What are the high-stakes races in Wisconsin’s August primary elections. How do these contests shape the state’s future direction on key issues. Why is the outcome of Wisconsin’s primary significant for the 2024 presidential race.
The Significance of Wisconsin’s August Primary Elections
Wisconsin’s August 9th primary elections are shaping up to be a pivotal moment in the state’s political landscape. With a packed slate of candidates and contests, these primaries are attracting national attention due to their potential impact on both state and federal levels. The outcomes of these races could provide valuable insights into the upcoming 2024 presidential race while simultaneously influencing Wisconsin’s stance on critical issues.
The importance of these primaries extends beyond the high-profile races for governor and U.S. Senate. Even the less publicized contests have the potential to significantly affect the state’s future. From local school board elections to state legislative races, each vote cast in this primary will play a role in shaping Wisconsin’s political trajectory.
The Heated U.S. Senate Race: A Battle for Washington’s Balance of Power
At the forefront of Wisconsin’s primary elections is the closely watched U.S. Senate race. Republican incumbent Ron Johnson, who made a last-minute decision to seek reelection, now faces challenges from both within his party and across the aisle. This race has garnered significant national attention due to its potential to influence the balance of power in Washington.
Why is this Senate race so crucial? The outcome could determine which party controls the Senate after the November elections. If Johnson secures another term, it would boost Republican confidence in maintaining their hold on the chamber. Conversely, a Democratic victory in this race would significantly ease their path to securing a Senate majority.
Key Contenders in the Senate Race
- Ron Johnson (Republican incumbent)
- Challengers from the right within the GOP
- Democratic candidates aiming to unseat Johnson
Given Wisconsin’s history of razor-thin margins in statewide elections, every vote in this primary could prove decisive in shaping the final showdown in November.
Congressional Contests: Potential Game-Changers for House Control
Wisconsin’s congressional delegation is poised for significant changes, thanks in part to newly drawn district maps. These redrawn battle lines have created competitive situations in several key districts, potentially altering the state’s representation in the U.S. House of Representatives.
Which congressional races are garnering the most attention? One hotly contested battle is taking place in the Milwaukee suburbs, where freshman GOP Rep. Scott Fitzgerald faces a formidable challenge from Democrat Kelly Westlund. While the district leans Republican, it’s considered a potential swing seat, making it a race to watch.
Notable Congressional Races
- Milwaukee suburbs: Scott Fitzgerald (R) vs. Kelly Westlund (D)
- Northeast Wisconsin: Open seat due to district merger
- Wausau area: Another open seat resulting from redistricting
- Western Wisconsin: Rep. Ron Kind’s open seat, a potential Republican pickup
The outcomes of these races could have far-reaching implications, potentially contributing to a shift in control of the U.S. House of Representatives.
The Governor’s Race: Shaping Wisconsin’s Future
After nearly a decade of Democratic leadership under Tony Evers, Wisconsin’s gubernatorial race is wide open. Evers faces his first reelection campaign in a deeply divided political climate, while a crowded field of Republican challengers sees an opportunity to reclaim the governor’s mansion.
What are the key issues driving the governor’s race? While economic concerns and education policies are likely to play a significant role, the contest could also pivot towards more divisive topics such as abortion access and curriculum debates. The ultimate outcome of this race will have a profound impact on Wisconsin’s policy direction over the next four years.
Leading Contenders in the GOP Primary
- Tim Michels
- Rebecca Kleefisch
As the primary unfolds, voters will have the opportunity to shape the final matchup that will determine Wisconsin’s leadership for the coming term.
State Legislature: New Maps, New Opportunities
The redrawing of Wisconsin’s legislative districts following a protracted legal battle has created fresh opportunities for both parties to gain seats in the Assembly and Senate. These newly configured districts have introduced an element of unpredictability to many races, particularly in key regions such as the Milwaukee suburbs and the Fox Valley.
How might the redrawn districts impact the balance of power in the state legislature? With control of both chambers potentially at stake, the outcomes of these primaries could have significant implications for a wide range of hot-button issues, from abortion rights to tax policy.
