton as their new head coach. Payton’s arrival brings renewed optimism to Denver, given his track record of offensive success and quarterback development during his tenure with the New Orleans Saints.
Payton’s Offensive Expertise
Sean Payton is widely regarded as one of the NFL’s premier offensive minds. His ability to design creative, high-scoring offenses and maximize quarterback potential makes him an ideal fit for a Broncos team looking to resurrect its offensive prowess. Can Payton work his magic with Russell Wilson and transform Denver’s offense into a formidable unit?
Rebuilding Wilson’s Confidence
One of Payton’s primary tasks will be to rebuild Russell Wilson’s confidence and help him regain the form that made him a perennial Pro Bowler in Seattle. This process may involve tailoring the offensive scheme to better suit Wilson’s strengths, particularly his ability to make plays outside the pocket and deliver accurate deep passes.
Addressing Key Roster Concerns
While the quarterback position has been the focal point of Denver’s struggles, other areas of the roster require attention for the team to compete effectively in 2023.
Offensive Line Improvements
The Broncos’ offensive line was a significant weakness in 2022, ranking last in PFF’s final ratings. Providing better protection for Wilson is crucial for the offense to function at a high level. How will Denver address this issue through free agency and the draft?
Revitalizing the Ground Game
A strong running game can take pressure off the quarterback and open up opportunities in the passing game. With promising running back Javonte Williams recovering from an ACL tear, the Broncos must find ways to establish a consistent ground attack to complement their aerial assault.
Defensive Potential: A Silver Lining
While much of the focus has been on Denver’s offensive struggles, the team’s defense showed promise in 2022. Under defensive coordinator Ejiro Evero, the Broncos ranked 7th in points allowed, demonstrating the unit’s ability to keep the team competitive even when the offense faltered.
Key Defensive Playmakers
The Broncos boast several standout defenders who form the backbone of their defense:
- Safety Justin Simmons
- Cornerback Patrick Surtain II
- Edge rusher Bradley Chubb
These players, along with new additions like defensive tackle D.J. Jones and cornerback K’Waun Williams, give Denver a solid foundation on which to build a formidable defense.
Defensive Strategy for 2023
With a potentially elite defense in place, the Broncos may look to adopt a strategy where their defense buys time for the offense to find its footing. Can this approach help Denver remain competitive while Russell Wilson and the offense work to establish consistency under Sean Payton’s new system?
Navigating the Treacherous AFC West
Any discussion of the Broncos’ prospects for 2023 must consider the challenging landscape of the AFC West division. Denver faces a gauntlet of formidable opponents, making their path to success even more daunting.
Divisional Rivals
The AFC West boasts some of the most talented teams in the NFL:
- Kansas City Chiefs: Led by Patrick Mahomes, the Chiefs remain the division’s gold standard.
- Los Angeles Chargers: Justin Herbert’s continued development makes the Chargers a dangerous opponent.
- Las Vegas Raiders: With Josh McDaniels at the helm, the Raiders cannot be overlooked.
Facing these teams six times during the season, including four of their first five games, presents a significant challenge for the Broncos. How will Denver fare against this murderers’ row of opponents?
Early Season Momentum
Given the difficulty of their early-season schedule, a strong start will be crucial for the Broncos. Building momentum and confidence in the initial weeks could set the tone for the entire season. Conversely, early struggles could sow seeds of doubt and make it difficult for the team to recover.
Keys to Success in 2023
As the Broncos look to rebound from their disappointing 2022 campaign, several factors will be critical to their success in the upcoming season.
Russell Wilson’s Resurgence
The most crucial element for Denver’s success is a return to form for Russell Wilson. Can Sean Payton’s offensive system and coaching help Wilson rediscover the magic that made him one of the league’s top quarterbacks? Wilson’s ability to make plays both inside and outside the pocket, coupled with his deep-ball accuracy, must be harnessed effectively for the Broncos to compete at a high level.
Offensive Line Improvement
Upgrading the offensive line is paramount to Denver’s success. Better protection for Wilson will allow him more time to make reads and deliver accurate passes. Additionally, improved run blocking could help establish a more balanced offensive attack. How will the Broncos address this critical need through free agency and the draft?
Defensive Dominance
While the offense works to find its footing, the Broncos’ defense must continue to perform at a high level. Can the unit build on its solid 2022 showing and potentially become one of the league’s elite defenses? Strong defensive play could keep Denver competitive in games while the offense develops consistency.
Adapting to Payton’s System
The implementation of Sean Payton’s offensive system will be a process that requires time and patience. How quickly can the Broncos’ players, particularly Russell Wilson, adapt to the new schemes and play-calling? The speed of this adaptation could determine the team’s early-season success and set the tone for the year.
Realistic Expectations for the 2023 Broncos
As Denver enters the 2023 season, fans and analysts alike are curious about what realistic expectations should be for this team in transition. While the addition of Sean Payton and the potential for Russell Wilson to bounce back provide reasons for optimism, the Broncos face significant challenges in a highly competitive division.
Potential Outcomes
Several scenarios could unfold for the Broncos in 2023:
- Best-case scenario: Wilson thrives under Payton’s tutelage, the offensive line improves dramatically, and the defense reaches elite status, propelling Denver to a playoff berth.
- Middle-ground scenario: The team shows improvement but struggles with consistency, finishing around .500 and narrowly missing the playoffs.
- Worst-case scenario: Wilson continues to struggle, the offensive line remains a weakness, and the team fails to compete effectively in the tough AFC West, resulting in another losing season.
Measuring Success
Given the Broncos’ recent struggles, success in 2023 may not necessarily be measured solely by wins and losses. Key indicators of progress could include:
- Improved offensive efficiency and scoring
- Russell Wilson’s statistical improvement
- Continued strong defensive performance
- Competitive games against division rivals
- Development of young players
While a playoff appearance would certainly be welcomed, Broncos fans may need to exercise patience as the team undergoes its transformation under Sean Payton’s leadership.
Long-term Outlook: Building a Sustainable Contender
As the Broncos navigate the 2023 season, it’s important to consider the long-term vision for the franchise. Sean Payton’s hiring suggests a commitment to building a sustainable contender rather than seeking a quick fix.
Developing Young Talent
One key aspect of long-term success is the development of young players. The Broncos have several promising young talents, including cornerback Patrick Surtain II and wide receiver Jerry Jeudy. How will Payton and his staff nurture these players and integrate them into the team’s long-term plans?
Salary Cap Management
With Russell Wilson’s large contract on the books, effective salary cap management will be crucial for the Broncos. Can GM George Paton navigate the financial challenges of building a competitive roster while maintaining flexibility for future seasons?
Establishing a Winning Culture
Perhaps the most important long-term goal for the Broncos is re-establishing the winning culture that defined the franchise during its Super Bowl years. This process involves more than just on-field performance; it requires a shift in mindset throughout the organization. Can Sean Payton instill the discipline, work ethic, and winning mentality necessary to return the Broncos to the NFL’s elite?
As the 2023 season approaches, the Denver Broncos stand at a crossroads. The combination of Russell Wilson’s potential resurgence under Sean Payton’s guidance and a promising defense offers hope for a turnaround. However, the challenges of a competitive division and the need for significant improvement in key areas mean that success is far from guaranteed. Broncos fans should approach the upcoming season with cautious optimism, understanding that while immediate success would be welcome, the true measure of progress may lie in the foundation laid for future seasons. The Rocky Mountain franchise faces a steep climb back to NFL prominence, but with the right leadership and player development, the view from the top could once again be within reach.
Introduction – Set the stage for Denver’s struggles since 2015 Super Bowl win
It’s hard to believe that it was only seven years ago that the Denver Broncos were on top of the NFL world. Peyton Manning rode off into the sunset with a storybook ending after leading the team to a 24-10 Super Bowl 50 victory over the Carolina Panthers. It marked the franchise’s third championship and first in 17 years.
How quickly things have changed for the Broncos since then. The past six seasons have been marked by instability at quarterback, coaching changes, and a significant regression that bottomed out with a disappointing 5-12 record in 2022. So what has led to Denver’s dramatic slides in recent years and is there hope on the horizon for them to recapture their winning ways?
QB carousel yields no long-term answer
The most glaring issue for the Broncos has been their inability to find a true successor for Manning. After he retired, they rotated through Trevor Siemian, Paxton Lynch, Case Keenum and Joe Flacco but none provided a real solution. There was initial optimism that Drew Lock could be the guy after a promising 4-1 finish to his rookie 2019 season. But the bottom fell out quickly as he posted a 8-10 record the next two years.
Some thought the trade for veteran Teddy Bridgewater would push Lock but it only sparked an underwhelming QB competition. When both struggled in 2021, it was clear Denver still had a major problem under center. That prompted the blockbuster trade to acquire Russell Wilson from Seattle last offseason.
Wilson deal backfires in nightmare 2022
Landing a proven elite QB like Wilson seemed like the perfect antidote to years of instability. But the Broncos’ 2022 season quickly went off the rails, with many pointing the finger at their new offensive leader. Wilson posted career worsts in completion percentage (60.5%), touchdowns (16) and QBR (35.1).
The nadir came in an ugly 12-9 overtime loss to the Indianapolis Colts in October. Denver’s offense could muster just one field goal as Wilson was booed by the home crowd. That defeat sparked an ignominious five-game skid that tanked any playoff hopes.
In the end, Denver’s league-worst offense doomed them to a last place finish as Wilson clearly looked like a poor fit. Now the pressure is on new coach Nathaniel Hackett to get the 33-year-old QB back on track in 2023.
Can Hackett, Russell recapture magic?
Considering Wilson’s high football IQ and Hackett’s background as an offensive coordinator, there is hope the partnership can flourish. Hackett built his reputation working under Matt LaFleur in Green Bay, where he helped Aaron Rodgers capture back-to-back MVPs. The Broncos are betting he can have similar success tailoring the offense to Wilson’s strengths.
One big focus will be improving the porous offensive line. Denver ranked dead last in PFF’s final 2022 ratings up front. No matter how talented a QB, he will struggle if facing constant pressure. So beefing up the protection through free agency and the draft is a top priority.
Denver also needs more from its run game after rushing champ Javonte Williams tore his ACL midseason. A solid ground attack would take pressure off Wilson as he looks to rediscover his elusive improvisational magic.
Stacked AFC West awaits
Of course, engineering a turnaround is easier said than done against the gauntlet of opponents in the AFC West. The Chiefs are still the class of the division as long as Patrick Mahomes is healthy. Justin Herbert makes the Chargers a threat while the Raiders and new coach Josh McDaniels cannot be ignored.
Facing those daunting foes six times, including four of the first five games, means Denver must start strong under Wilson and Hackett. If the Broncos flounder again out of the gates, the seeds of doubt could take root early. The schedule is clearly a major hurdle to conquer.
Glimpse of hope on defense
While Russell Wilson garners the headlines, the Broncos quietly boast a defense with serious playmaking potential. Defensive coordinator Ejiro Evero maximized his unit’s strengths in 2022, ranking 7th in points allowed. Now GM George Paton has given him more talent to work with.
The additions of defensive tackle D.J. Jones and cornerback K’Waun Williams shore up weaknesses. Pair them with safety Justin Simmons, CB Patrick Surtain II and edge rusher Bradley Chubb, and Denver has the nucleus of an elite D.
If Wilson and the offense can just establish consistency, this group could help guide the Broncos back to contention. The defense buying time for the other side to gel may be the best formula for success.
The moment of truth arrives
Ultimately, Russell Wilson needs to perform closer to the lofty expectations that came with his blockbuster arrival. With a year under his belt in Denver, a coach committed to maximizing his strengths and a playoff-caliber defense, the table is set for a rebound.
But if Wilson’s struggles carry over and the Broncos bottom out again, it’s tough to envision them remaining committed to the marriage. The pressure is clearly on the veteran QB to deliver a reprieve from the frustrating slides of the last half decade.
Still, in an unpredictable league where worst-to-first turnarounds happen yearly, it would be premature to write off Denver just yet. With the opening kickoff of a pivotal 2023 season approaching, the Broncos have one more chance to prove their nightmarish 2022 was just a bump on the road back to glory.
QB carousel – Review of failed experiments with Trevor Siemian, Paxton Lynch, Case Keenum, Joe Flacco
The Denver Broncos have been on quite the quarterback carousel over the past several seasons, struggling to find stability and consistency at the game’s most important position. After Peyton Manning’s retirement following the 2015 Super Bowl victory, the Broncos have churned through quarterback after quarterback, with none being the long-term answer.
First up was Trevor Siemian, a 2015 7th round pick who was unexpectedly thrusted into the starting role in 2016. Siemian showed flashes of potential at times, using his big arm to push the ball downfield to weapons like Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders. However, he also struggled with injuries and consistency. Over 2 seasons as the primary starter, Siemian compiled a 13-11 record while throwing for over 5,600 yards, 30 touchdowns and 24 interceptions. Respectable numbers, but not good enough to solidify himself as the franchise QB.
Next on the carousel was Paxton Lynch, a first round pick in 2016 who the Broncos hoped would be their quarterback of the future. However, Lynch severely underwhelmed in limited opportunities over 2 seasons. He appeared in just 5 games, starting 4, and threw only 4 touchdowns to 4 interceptions. Lynch lacked awareness in the pocket and never looked comfortable running the offense. He was eventually released prior to 2018 after it became clear he was not the answer in Denver.
Looking for a quick fix, the Broncos signed veteran Case Keenum to a short-term deal in 2018. Keenum was coming off a surprising run to the NFC Championship game with the Vikings, and Denver hoped he could replicate that magic. While he led them to a 6-10 record while tossing 18 touchdowns and 15 interceptions, Keenum’s play was inconsistent and he was clearly just a stopgap option, not a long-term solution.
Finally, John Elway made another aggressive move in 2019, trading for longtime Ravens’ quarterback Joe Flacco. The former Super Bowl MVP was now 34 years old and well past his prime, but Elway hoped Flacco’s big arm and experience could stabilize the offense. However, Flacco struggled mightily, throwing just 6 touchdowns to 5 interceptions in 8 mediocre starts before being placed on injured reserve with a neck injury. He was released in the offseason, completing Denver’s ride on the veteran QB carousel.
This consistent churn at the quarterback position since Manning’s retirement is a major reason why the Broncos have not had a winning season over the past six years. They’ve rolled the dice on unproven youngsters, flashy veterans, and everything in between, but none have been the answer Denver so desperately needs. The franchise has experienced the pains of a repetitive quarterback carousel firsthand, failing to find stability since their Super Bowl glory days.
Will The Broncos Finally End Their Slide in 2023: Engaging Analysis of Denver’s Rocky Road Ahead
After 6 straight losing seasons, Broncos Country is understandably getting restless. This proud franchise with 3 Super Bowl titles has floundered in mediocrity since Peyton Manning retired, churning through quarterbacks and coaches while struggling to recapture their winning ways. But with a new ownership group set to take over in 2023, there is renewed hope in Denver that next season could finally be the turning point for this storied organization to return to glory.
The biggest question mark remains at quarterback. Russell Wilson was acquired last offseason with hopes he could provide stability and leadership at the position, but he had an up-and-down, injury-riddled 2022 campaign. Turning 34 next season, has Father Time caught up to Wilson? Or can the 9-time Pro Bowler bounce back in 2023 under new head coach Sean Payton’s leadership? The Broncos’ ceiling ultimately depends on Wilson rediscovering his elite form.
Speaking of Payton, he provides instant credibility and a winning pedigree to a Denver franchise that has lacked direction in recent years. His offensive creativity and brilliant play-calling could be just what this unit needs to finally thrive. However, Payton has been out of coaching for a year and it may take time to rebuild his rapport with players. Don’t expect a quick-fix turnaround in year one.
While the offense sputtered in 2022, the defense carried the team, finishing as a top 5 unit league-wide. Bradley Chubb and Baron Browning emerged as elite pass rushers, while Patrick Surtain II solidified himself as a shutdown corner. This young, ferocious defense will need to lead the charge again next season while the offense finds its footing.
The AFC West remains a gauntlet, with Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs firmly entrenched as divisional favorites. After acquiring Davante Adams last offseason, the Josh McDaniels led Raiders seem poised to take another step forward as well. And Justin Herbert makes the Chargers perennially dangerous. The road back to the top will not be easy for Denver.
But there is reason for optimism. New ownership with deep pockets provides more resources to build a contender. Sean Payton and Russell Wilson have track records of winning at the highest levels. And a young, tenacious defense on the rise gives the team an identity to rally around.
The climb back to relevance will be steep for the Broncos. But after 6 straight playoff-less seasons, Denver fans should still enter 2023 with hope. This sleeping giant of a franchise seems poised for an awakening. And with a few key breakthroughs, the Broncos could finally ride high once again next season.
Hope with Lock/Bridgewater – Initial optimism dashed by injuries and poor play
Entering 2021, the Broncos seemed to have two viable starting options at quarterback for the first time in years. Incumbent Drew Lock was coming off an up-and-down 2020, but showed flashes of talent. And newly acquired Teddy Bridgewater was a seasoned veteran with playoff experience. There was legitimate hope one of these two could solidify the position in Denver.
Lock entered training camp as the favorite after starting most of 2020. The former second round pick had excellent arm talent and mobility, with his aggressive gunslinger mentality leading to some big plays downfield. However, he struggled with turnover issues and consistency. Bridgewater provided a stark contrast as the quintessential game manager. Teddy minimized mistakes and got the ball out quick, but lacked the dynamic playmaking upside of Lock.
Both QBs split starting duties early in the season, creating an open competition. Ultimately, Bridgewater’s efficiency and careful style won out. He was named the starter in Week 6 after passing for 1,219 yards, 7 TDs and just 2 picks. Lock continued to flash potential in relief appearances, but his gunslinger mentality resulted in 6 interceptions to just 2 touchdowns.