Key Regions to Watch
- Milwaukee suburbs
- Fox Valley
- Other competitive districts across the state
The results of these legislative primaries will set the stage for November’s general election, which will ultimately determine the composition of Wisconsin’s lawmaking body for the next term.
Supreme Court Balance: A Shift in Judicial Ideology?
The retirement of incumbent Justice Patience Roggensack has created an open seat on Wisconsin’s Supreme Court, offering voters a rare opportunity to potentially shift the ideological makeup of the state’s highest judicial body. This vacancy has sparked contested races from both sides of the political spectrum.
Why is this Supreme Court race particularly significant? In recent years, the court’s conservative majority has ruled on critical issues such as redistricting and voting access. Now, liberal candidates see an opportunity to flip the court’s ideological balance, while Republicans aim to maintain their 4-3 edge.
Potential Impacts of a Shifted Court
- Redistricting decisions
- Voting rights cases
- Other contentious legal issues facing the state
The outcome of this primary will determine which candidates advance to the general election, where voters will ultimately decide the future ideological composition of Wisconsin’s Supreme Court.
Education at the Forefront: The Schools Chief Race
Education has dominated Wisconsin’s political discourse over the past two years, with debates ranging from COVID-19 policies to curriculum choices. These divisions are now coming to a head in the nonpartisan race for Superintendent of Public Instruction.
What are the key issues driving the schools chief race? Incumbent Carolyn Stanford Taylor faces challenges from within her own party over pandemic-related school closures. Meanwhile, conservative candidate Steve Krull has gained momentum by appealing to parents seeking greater influence over educational policies.
Key Contenders and Their Positions
- Carolyn Stanford Taylor (Incumbent): Defending pandemic policies
- Intra-party challengers: Critiquing school closure decisions
- Steve Krull: Advocating for increased parental influence
The outcome of this race could significantly impact the direction of Wisconsin’s public education system in the coming years.
Attorney General Contest: A Clash Over Crime and Civil Rights
The race for Wisconsin’s Attorney General has heated up, with appointed incumbent Josh Kaul fighting to win his first full term against Fond du Lac County prosecutor Eric Toney. This contest is shaping up to be a fierce battle over issues of crime, policing, and civil rights.
How are the candidates positioning themselves in this race? Republicans, including Toney, are painting Kaul as soft on crime and criminals, while emphasizing Toney’s law enforcement credentials. In contrast, Kaul is highlighting his office’s efforts to advance environmental protections and other civil rights issues.
Key Issues in the Attorney General Race
- Crime rates and law enforcement policies
- Civil rights protections
- Environmental regulations
The outcome of this primary will determine which candidates face off in November for the role of Wisconsin’s top law enforcement official.
The Often Overlooked Treasurer Race: Economic Implications
While it may be flying under the radar, the open seat for Wisconsin Treasurer is a critical race with far-reaching economic implications. This office is responsible for overseeing billions of dollars in state investments and pension funds, as well as advising on broader budget and economic issues.
Why should voters pay attention to the Treasurer race? The individual elected to this position will play a crucial role in managing Wisconsin’s financial future, influencing everything from investment strategies to pension fund management.
Key Responsibilities of the State Treasurer
- Overseeing state investments
- Managing pension funds
- Advising on budget and economic issues
With the current GOP treasurer stepping down after three terms, this open race presents an opportunity for both parties to shape Wisconsin’s financial policies for years to come.
As Wisconsin’s August 9th primary elections approach, the importance of each vote becomes increasingly clear. From high-profile Senate and gubernatorial races to less publicized but equally crucial contests for positions like State Treasurer and Superintendent of Public Instruction, these primaries will play a pivotal role in shaping Wisconsin’s political landscape. The outcomes of these races will not only influence the state’s direction on key issues but may also provide valuable insights into the national political mood heading into the 2024 presidential election. As voters prepare to cast their ballots, the significance of their choices in these primaries cannot be overstated.
Introduction to Wisconsin’s August primary races
The stakes are high for Wisconsin’s August 9th primary elections. From hard-fought races up and down the ballot to new voting laws being tested, many eyes across the nation will turn to the Badger State. The outcomes here could provide clues for the 2024 presidential race while also shaping Wisconsin’s future direction on key issues.