Bridgewater provided stability early on, efficiently leading the Broncos to a promising 3-0 start. But his limitations soon became apparent. Denver’s offense was methodical but lacking in explosiveness. And when Teddy suffered a concerning concussion in Week 15, Lock was re-inserted into the lineup.
Hopes were high the talented young gunslinger could provide a spark down the stretch. However, Lock’s turnover issues continued as he threw just 2 touchdowns and 4 interceptions in the final 4 games, three of them losses. Neither QB staked a strong claim to the job long-term.
In the end, neither Lock nor Bridgewater moved the needle much for Denver’s offense. The Broncos finished 2021 ranked just 23rd in yards per game and tied for 18th in points per game. Neither quarterback finished with a passer rating above 90. Settling for mediocrity at the game’s most important position once again capped Denver’s ceiling.
Entering 2022 with two quarterbacks was supposed to provide real competition and optimism for Denver’s offense. But injuries and poor play dashed those hopes. It was another missed opportunity in the Broncos’ long quest to find a stable, consistent starter under center post-Manning.
Will The Broncos Finally End Their Slide in 2023: Engaging Analysis of Denver’s Rocky Road Ahead
The Denver Broncos have hit a rocky patch, missing the playoffs for 6 straight seasons since winning Super Bowl 50. This proud franchise has desperately tried to recapture that championship glory, churning through quarterbacks, coaches and schemes along the way. But the losing has taken a toll on both the fanbase and team morale.
With new ownership set to take over in 2023, many are wondering if next year will finally be the turnaround this team so desperately needs. Let’s take an in-depth look at the key factors that will determine if Denver can get back on track or if the struggles will continue.
The biggest X-factor remains Russell Wilson. Acquired last offseason as the savior under center, Wilson struggled mightily at times in 2022. Injuries clearly affected his mobility and comfort in the pocket. A full offseason to gel with the new coaches, scheme and receivers is essential. At age 34, Wilson needs a revitalization if he is to lead this team back to prominence.
New head coach Sean Payton provides instant credibility. One of the offensive masterminds in the game today, Payton should reenergize a talented but underachieving group. However, turning around losing locker room culture takes time. And will Payton’s intensity wear on players quickly if early results are disappointing?
While the offense sputtered, Denver’s ferocious young defense kept the team competitive, finishing top 5 in yards and points allowed. Bradley Chubb and Patrick Surtain II are superstars in the making. But this unit wore down late in 2022 after carrying the team. Maintaining that tenacity and high level all season is imperative.
The AFC West gauntlet continues to be a major obstacle. Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs remain the gold standard of both the division and conference. The Derek Carr led Raiders and Justin Herbert’s Chargers are on the rise as well. Just competing in the West will be a challenge for Denver.
In the end, returning to the postseason and playoff success requires everything coming together. Wilson must bounce back, Payton’s system needs time to click, the defense has to stay stout. And even then, the divisional competition is brutal. The road back to glory remains long and arduous for the Broncos.
But the talent and pedigree is in place. With smart management of the roster and cap space, and a reinvigorated culture under new leadership, the ingredients for a turnaround are all there. Broncos Country desperately hopes 2023 is finally the year this storied franchise gets back on track. The long-suffering fanbase deserves nothing less after years of frustration and losing seasons.
Enter Russell Wilson – Blockbuster trade looked to solidify QB but…
The Denver Broncos have been on a bit of a rollercoaster ride over the past several seasons. After winning Super Bowl 50 to cap off the 2015 season, the team has slid down the standings, missing the playoffs in each of the last six seasons. The 2022 campaign was more of the same, as Denver finished 5-12 anddwelling near the bottom of the AFC West.
In an effort to shake things up, the Broncos made a blockbuster trade last offseason to acquire quarterback Russell Wilson from the Seattle Seahawks. Wilson was expected to solidify the quarterback position and get Denver back to contending status after years of mediocre play from the likes of Trevor Siemian, Paxton Lynch, Case Keenum, Joe Flacco, Drew Lock, and Teddy Bridgewater.
Unfortunately, the Wilson trade did not have the intended effect in year one. While he put up decent numbers, throwing for 3,524 yards, 16 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions, Wilson missed time due to injury and never looked fully comfortable in head coach Nathaniel Hackett’s offense. The Broncos struggled to score points, averaging just 16.9 per game. That’s not going to cut it in today’s high-powered NFL.
Making matters worse, the Broncos mortgaged a significant part of their future to acquire Wilson, trading away multiple first and second round draft picks. So even with Wilson in the fold, Denver’s roster still has some significant holes, and they now lack premium picks to fill them.
A pivotal 2023 season awaits
All of this leads to a pivotal 2023 season in Denver. Wilson is now another year older, turning 35 this November. History suggests quarterbacks rarely improve significantly at that age. And with massive cap hits coming in future years, Wilson’s Denver tenure already looks shaky. The Broncos will be stuck with him for at least a couple more seasons, but this year may represent the last chance for Wilson and Denver to content while he remains the starter.
The question is, can the Broncos finally put the pieces together and make a run? Or will the struggles continue, perhaps leading to major changes in 2024 and beyond?
There are reasons for optimism. The offense could benefit from having a full offseason to implement Hackett’s scheme, and from the influx of talent like receiver Jerry Jeudy and running back Javonte Williams returning from injury. Mike Boone and Marlon Mack add depth to the backfield, and there are some intriguing rookie additions like tight end Greg Dulcich. The offensive line could take a step forward with the return of Garett Bolles and Quinn Meinerz from injury, and the addition of veteran center Graham Glasgow.
Meanwhile, the defense still has significant talent, led by star safety Justin Simmons, cornerback Pat Surtain II, and edge rushers Bradley Chubb and Randy Gregory. Rookie pass rusher Nik Bonitto could provide a spark as well. This group helped keep Denver in games last season despite the offensive struggles.
Of course, it’s one thing to have talented players at certain positions. Translating that into team success requires quality coaching, chemistry, execution, and intangibles. Hackett will need to prove he can effectively manage a team and put together a coherent, consistent offensive scheme. Wilson will need to re-establish himself as an elite quarterback and leader after a down year. And the defense can’t afford major injuries like the one Gregory suffered late last season.
Fierce AFC West competition
Even if Denver manages to put everything together, competing in the loaded AFC West presents a huge challenge. The Kansas City Chiefs have dominated the division for years, and now the Los Angeles Chargers and Las Vegas Raiders both look like contenders as well after making the playoffs last season.
Just squeaking into a Wild Card spot may be the ceiling for the Broncos in 2023 unless Wilson recaptures his prime form and the team greatly exceeds expectations. And if they stumble out of the gates again, major changes could come swiftly under the new ownership group led by CEO Greg Penner.
It’s hard to foresee Denver truly competing with the AFC’s elite teams like the Chiefs, Bills, and Bengals right now. But progress will be necessary in 2023 to instill confidence that Wilson can lead this team back to the postseason if provided with enough talent around him.
At minimum, the Broncos need to stabilize things this year, bouncing back to 8-9 wins and Wild Card contention. That would at least buy more time for Wilson and Hackett to show they can take the next step. Another losing season, however, would spell disaster and likely sweeping changes in Denver.
The Broncos’ loyal fanbase has grown restless after six straight futile campaigns. While expectations were tempered a bit after the coaching change and Wilson’s rocky first year, patience is wearing thin. It’s time for this franchise to get back on track.
Russell Wilson has the opportunity to accomplish something special in Denver if he can regain his prior form. But the window may be rapidly closing. How he and the team perform in 2023 will go a long way in determining the trajectory of the Broncos for years to come. It should make for fascinating viewing as the season unfolds.
2022 collapse – From playoff contenders to 5-12 with Wilson’s worst season
The Denver Broncos entered the 2022 NFL season with lofty expectations. After trading for star quarterback Russell Wilson in the offseason, the Broncos were seen as legitimate Super Bowl contenders. However, the season turned into a nightmare, as Denver limped to a disappointing 5-12 record.
So how did a team with so much talent and star power completely collapse and finish with one of the worst records in the NFL? There were a few key factors that led to Denver’s disastrous 2022 campaign.
Wilson’s Struggles
The main storyline of the Broncos’ 2022 season was the poor play of Russell Wilson. The 9-time Pro Bowler had by far the worst season of his career, throwing for only 16 touchdowns compared to 11 interceptions. Wilson’s passer rating of 84.4 was the lowest of his 11-year career.
Wilson struggled to adapt to head coach Nathaniel Hackett’s offense, which was predicated on quick passes and spreading the ball around. But Wilson held onto the ball too long, resulting in constant pressure and sacks. His connection with receivers was off, missing open targets for big plays downfield.
The Broncos acquired Wilson to be the missing piece for a championship run. But his turnover-prone, inconsistent play was a major reason for Denver’s offenses struggles in 2022.
Injuries to Key Players
Injuries decimated the Broncos, especially on the offensive side of the ball. Javonte Williams, Denver’s starting running back, suffered a season-ending knee injury in Week 4. The ground game never recovered, as veterans Melvin Gordon and Latavius Murray failed to make an impact.
The receiving corps was also banged up all year. Tim Patrick tore his ACL in training camp, Courtland Sutton missed time with injuries, and Jerry Jeudy never found a rhythm with Wilson. The lack of playmakers exacerbated Wilson’s difficulties in the passing game.
Injuries also plagued the offensive line. Left tackle Garett Bolles broke his leg in October, and replacement Calvin Anderson also suffered a knee injury. The constant shuffling up front led to poor protection for Wilson.
Nathaniel Hackett’s Struggles as Head Coach
First-year head coach Nathaniel Hackett received a large share of criticism for the Broncos’ failures in 2022. Hired for his offensive acumen, Hackett’s scheme clearly did not mesh with Wilson’s strengths. The offense was stagnant and predictable all season long.
Hackett also received heat for his poor game and clock management. The offense constantly had to rush to get plays off before the play clock expired. Denver burned timeouts early in halves, leaving them unable to stop the clock late in close games.
These gaffes cost the Broncos at least two wins. Hackett admitted his struggles and vowed to improve his gameday decisions. But his rocky rookie campaign raised doubts about whether he is the right coach to lead Denver forward.
Lackluster Defense
While not as big of an issue as the offense, Denver’s defense also underperformed in 2022. The Broncos had high expectations with star players like Justin Simmons, Patrick Surtain II, and Bradley Chubb leading the unit.
But the defense ranked in the bottom half of the NFL in points and yards allowed. Chubb managed just 5.5 sacks, as the pass rush lacked teeth all season. The run defense was gashed frequently, giving up big plays at inopportune times.
In the end, the defense could not consistently carry the lifeless offense. The Broncos’ struggles were team-wide in 2022.
What Needs to Change for the Broncos in 2023
After such a miserable 2022 campaign, big changes will be required in Denver this offseason to get the Broncos back on track. Here are some of the key areas that need to improve:
Get Russell Wilson Back on Track
The number one priority is fixing Russell Wilson. The Broncos mortgaged their future for the former Super Bowl champion, so he needs to play like it. Wilson and Hackett must work obsessively this offseason to get on the same page.
Denver may need to adapt the scheme more to Wilson’s improvisational style. More rollouts and deep shots could get him comfortable again. Wilson also simply needs to execute better and make smarter decisions with the football in 2023.
Improve the Offensive Line
Beefing up the offensive line is also essential after the unit’s disastrous 2022 performance. Bolles’ recovery is important, but he has ended three straight seasons on IR. The Broncos should look to free agency and the draft to add talent and depth up front.
Better line play will help create running lanes, give Wilson more time in the pocket, and open up the entire offense. It all starts up front.
Add Playmakers on Offense
Denver lacks true playmakers outside of Jerry Jeudy and Courtland Sutton. Adding some electric talent, whether at receiver, running back, or tight end, could work wonders for Wilson.
An explosive running back who can rip off big gains would bring much-needed balance. A reliable tight end over the middle would give Wilson an easy outlet. More speed on the outside would help create separation.
Infusing offensive talent must be a priority this offseason.
Retain Defensive Stars
While the defense underwhelmed, the Broncos still boast elite talents like Justin Simmons, Patrick Surtain II, and Bradley Chubb. Keeping this core intact should be a priority, especially with Chubb set to hit free agency.
Denver may have to let veterans like Kareem Jackson and Alex Singleton walk to free up cap space. But GM George Paton should look to extend Simmons and Surtain, while franchise tagging Chubb if needed.
Special Teams Improvements
Fixing special teams mistakes is an under-the-radar need for Denver. The Broncos lost multiple games in 2022 due to blunders in the third phase, from missed kicks to surrendered big returns.
Upgrading personnel and scheme on coverage units needs to be a point of emphasis. Reliable kicking is also a must after Brandon McManus’ down year.
The Road Ahead
The 2022 season was an unmitigated disaster for the Denver Broncos. But all hope is not lost for 2023 and beyond. With a few smart moves and better injury luck, Denver could quickly bounce back into playoff contention.
It starts with Russell Wilson returning to form as a top-tier NFL quarterback. He is too talented to struggle like he did last season. With improved offensive line play and added playmakers, the offense should take a big step forward.
Defensively, the Broncos have great building blocks in place. Keeping Bradley Chubb and extending Justin Simmons and Patrick Surtain II needs to be the priority.
If Nathaniel Hackett can show growth in Year 2, and avoid the game management blunders that plagued 2022, Denver could surprise people. It won’t be easy after last year’s disappointment, but the Broncos have the pieces to content in the wide-open AFC West.
The 2022 collapse was certainly a setback. But with smart offseason moves and better health, the Broncos can put their playoff drought in the rearview in 2023.
Coaching changes – Departures of Fangio and Shurmur, enter Hackett and Outten
The Denver Broncos underwent massive coaching changes heading into the 2022 season, parting ways with Vic Fangio and Pat Shurmur and bringing in Nathaniel Hackett and Justin Outten.
After three straight seasons without a playoff berth, the Broncos moved on from the Fangio era and aimed for a fresh start under Hackett. The young, offensive-minded coach was expected to modernize Denver’s attack and get the most out of new QB Russell Wilson.
Outten, a highly-regarded assistant coach, was brought in to oversee the offensive line and run game. The Broncos hoped this new staff could lead them back to contention.
Why Move on From Fangio and Shurmur?
Vic Fangio compiled a solid 19-30 record in three seasons as Broncos head coach. But late-game mistakes and lackluster offense ultimately doomed his tenure.
Fangio’s defenses consistently ranked among the NFL’s best. However, his conservative style and clock management struggles cost Denver numerous wins. The team’s offense also regressed under coordinator Pat Shurmur.
After finishing 2021 ranked 23rd in scoring offense and 16th in total yards, a change was made. The Broncos wanted an offense that matched their defensive level and felt Fangio and Shurmur weren’t the answer.
Hiring Nathaniel Hackett and Justin Outten
To replace Fangio, the Broncos zeroed in on Green Bay Packers offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett. Seen as a creative play-caller, Hackett helped guide Aaron Rodgers to back-to-back MVPs.
At just 43 years old, Hackett represented a shift to a younger, more innovative approach. His upbeat personality also contrasted the stoic Fangio.
Outten, regarded as a top coaching prospect, was hand-picked by Hackett to oversee the run game and offensive line. Outten played tackle at Syracuse and coached with Atlanta and Green Bay. His experience meshed well with Hackett’s vision.
Implementing a New Offensive System
Hackett aimed to implement an aggressive, contemporary offense that featured creativity and aggression. Lots of pre-snap motion and shifting was intended to create mismatches and openings.
The Broncos also planned to spread the field and utilize more three and four receiver sets. Getting speedy playmakers Jerry Jeudy, Courtland Sutton, and KJ Hamler in space was the goal.
In the run game, Outten planned to use wide zone concepts that allowed backs to find cutback lanes. A mix of inside power and outside stretches was expected to bring balance.
For Russell Wilson, the plan involved using his full skill-set. Bootlegs, rollouts, and deep play-action shots would allow Wilson to improvise and push the ball downfield.
Why the Changes Failed in 2022
Unfortunately for Denver, the coaching overhaul backfired dramatically in 2022. Several factors led to Hackett and Outten’s rough first seasons:
- Hackett’s scheme did not mesh well with Wilson’s strengths, leading to predictable play-calling and confusion.
- Injuries decimated the offense, especially the makeshift offensive line.
- Hackett struggled badly with game management and play-clock issues.
- The run game never found consistency under Outten.
- Communication issues and misconnected on key plays.
In the end, the Broncos offense completely derailed, plummeting to near the bottom of most NFL rankings. Hackett and Outten failed to translate their ideas into on-field production.
Evaluating Hackett and Outten for 2023
So after this failure, what should we expect from Hackett and Outten in Year 2?
Hackett deserves some criticism for the Broncos’ debacle in 2022. But most first-year coaches endure growing pains. With a year under his belt, perhaps Hackett can better tailor the offense to Wilson’s style.
The same goes for Justin Outten. Struggling with constant lineup changes up front, he never established a consistent ground attack. Outten deserves a chance to rebound as well.
Still, both coaches will be on the hot seat in 2023. Significant improvement must come for them to stay in Denver long-term.
Keys for Coaching Success in 2023
For the Broncos to bounce back in 2023, a few things are critical regarding Hackett and Outten:
- Hackett must refine his in-game decisions and clock management.
- The offense has to be tailored to Wilson’s improvisational skills.
- Better injury luck will lend more continuity to implement their vision.
- Outten needs to settle on a starting five up front and establish a downhill run game.
- Hackett and Wilson must be in sync on offensive tactics and strategy.
Showing flexibility and adapting their schemes to the personnel are vital as well. Hackett and Outten can’t be rigid if things go off script.