This is one of those old-school primary days where voters have a packed slate of candidates and contests. With the races for governor and U.S. Senate capturing widespread attention, some fascinating battles farther down the ballot are easy to overlook. However, the undersized races could have an outsized impact.
Senate race attracts national attention
The race drawing the most notice is for the U.S. Senate seat currently held by Republican Ron Johnson. The two-term incumbent waited until just before the filing deadline to announce he would seek reelection, setting off a competitive GOP primary. Johnson now faces a challenge from relative newcomers on the right, while Democrats look to take him down in November.
After years of razor-thin statewide vote margins, the Senate race results could tilt the balance of power in Washington. If Johnson wins again, Republicans would feel confident about holding the chamber. But a Democratic victory here would make their path to a Senate majority far easier.
Key congressional contests could flip House
Meanwhile, Wisconsin’s congressional delegation faces some shake-ups of its own. A new district map has rearranged the battle lines and is creating competitive situations.
One race in the Milwaukee suburbs has already drawn early attention and spending. Freshman GOP Rep. Scott Fitzgerald faces a stout challenge from Democrat Kelly Westlund in a district that leans Republican but could swing.
Races in northeast Wisconsin and the Wausau area have no incumbent, as those districts were essentially merged. This leaves Democratic Rep. Ron Kind’s long-held western Wisconsin seat open, offering Republicans a ripe pickup opportunity.
Governor’s race wide open after 8 years
After nearly a decade as governor, Democrat Tony Evers faces his first reelection fight at a time of deep partisan divisions. A crowded field of GOP challengers sees opportunity, with Tim Michels and Rebecca Kleefisch leading the pack.
The race could hinge on bread and butter issues like the economy and schools, or take a sharp turn toward divisive topics like abortion access and education curriculums. Either way, this contest will shape the direction of the key swing state over the next four years.
State legislature up for grabs with new maps
Further down the ballot, Wisconsin’s legislative districts were also redrawn this year after a lengthy legal fight. This created new opportunities for both parties to gain seats in the Assembly and Senate.
Races in the Milwaukee suburbs, Fox Valley, and other regions now have a fresh look and sense of unpredictability. With control of the legislature in play, these contests will have implications for hot button issues from abortion to taxes.
Supreme Court balance at stake with ideological shift
An open Supreme Court seat offers voters their first chance in years to shift the ideological makeup of the high court. Incumbent Justice Patience Roggensack is retiring, sparking contested races from both sides of the aisle.
After issues like redistricting and voting access came before the conservative majority court, liberals see an opening to flip the court their way. But Republicans are aiming to keep their 4-3 edge.
Education battles play out with schools chief race
From COVID policies to curriculum choices, education dominated headlines the last two years in Wisconsin. Those divides now reach a boil in the nonpartisan race for Superintendent of Public Instruction.
Incumbent Carolyn Stanford Taylor faces challenges from within her party over pandemic school closures. But conservative candidate Steve Krull poses an even greater threat, gaining momentum with parents who want more influence.
Attorney general contest gets heated over crime, rights
Appointed incumbent Josh Kaul is fighting to win his first full term as Attorney General against Fond du Lac County prosecutor Eric Toney. Expect a fierce battle over crime, policing, and civil rights issues.
Republicans paint Kaul as soft on crime and criminals while Toney plays up his law enforcement credentials. But Kaul touts using his office to advance things like environmental protections.
Treasurer race focuses on investing, pensions, economy
The open seat for Wisconsin Treasurer is flying under the radar but still critical. This office oversees billions in state investments and pension funds, and advises on wider budget and economic issues.
After three terms, current GOP Treasurer Dan Schmidt is retiring. Republican John Lieberman and Democrat Angelito Tenorio offer different visions on how to manage the state’s finances.
Secretary of state vacancy opens election oversight role
Doug La Follette is one of the nation’s longest serving Secretaries of State, but now leaves the election oversight office empty at 82 years old by retiring. administrator Amy Loudenbeck seeks to hold the seat for Republicans.
But momentum for reform after 2020 puts focus on the office. Democrat Alexia Sabor jumps in aiming to boost voter access and technology upgrades.
Local races exhibit national themes on display
From school boards to county offices, local races in communities statewide are impacted by the polarized climate. Hot button national issues filter down to the neighborhood level.