The Road Ahead
Year 1 was an abject failure for Nathaniel Hackett and Justin Outten in Denver. Their offensive system never got off the ground.
But wholesale coaching changes rarely solve problems in the NFL. Hackett and Outten deserve time to learn from their missteps and adjust.
With improved familiarity with the roster, some better injury luck, and adaptation to Wilson’s style, the Broncos coaches could show major growth in 2023.
However, the pressure will be sky-high. Anything short of offensive competency and competitiveness will likely cost them their jobs.
It’s a crucial year for Hackett and Outten. We’ll soon find out if the Broncos’ new coaches have what it takes to succeed in Denver.
O-line woes – PFF’s 32nd ranked unit must improve to aid Wilson
The offensive line was arguably the Broncos’ biggest weakness in their dismal 2022 season. Pro Football Focus ranked Denver’s o-line 32nd in the NFL, as the unit hampered both the run and pass game.
For Russell Wilson to rebound in 2023, the line’s play must improve. Giving him adequate protection to find receivers downfield will be critical. Establishing a consistent ground game will also help get the offense back on track.
So how can the Broncos fix this glaring hole on their roster? Both personnel and scheme changes may be required.
Breaking Down the 2022 Struggles
Injuries were a huge culprit in the line’s problems last season. Veteran left tackle Garett Bolles broke his leg in October and was lost for the year. Promising young lineman Quinn Meinerz also missed significant time.
This led to constant reshuffling up front, with 10 different starting combinations in 17 games. The lack of continuity torpedoed any chance of jelling as a unit.
In pass protection, the Broncos allowed a whopping 55 sacks, tied for second-most in the NFL. Wilson constantly faced interior pressure, forcing errant throws from collapsing pockets.
Run blocking was also an issue all season. Denver averaged just 107 rushing yards per game, 20th in the league. Aside from one monster game by Latavius Murray, the ground attack provided little pop.
Personnel Questions
The Broncos have decisions to make on several linemen this offseason. Bolles should return healthy, but his three straight years with significant injuries raise durability concerns.
Left guard Dalton Risner is a pending free agent who has been average at best. Denver must decide if he’s worth a lucrative extension.
Center Lloyd Cushenberry has struggled badly in pass protection. The Broncos may look to replace him through the draft or free agency.
Quinn Meinerz is likely the future at right guard. But the Broncos need better options at tackle for depth. Swing tackle Calvin Anderson is also a free agent.
Upgrading offensive line talent must be an offseason priority for GM George Paton. The status quo up front simply won’t cut it.
Scheme Changes?
The Broncos perhaps also need to tweak their offensive scheme to aid this struggling group. More play-action could help slow the pass rush while creating openings downfield.
Putting Wilson on the move with bootlegs and rollouts would also help negate pressure off the edges. Denver barely utilized Wilson’s mobility last season.
In the run game, more power and gap concepts could benefit the Broncos. Leaning too heavily on outside zone failed to maximize the strengths of Javonte Williams and Melvin Gordon.
Coach Hackett must be flexible and adapt his system to both the personnel and quarterback. Trying to force square pegs into round holes won’t work.
Keys for Improvement in 2023
Getting the offensive line to an adequate level is perhaps the biggest key for the Broncos’ hopes in 2023. Here are some factors that could fuel a turnaround:
- The return of Garett Bolles and Quinn Meinerz from injury.
- Upgrading the center position through free agency or the draft.
- Committing to a starting five and building chemistry.
- Using more misdirection and rollouts in the scheme.
- Establishing a true power run game.
Even average line play would represent a massive improvement for Denver. Some targeted additions combined with better health could make a major difference.
Will the Line Improve Enough?
The million dollar question is whether the Broncos can improve this unit enough to make them an adequate offense again. There are reasons for optimism:
Getting Bolles and Meinerz back will help solidify the left side. A new center would also be a big upgrade. Wilson’s mobility can mask some issues if leveraged properly. The young nucleus has more room to grow together.
However, this was arguably the NFL’s worst line in 2022. Drastic improvement rarely happens overnight in the trenches. Patience and commitment to the rebuild will be required.
The Broncos simply can’t afford another season near the bottom in pass protection and run blocking. This unit will make or break any hopes of contending in 2023.
The Road Ahead
Fixing their porous offensive line has to be priority number one this offseason for the Broncos. The status quo up front won’t cut it.
With smart additions via free agency and the draft, plus better health, Denver’s o-line could take a big step forward. But development is rarely linear in the trenches.
Nathaniel Hackett must also do his part, adapting his system to both the personnel and Russell Wilson’s improvisational skills.
If the Broncos can field an average line in 2023, it would do wonders for the offense. But there’s a long road ahead to reach that point.
Rebuilding the o-line won’t be easy, but it’s a necessary task for Denver to compete again. Progress must be made, or the team’s slide will continue.
RB depth issues – Javonte injury and Gordon departure leaves questions
The Denver Broncos faced major upheaval in their backfield during the 2022 season. Javonte Williams went down with a torn ACL in Week 4, while veteran Melvin Gordon is now a free agent after an underwhelming year.
With their running game finishing 20th in yards per game last season, replenishing this position is crucial for Denver in 2023. Both talent and depth are needed to bring balance on offense.
So what are the Broncos’ options moving forward in the backfield? Could a free agent addition or draft pick provide a spark?
Recapping the 2022 Backfield Struggles
Javonte Williams was expected to be Denver’s workhorse back in his second season. But his year ended abruptly in October after blowing out his knee.
Melvin Gordon assumed the lead role with Williams out, but fumbled away multiple games with key turnovers. The 29-year-old lacked burst all season.
Veteran additions Latavius Murray and Marlon Mack provided depth but no real explosiveness. Mike Boone was primarily a special teamer.
The sum result was a middling ground game that failed to take pressure off Russell Wilson and the passing attack.
Javonte Williams’ Availability in 2023
Getting Javonte Williams back healthy is the focal point of the Broncos’ backfield plans next season. The thunderous 23-year-old can be a difference-maker.
History says returning to form after an ACL tear often takes multiple seasons though. Denver must be patient and not overwork Williams early on as he regains confidence in his knee.
Having quality backups to split carries will be vital for both Williams’ production and longevity. Relying on him as a true bellcow too soon after the injury could be a mistake.
Should Gordon Return?
Melvin Gordon has reached the end of his two-year deal with Denver, leaving his future murky. He wants to continue starting, but may need to settle for a reserve role.
At his best, Gordon runs with vision and physicality between the tackles. But he’ll turn 30 this offseason and his burst has declined noticeably.
Both sides seem ready to move on after Gordon’s fumbling issues in 2022. Still, a reunion as a rotational back can’t be ruled out with Williams’ status uncertain.
Free Agent and Draft Options
If Gordon leaves in free agency, the Broncos have a few options to bring in more talent:
- A mid-tier veteran like Isaiah Pacheco or Damien Harris could add stability.
- Chase Edmonds is a young, pass-catching complement to Williams.
- Draft sleepers include ZaQuandre White of South Carolina or Devon Achane from Texas A&M.
Denver needs to address RB depth regardless of Gordon’s decision. Relying solely on Williams off the ACL tear would be risky.
Keys for Backfield Success in 2023
Getting the ground game back on track will be critical for the Broncos. Here are keys to rejuvenating this position group:
- Let Javonte Williams ease back in post-injury rather than overworking him.
- Sign a capable veteran or draft a rookie to share the load.
- Commit to outside zone, power, and misdirection run concepts.
- Get Wilson involved on QB bootlegs and rollouts to open run lanes.
More creativity and diversity in the run scheme will help unlock this group’s potential. Having fresh options to spell Williams is also a must.
The Road Ahead
With Javonte Williams coming off ACL surgery and Melvin Gordon likely gone, the Broncos’ backfield is filled with uncertainty heading into 2023.
Making a short-term veteran addition to pair with Williams seems prudent. Relying solely on a second-year back off a major knee injury is dicey.
The offensive line must also pull their weight better in run blocking to help ignite the ground game, whoever is carrying the rock.
Denver has a strong RB1 in a healthy Williams, but needs better depth. Improving this room is yet another crucial offensive priority this offseason.
Uncertainty clouds the Broncos’ backfield for now. But a few smart personnel moves could quickly get this position back on track in 2023.
Revamped defense? – Additions of K’Waun Williams and D.J. Jones
The Denver Broncos enter the 2023 season facing a pivotal crossroads. After six straight losing seasons, the pressure is immense for new head coach Sean Payton and quarterback Russell Wilson to deliver a winning record and playoff berth. An offseason facelift on defense offers hope of improvement, but question marks remain.
Last season was nothing short of a disaster, as Denver limped to a 5-12 record under first-year head coach Nathaniel Hackett. Lackluster quarterback play doomed the team, with Russell Wilson looking a shadow of his former self after arriving in a blockbuster trade from Seattle. The Broncos averaged just 16.9 points per game – fifth-worst in the NFL – despite a wealth of weapons like Jerry Jeudy, Courtland Sutton and Javonte Williams.
While Hackett rightly took most of the blame, yielding to Sean Payton this offseason, Wilson must shoulder responsibility too. Turning 34 in November, he no longer possesses the escapability that defined his early Seahawks career. Critics suggest Wilson’s best days are behind him, making his $245 million contract an albatross that could hamper Denver for years.
Payton’s hiring brings hope of revitalizing Wilson and the Broncos offense. The Super Bowl-winning coach has an excellent reputation for designing creative schemes to maximize his quarterback’s strengths. However, he can’t turn back the clock on Wilson’s deteriorating mobility or arm strength. It’s an open question whether Payton can coax Wilson back to Pro Bowl form at this advanced stage of his career.
Fortunately, defense appears the stronger side of the ball for Denver entering 2023. The Broncos owned the second-stingiest scoring defense last year at just 18.9 points allowed per game. Veteran defensive coordinator Ejiro Evero, fresh off a strong debut season in Los Angeles, provides continuity on that side of the ball.
This offseason, GM George Paton focused on bolstering Evero’s defense even further. The biggest addition comes at defensive tackle in the form of D.J. Jones, signed away from division rival San Francisco. At 327 pounds, Jones has the size and strength to clog running lanes and occupy blockers. His arrival should strengthen an already stout run defense that gave up the seventh-fewest rushing yards per game last season.
Denver also enhanced the secondary by signing cornerback K’Waun Williams from San Francisco. Despite standing just 5-foot-9, Williams plays bigger than his size suggests with a physical edge to match up with slot receivers and tight ends. He also adds playmaking ability, notching 4 interceptions and 16 pass breakups over the past two seasons.
On paper, the combination of Jones and Williams makes Denver’s defense look even more formidable entering 2023. Whether that translates onto the field remains uncertain until the Broncos take meaningful snaps. Health is a concern, especially with aging players like OLB Randy Gregory and ILB Josey Jewell who have lengthy injury histories. The secondary also has questions at corner opposite Pat Surtain II.
Realistically, Denver’s defense projects as a top-10 unit again but unlikely to carry the team every week like last season. For the Broncos to end their playoff drought, Wilson and the offense must make significant strides under Payton’s guidance. The defense should keep them in most games, but this season hinges on improved quarterback play and scoring much more consistently.
With the pressure mounting internally and externally, it’s an uncertain time for the Denver Broncos franchise. The team spent heavily in draft capital and contract money to acquire Russell Wilson, viewing him as the missing piece for a contender. After last year’s disappointment, his future with the team already appears on shaky ground.
Now in his mid-30s, Wilson must improve his pocket passing and decision-making that faltered last season. Sean Payton’s hiring brings fresh optimism, but he can only do so much scheming around physical limitations at this stage of Wilson’s career. Their partnership must click immediately to get Denver back on track.
The onus also falls on young skill players like Jerry Jeudy and Javonte Williams to take their games to the next level. For Jeudy especially, the former first-rounder needs to translate his precise route-running into more consistent production. With Courtland Sutton and Tim Patrick, he should see plenty of favorable coverage matchups.
Defensively, additions like D.J. Jones and K’Waun Williams bring talent and toughness to pivotal positions. But veterans like Randy Gregory and Josey Jewell must stay healthy to solidify the front seven. In the secondary, cornerback Ronald Darby faces competition from rookie Damarri Mathis opposite Surtain II.
In totality, Denver’s roster has enough high-end talent to contend, especially in a mediocre AFC West sans Tyreek Hill. But poor coaching and quarterback play sank this group to last place a year ago. Sean Payton and Russell Wilson must hit the ground running in their first season together for the Broncos to get back in the playoff hunt.
At 5-12, Denver endured one of its worst seasons in recent memory last year. Barring more injuries or unforeseen issues, it’s hard to envision a similar collapse under the proven leadership of Payton. But with questions still surrounding Wilson’s ability and effectiveness, it’s equally difficult to predict a worst-to-first turnaround in the AFC West.
The most realistic outcome is the Broncos ending up somewhere between those extremes. If Wilson looks rejuvenated and key players avoid major injuries, a 9-8 record or better seems achievable. That puts them firmly in the mix for a Wild Card spot. However, in the ultra-competitive AFC, it’s no guarantee of ending their frustrating six-year playoff drought.
For the first time in a while, there is genuine hope and optimism surrounding the Broncos. But as last season humbly demonstrated, potential and hype alone don’t win games on Sundays. This group still has much to prove. While an upward trajectory seems likely under Payton, the road ahead remains filled with hazards if Wilson and the offense cannot rise to the challenge.
Divison rivals – Chiefs still class of AFC West; Chargers and Raiders threats
The AFC West remains one of the toughest divisions in football, presenting a daunting obstacle for the Broncos’ playoff aspirations. While Denver made upgrades this offseason, their chief division rivals also reloaded with talent.
The Kansas City Chiefs have won the division six straight years, establishing themselves as the clear class of the AFC West. Despite trading superstar Tyreek Hill to Miami, the Chiefs replenished their offense by signing JuJu Smith-Schuster and using draft capital on promising talents like Skyy Moore.
With Patrick Mahomes under center, Kansas City fielded a top-five scoring offense each of the past four seasons. Andy Reid remains one of the sharpest offensive minds in the game, adept at maximizing his personnel. While the Hill trade hurts, don’t expect much drop-off from this group.
Defensively, the Chiefs earned modest upgrades like safety Justin Reid and rookie corner Trent McDuffie. But questions remain about a pass rush overly reliant on veteran Frank Clark to generate pressure. Mahomes and the offense may need to win a few shootouts.
In totality, Kansas City probably remains a cut above the rest of the division. But some regression wouldn’t shock after three straight AFC title game appearances. The Chiefs catch a break drawing the NFC East this year, but road tests like San Francisco and Cincinnati could trip them up.
Meanwhile, Justin Herbert and the Chargers loom as a dangerous threat to the Chiefs. After barely missing the playoffs at 9-8 last season, Los Angeles retained most of its key weapons like Keenan Allen and Mike Williams while upgrading the defense.
Signing Khalil Mack boosts their pass rush immensely while J.C. Jackson provides a true CB1 they’ve long coveted. Brandon Staley must improve his game management, but has the talent to field a top-10 unit.
If the defense finally matches Herbert’s prolific offense, the Chargers have the balance to hang with Kansas City this year. The Week 2 Monday night clash between the AFC West heavyweights in Arrowhead could decide who ultimately takes the division crown.
Then there are the Derek Carr-led Raiders, a bit of a wild card after trading away Davante Adams. Still, they managed to land the most explosive receiver in college football last year in TCU’s Jalen Tolbert while signing veteran speedster Mack Hollins.
The key for Las Vegas remains new head coach Josh McDaniels proving himself after flaming out badly in Denver years ago. He’s built a reputation reviving his career as a stellar play-caller, but time will tell if he’s truly suited to lead a team again.
The Raiders face the biggest uphill climb in the division, but can’t be counted out entirely. Carr and Adams demonstrated strong chemistry last season, so the QB should spread the ball effectively. Las Vegas boasts a stout O-line and promising young skill talent around Carr.
Truthfully, the AFC West shapes up as a three-team race with all challengers gunning for Kansas City. The Raiders could make things interesting, but likely remain a cut below their divisional peers in overall talent and coaching.
For Denver, the path forward requires strong quarterback play from Russell Wilson to keep pace in shootouts with elite offenses like the Chiefs and Chargers. Even with defensive upgrades, the Broncos must score over 20 points consistently, a threshold they reached just five times last year.
Against his former team, Wilson has excelled in the past by trading blows with the Legion of Boom. He must tap into that resilience with talented but unproven weapons like Jerry Jeudy and Courtland Sutton.
The bottom line is the Broncos cannot rely on winning 13-10 slugfests and grinding out victories. In today’s high-flying AFC West, they must play loose and allow Wilson’s playmaking instincts to thrive under Sean Payton’s aggressive guidance.
That stylistic shift doesn’t come without risk, given Wilson’s penchant for crippling turnovers last year. But Denver cannot win conventionally in this division loaded with firepower. Payton’s willingness to take chances downfield will prove critical.
The Broncos’ best counterpunch lies in controlling time of possession with the ground game. Javonte Williams and Melvin Gordon give them a formidable one-two rushing attack to limit opportunities for Mahomes, Herbert and Carr.
Defensive coordinator Ejiro Evero must also dial up creative blitzes and coverage shells to keep those elite QBs off balance. Sacking them early and often prevents shootouts from erupting in the first place.
Still, it’s an uphill climb dethroning Kansas City given Andy Reid’s sustained excellence. But with the Chiefs and Chargers each boasting flaws, the Broncos have an opening if Russell Wilson quickly assimilates into Sean Payton’s system. The time is now for Denver to make up ground after last year’s lost season mired in offensive dysfunction.