Contests for city councils, school boards, judgeships, and more serve as the grassroots proving ground for rising political forces. Some local races draw more heat and outside money than contests higher up.
Record spending signals high stakes on August 9
Money pouring into races across the board demonstrates how much rides on Wisconsin’s primary results. Hundreds of millions in political spending is expected, swamping previous years.
High profile statewide contests and key legislative tilts are driving record fundraising. Outside groups also spend big trying to shape outcomes. Voters are saturated with ads for months.
New voting laws in effect for first time this year
From voter ID to registration rules, Wisconsin will test drive its suite of new election laws on August 9. Passed by the Republican legislature, they represent the first major changes in decades.
Democrats pushed back hard, even suing to overturn some measures. But now both parties must navigate the new landscape. Any missteps or issues will surely add fuel to the voting rights fight.
Large field of candidates creates unpredictable outlook
With far more choices than usual throughout the ballot, voters have their work cut out for them. The wide range of candidates in many races adds uncertainty and could lead to close, surprising results.
Razor thin margins may require recounts to settle outcomes. Some nomination contests may not be settled on election night if vote shares are fractured and no one tops 35%.
Wisconsin again positioned as 2024 bellwether state
As in recent cycles, Wisconsin finds itself in the national spotlight as a purple state that reflects the mood of the country. The direction it goes on August 9 and November 8 offers hints for the 2024 presidential race.
Both parties are testing messages and machines this year that could come into play in the next White House contest. Campaign trends and enthusiasm levels will be closely watched well beyond Wisconsin’s borders.
Senate race attracts national attention
The spotlight shines bright on Wisconsin’s 2023 U.S. Senate race. This marquee contest between Republican incumbent Ron Johnson and the eventual Democratic nominee may tip the balance of power in D.C. After years of close statewide margins, the outcome here could determine Senate control after the next election.
Johnson’s decision to seek a third term surprised many, coming just before the filing deadline. This launched a competitive GOP primary with challengers vying to claim the conservative mantle. Though Johnson enters as a favorite, his controversial profile gives opponents an opening to paint him as damaged goods.
Meanwhile, Democrats face their own crowded field in the primary. Top contenders include Lt. Governor Mandela Barnes, Milwaukee Bucks executive Alex Lasry, and Outagamie County Executive Tom Nelson. Each brings youth and their own unique resume, hoping to unite Democrats hungry for a pick-up opportunity.
Given President Biden’s underwater approval ratings and midterm headwinds for the party in power, Democrats face an uphill battle. But Johnson’s divisive style could make him vulnerable in a swing state. His seat becomes a top target for national Democrats.
With the Senate currently split 50-50, Wisconsin’s race may determine which party holds the gavel and agenda-setting power come 2023. If Johnson goes down, the path gets extremely steep for Republicans to hold the chamber. But if he wins again, the GOP can breathe easier about their odds.
Get ready for a Wisconsin Senate race that dominates the national narrative. Voter turnout and enthusiasm here may even serve as a political bellwether. The road to a Senate majority runs directly through the Badger State.
Overall, the high stakes Senate showdown will put Wisconsin squarely in the spotlight. Both parties will pour in resources to sway voters. For those tired of the constant political ads, news coverage, and candidate visits, buckle up for an intense campaign. Wisconsin’s role as a purple swing state, and the Senate majority potentially up for grabs, guarantee an autumn Senate race bombarded by attention.
Key congressional contests could flip House
The battle for control of the U.S. House also runs through Wisconsin in 2023. After a new district map reshuffled the lines, several races now provide prime pickup opportunities for both parties.
One premier contest taking shape is in the suburbs north of Milwaukee, where GOP Representative Scott Fitzgerald faces a strong challenge. His district leans red but could swing with the right opponent. Democrats believe Milwaukee lawyer Kelly Westlund provides that threat.
Western Wisconsin sees a pair of open seat free-for-alls after redistricting essentially merged the districts of Democratic Representative Ron Kind and Republican Tom Tiffany. These massive rural districts are now a jump ball, with Kind’s retirement giving the GOP hopes of gaining a seat.