Schedule analysis – Early stretch vs. AFC West foes could define season
In the ultra-competitive AFC West, the Broncos’ 2023 schedule offers little wiggle room. Several pivotal divisional matchups pack together within the first six weeks, shaping Denver’s outlook.
Right out of the gates in Week 1, Russell Wilson faces his former Seahawks team still featuring many of his old teammates like DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett. It’s an emotional matchup for Wilson, who must keep his composure against a feisty Seattle defense.
Cross-country road trips to face the 49ers and Chiefs follow, offering early tests against top Super Bowl contenders. The Broncos also drew a road game against the prolific Josh Allen-led Bills in Week 15, so traversing the country presents a season-long challenge.
Weeks 4 and 5 see home tilts versus Derek Carr and the Raiders along with Justin Herbert’s Chargers. That AFC West mini-gauntlet represents a prime opportunity for Denver to gain early divisional footing.
Another swing game comes in Week 6 for a Monday night home bout with Lamar Jackson and the Ravens. Baltimore demolished Denver last year so this marks a shot at redemption. It also kicks off a softer midseason stretch before another tough finish.
From Weeks 7-12, the Broncos finally catch a breather with winnable matchups against the Jets, Titans, Panthers, Raiders again, and Texans. That span likely makes or breaks any playoff push for Denver. Stringing together a 5-0 run seems feasible there before the competition ramps up.
Starting in Week 13, Denver sees four playoff contenders in five straight games – Baltimore again, Chiefs, Cardinals, Rams and Chargers to end the regular season. For any shot at January football, Wilson must have the offense humming entering that daunting closing slate.
All told, the schedule sets up favorably early for Denver to build momentum before an easier midseason stretch. How Wilson fares against his former Seattle mates and AFC West rivals out of the gate will set the tone. The Bills and 49ers road trips also loom large for playoff seeding purposes.
For rookie coach Sean Payton, maximizing that front-loaded stretch against division foes offers the best springboard toward contention. The Broncos’ stout defense should keep them competitive early.
A fast start lessens pressure on Payton to immediately fix Russell Wilson and the offense. Low-scoring wins are fine initially while the QB and system synchronize. But eventually Payton must unlock 20+ points weekly when tougher defenses appear later on.
Denver’s December gauntlet against stout defenses like the Ravens and 49ers will expose any lingering offensive issues. Payton and Wilson must prove they can win shootouts with the Chiefs, Chargers and Bengals prior to that.
The good news is the Broncos avoid most of the AFC’s elite teams until later on. That gives them time to smooth out glitches, assimilate new additions like K’Waun Williams and D.J. Jones, and sharpen communication.
Payton’s extensive experience fostering late-season surges with New Orleans bodes well when the degree of difficulty rises weeks 13-17. He’ll have the Broncos positioned mentally and physically to handle adverse road environments.
Of course, injuries could unravel the best laid plans. But on paper, Denver’s schedule aligns well with roster needs early on. How Payton manages high-leverage division games out of the chute while Wilson reacclimates will set their trajectory.
Sweeping the Raiders and splitting with the Chargers and Chiefs would keep them firmly in the hunt. A slow start drops pressure on ownership to scrutinize the Wilson investment and Payton hire right away.
The blueprint is clear – lean on the elite defense early, ease Wilson back into comfort behind an improved O-line, and gradually open up the playbook. Everything builds toward weathering a wicked December slate.
For Denver to break its playoff drought, maximizing winnable games against inferior opponents in October and November is equally crucial when the schedule softens up. Payton’s and Wilson’s pedigree suggest they’ll have the Broncos primed to finally capitalize.
Of course, injuries, chemistry issues, or lackluster quarterback play could derail the season too. But on balance, Denver’s schedule sets up well for this group to prove itself when it matters late.
With experience navigating treacherous roads in January, Payton projects to have the Broncos playing their best football in December assuming reasonable health. The September slate against Seattle and the AFC West will quickly reveal how realistic a playoff return remains.
Wilson’s potential – With improved line and scheme, can he rebound at age 34?
Russell Wilson’s rapid decline last season remains the biggest question mark hovering over Denver entering 2023. At age 34, can Wilson rebound behind an upgraded offensive line and proven schemer in Sean Payton?
Acquired for a massive draft haul last offseason, Wilson’s arrival was supposed to make Denver instant contenders. Instead, the nine-time Pro Bowler posted career-worsts in completion percentage (60.5%), passer rating (84.4) and QBR (35.2) as the Broncos nosedived to 5-12.
Much of the blame fell on overwhelmed rookie coach Nathaniel Hackett. But Wilson’s poor pocket presence, indecision and mechanical breakdowns were equally alarming for a veteran quarterback.
Now in his mid-30s with mounting injuries, the Broncos must confront Wilson’s possible physical decline. His otherworldly elusiveness that defined his early Seahawks career has clearly faded.
The questions mount – can Payton design an offensive scheme to compensate for Wilson’s limitations as a static pocket passer? Will improved pass protection and receiver continuity lift Wilson’s play back to Pro Bowl levels?
Based on his track record and intangibles, it’s premature to write off Wilson entirely. He showed poor footwork and decision-making last year, but his arm strength and touch remain capable of making every throw.
If Denver empowers him with more uptempo, quick-hitting plays as Payton promises, Wilson can recapture his efficiency in the short and intermediate ranges. Play-action deep shots off those looks also suit his strengths.
The offensive line additions provide stability up front that Wilson desperately lacked last season. Center Lloyd Cushenberry III is the lone remaining starter in flux. Wilson must regain trust in his protection after holding the ball too long in 2022.
Having dynamic receivers like Courtland Sutton and Jerry Jeudy at full strength will further ease Wilson’s burden. Their speed and separation skills fit Payton’s aggressive, vertical passing game once they grasp the finer details.
Wilson likely remains capable of posting a 25-touchdown, 4,000-yard season in the right environment. But expecting his early 30s MVP form would be overly optimistic. He must better embrace his evolution into more of a distributor getting the ball out quickly.
That transition requires trusting the system and not pressing to create as many highlight plays. Wilson’s drive and competitiveness sometimes cloud sound decision-making required in Denver’s scheme.
The good news is Sean Payton has maximized the back end of Drew Brees’ career with similar concepts focused on timing and precision. He understands how to blend personnel strengths and playcalling.
The unknown is if Wilson’s willingness to take chances and run will mesh with Payton’s efficient control approach. Their collaboration remains Denver’s biggest wild card after Hackett’s ineffective tenure.
With his mobility fading, Wilson must hone his anticipation, footwork and progressions from the pocket. Executing the simple basics smoothly again is vital. That likely unlocks the 29 PPG or better output Denver envisions from this group.
At the end of the day, Russell Wilson likely remains a competent NFL starter based on his tools, IQ and track record. But his Broncos’ tenure hinges on accepting limitations and playing more contained under Sean Payton.
No one expects the magician escapes and impossible throws on broken plays that headlined his MVP contention years ago. But Wilson’s command and execution of the structured offense Payton implements could absolutely drive a playoff return.
The mental challenge for Wilson is blocking out external criticism and letting the game come to him again. Payton will tailor route concepts and protection calls around his QB’s strengths. Trusting that process is critical as Wilson’s physical skills inevitably decline.
With Javonte Williams spearheading the run game and defense setting a strong tone, Denver doesn’t need vintage Wilson to win 10+ games. They just need him to avoid pressing and the crippling mistakes that plagued 2022.
The bottom line is Wilson likely has enough left in the tank for a solid rebound season, even if his age-35 outlook appears more questionable. With Payton’s guidance, Wilson’s cerebral approach gives him a great chance to silence skeptics in year two as a Bronco.
But the margin for error grows thinner each passing year. Denver must maximize Wilson’s remaining window before a harsher reality sets in. Their new coach and quarterback each have something to prove and the complementary pieces to write a comeback story.
Sean Payton’s very hiring centered on getting Russell Wilson’s career back on track. Expecting a top-five QB season feels unrealistic. However, Wilson posting 25 TDs and a rating around 95 remains very achievable for a dedicated technician under an elite play-caller’s tutelage.
Weapons on offense – Sutton, Jeudy, Dulcich provide talent if healthy
Beyond Russell Wilson’s play, Denver’s offensive weapons must also stay healthy and productive in 2023. Courtland Sutton, Jerry Jeudy and Greg Dulcich comprise a talented trio but each have availability concerns.
Former Pro Bowler Courtland Sutton headlines the group after getting a big extension this offseason. When healthy, his 6-4 frame and contested catch ability provide a dynamic weapon both downfield and in the red zone.
However, Sutton has missed significant time in two of his four pro seasons, including 13 games in 2020. Keeping him on the field is imperative – especially with Tim Patrick lost for the year to an ACL tear.
If Sutton plays over 15 games, expect 70+ catches and 1,000+ yards. But his production history remains inconsistent, making him an unreliable WR1 option for Russell Wilson. Sutton must convert more targets into touchdowns as well.
Then there’s former first-rounder Jerry Jeudy, who has yet to breakout entering year three. He’s shown flashes of route-running precision that warrant his draft pedigree. But focus drops and injuries have limited his availability opposite Sutton.
Jeudy also lacks prototypical size or top-end speed. But he projects well underneath in a Sean Payton offense that emphasizes space and separation. Crossing routes, drags, slants and Verticals best suit him while Sutton occupies downfield defenders.
Health will remain the key factor for Jeudy after ankle sprains hampered his sophomore season. At his best, Jeudy profiles as a 70-catch, 1,000-yard talent who keeps chains moving. But he must eliminate routine lapses that stall drives.
Lastly, rookie tight end Greg Dulcich showed immense promise when finally healthy in the second half of 2022. He has the athleticism to attack seams and stretch the field vertically from inline or split out wide.
As with Sutton and Jeudy, injuries present the greatest concern with Dulcich going forward. He battled hamstring issues throughout last year’s training camp and preseason. Managing his workload will be crucial.
But when available, Dulcich displays the route fluidity and ball skills to become Wilson’s second-favorite target after Sutton. His presence down the seam and in the red zone could net 55 catches and 7 touchdowns if he suits up for 17 games.
The supporting cast remains unsettled beyond those three. KJ Hamler is blazing fast but oft-injured. Montrell Washington flashed gadget potential as a rookie but must grow into a receiver role. Kendall Hinton profiles best as a depth piece.
Losing Tim Patrick to an ACL tear before the season hurts continuity as he reliably moved the chains. Newly signed veterans Travis Fulgham and Tyrie Cleveland must now compete for snaps.
In the backfield, Javonte Williams should reprise his role as lead runner after recovering from knee surgery. But Melvin Gordon remains unsigned so a new RB2 must emerge as a complement.
On balance, the skill positions have ample talent but little depth. Sutton, Jeudy and Dulcich could comprise a dangerous trio splitting targets. However, their collective injury history raises concerns.
Denver invested premium draft capital acquiring all three, so availability issues inhibit the group from reaching its ceiling together. Payton and Wilson must make the pieces interchangeable to endure likely absences.
While the trio each offer varied skill sets to attack every area of the field, converted quarterbacks Kendall Hinton and Montrell Washington provide the only real depth entering training camp.
Russell Wilson and Sean Payton will creatively manufacture offense regardless. But this group needs its core contributors present to sustain drives and finish in the red zone. Too many missing pieces foils consistency.
In an ideal world, Sutton, Jeudy and Dulcich all play 15-plus games fueling a top-12 scoring attack. Their collective skill sets mesh well with Payton’s versatile system.
Realistically though, Wilson will spearhead another patchwork attack exacerbated by nicks and pulls to his top playmakers. Javonte Williams returning could ease that burden in the run game. But depth looms as the Achilles heel.
The veteran journeyman additions provide insurance but limited upside. Payton excelled adapting to roster attrition in New Orleans. He faces a similar challenge crafting weekly gameplans around this promising yet fragile core.
How Payton schemes speed threats and two-tight end sets when availability shrinks could make or break the Broncos season. But the top-line talent exists for Wilson to spread the ball efficiently if Sutton, Jeudy and Dulcich stay on the field.
Special teams questions – Replacing McManus and Ojemudia
While defense and the Russell Wilson-led offense grab headlines, the Broncos also face uncertainties on special teams entering 2023.
Longtime kicker Brandon McManus remains unsigned after an uncharacteristically shaky 2022 season. Meanwhile, return man Montrell Washington struggled with ball security as a rookie.
Replacing McManus looms as the biggest priority after his 11 seasons in Denver. Despite down numbers last year, he ranks as the second-most accurate kicker in franchise history.
After converting 85% of field goals in 2021, McManus dipped to just 75% last season while missing 6 extra points. That’s well below expectations for the former Pro Bowler.
However, McManus drilled several clutch kicks over the years to win close games. His booming leg also generates touchbacks on kickoffs at altitude.
With dead money still on his prior deal, the Broncos may elect to bring McManus back on a reduced salary. But declining leg strength entering his age-33 season worries the team.
If Denver indeed moves on, unproven options like Brandon Copic and Taylor Bertolet would compete for the job. Or the team could target a veteran free agent like Chris Boswell or Matt Gay to replace McManus.
The other glaring hole lies at punt returner after waiving Diontae Spencer last October. His sure hands and vision earned two Pro Bowl nods but are tough to replicate.
Fourth-round rookie Montrell Washington assumed return duties midseason with very mixed results. While explosively fast, he fumbled 4 times and often made questionable decisions.
Washington clearly needs more seasoning securing catches and setting up blocks. But his raw traits warrant extended looks returning both punts and kickoffs.
If not Washington, receivers like Tyrie Cleveland, Kendall Hinton and Jalen Virgil could compete at punt returner. But none match Washington’s sheer electricity with the ball in his hands.
On coverage teams, linebacker Jonas Griffith and safety P.J. Locke stood out making tackles last season. Kareem Jackson also thrived in the personal protector role on punts when not starting at safety.
But losing edge rusher Malik Reed hurts kick and punt coverage continuity. His replacement like Nik Bonitto must embrace playing special teams beyond defense.
As a whole, Denver’s special teams trended down last season without longtime coordinator Tom McMahon. His replacement, Dwayne Stukes, inherits a mix of lingering veterans like McManus and unproven young returners.
The coverage and blocking units remain stout with core special teamers back like Locke, Griffith and Capitan. But the return game and kicking duties look shaky entering camp.
Stukes may opt to audition various returners during preseason before settling on someone sure-handed like Cleveland or Virgil. But Washington’s home run ability makes him tough to supplant.
At kicker, McManus could retain duties if willing to accept a lower salary and incentives. If not, an outside replacement seems preferable to unproven options Copic or Bertolet.
The Broncos should avoid overhauling special teams with coverage and blocking foundations intact. Just enhancing returns and placekicking appears prudent given other roster variables in flux.
In totality, special teams often swing razor-thin games between closely matched divisional opponents. After some lapses in 2022, Stukes must restore confidence and consistency in Denver’s units.
McManus booting clutch field goals or Washington breaking off a long punt return could well decide one or two games this year. That proved the difference in many Broncos victories and defeats under Fangio and Hackett.
For a team with playoff aspirations like Denver, achieving special teams competency separates pretenders from contenders. The personnel looks capable if Washington progresses and McManus stabilizes.
But questionable coaching, unreliable returners and erratic kicking foiled the Broncos last season. Stukes and his staff must correct those nagging issues while maintaining stalwart coverage and blocking.
Special teams may fly under the radar amid hype around Russell Wilson’s revival and the Broncos ending their playoff drought. Don’t overlook that unit’s impact though in shaping Denver’s final record.
Season prediction – Can Payton and Wilson guide turnaround or more frustration?
After dissecting all angles of the 2023 Broncos, reasonable optimism exists but a smooth turnaround seems unlikely given last year’s dysfunction.
On paper, the roster certainly looks playoff-caliber, especially on defense. New coach Sean Payton inherits a wealth of talent at both skill positions and the trenches on that side.
If Russell Wilson resembles his old self under Payton’s guidance,Denver should score enough to win 10+ games. But that remains a big “if” based on Wilson’s shaky 2022 film.
The offseason coaching change also hints at some inevitable growing pains early on. Payton and Wilson must mesh their styles and personalities on the fly against a brutal schedule.
As with any first-year coach, expect miscommunication, repetitive play calls and sporadic execution until the Broncos establish continuity.
That said, Payton’s adaptability and Wilson’s experience learning new systems suggest they’ll find common ground sooner than later. The question is how quickly before the losses mount.
With four playoff contenders in the division, Denver enjoys little margin for error, especially in close games. Simply avoiding self-inflicted mistakes could swing a couple more results favorably.
But until Wilson looks comfortable and Payton settles on a tailored scheme, growing pains seem inevitable. The defense should keep games competitive, but this group still lacks an identity.
The smart approach is likely easing Wilson along behind Javonte Williams and the ground game initially. Let the defense set the tone and rely on field goals and ball control early on.
As the year progresses, Payton can open up the passing playbook and take more vertical shots. But some reticence seems prudent while Wilson reacclimates.
When the December schedule intensifies, Payton and Wilson must have all cylinders firing in sync to weather that daunting late slate.
All told, a .500 record approaching midseason appears realistic. But the Broncos seem poised for a stronger second half once the pieces mesh.
If promising talents like Jerry Jeudy and Greg Dulcich sustain good health and Wilson protects the football, 10-11 wins feel within reach.
That should put Denver right in the mix for a Wild Card spot in a log-jammed AFC. But leapfrogging Kansas City for the division title remains unlikely this season.
In the end, Sean Payton was hired specifically to get this underachieving group over the hump. Even with initial bumps, Payton and Russell Wilson give the Broncos credibility and stability at the two most important positions.
Betting on their pedigree is prudent, but expecting instant magic is unrealistic. This will be a process with ups and downs. But when January arrives, Payton should have the Broncos finally back in the tournament.