With only a handful of flips needed to change House control, Wisconsin finds itself firmly in the mix. The national parties will pour money and resources into these battleground races.
For voters, it means being bombarded by a ceaseless loop of negative ads as outside spending saturates the airwaves. Candidates crisscross the state seeking an edge, as every stop and speech is scrutinized.
Issues like inflation, gas prices, abortion, and crime will dominate the debate. But the overarching stakes revolve around the balance of power in D.C. and setting the Biden agenda.
While these districts represent just a fraction of the House, Wisconsin’s seats could prove decisive. The path to a majority narrows without victories in key spots here. Buckle up for the critical congressional races that could determine if Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s gavel changes hands.
Wisconsinites are accustomed to the political spotlight during presidential years. But the 2023 House races will put their state firmly in the national narrative a year early. From cable news obsessing over polls to attack ads flooding their screens, few places will see a more intense campaign. The road to Washington leads through these households.
Governor’s race wide open after 8 years
After nearly a decade under Governor Tony Evers, Wisconsin finds itself at a political crossroads. The Democratic incumbent now faces his first reelection battle amid deep partisan divisions.
A crowded field of hungry GOP challengers sees 2023 as their moment to retake the state’s highest office. Former Lt. Governor Rebecca Kleefisch and businessman Tim Michels lead the Republican pack, touting conservative agendas.
The race could hinge on economic issues like inflation, gas prices, and jobs – prime targets as Evers aims for a second term. But debates over schools, abortion access, and social issues may further animate voters.
With total control of state government at stake, outside money will flood in. National Democratic groups are committed to protecting Evers, while Republicans smell opportunity. The race is expected to shatter state spending records.
After nearly a decade of divided government and gridlock, the governor’s race represents a pivotal struggle over Wisconsin’s future direction. The winning party will have full control to enact an agenda.
For voters, brace for constant campaign ads as the candidates criss-cross the state. Sharp personality contrasts will be on full display as Evers fends off energetic challengers. The race promises to get increasingly heated as November approaches.
While Wisconsin is often in the presidential spotlight, the 2023 governor’s race puts the state under the state-level political microscope. As voters render a verdict on Evers’ tenure, they’ll also send a message about swing state dynamics headed into the 2024 election.
The past three governor’s races were decided by less than one percent – signaling another razor-thin margin could be on tap. For political junkies, it doesn’t get much better than Wisconsin’s wide open gubernatorial race.
State legislature up for grabs with new maps
Beyond the marquee statewide contests, Wisconsin’s legislative races will see their electoral maps scrambled this year. After a legal battle over redistricting, both parties now view 2023 as a chance to flip seats in the State Assembly and Senate.
While the Republican majority looks durable, Democrats see openings created by the new district boundaries. Legislative campaigns often get overshadowed, but with control up for grabs, these races hold increased importance.
In the Milwaukee suburbs, around Green Bay, and other regions, freshly drawn competitive districts put more seats in play for Democrats. Meanwhile, Republicans look to knock off incumbents and strengthen their margins.
Races to watch include the 38th Senate District in northern Milwaukee suburbs and the 37th Assembly District covering Mequon and Cedarburg. Democrats see pickup chances, but Republicans want to defend their turf.
Beyond the balance of power, much is at stake legislatively depending on which party controls each chamber. The next two years will see fierce debates over abortion, taxes, healthcare and more.
For voters in these swing districts, get ready for an autumn barrage of flyers, door knocks, and ads as state parties, special interests, and outside groups spend big. Hyper-local issues like schools and development will mix with state and national themes.
Redistricting shakes up the status quo every 10 years, potentially making some lawmakers vulnerable. But it also creates ripe pick-up chances for the party out of power. Expect money and eyeballs to flow to Wisconsin’s newly competitive legislative races.
While these contests lack the star power of a Senate or governor’s race, the outcomes will shape Wisconsin’s political landscape for the decade to come. Voters in key districts will hear that loud and clear this campaign season.
Supreme Court balance at stake with ideological shift
An open seat on the Wisconsin Supreme Court provides a pivotal opportunity to reshape the ideological makeup of the high court. With conservative Justice Patience Roggensack retiring, both parties see openings to tilt the bench their way.
After divisive issues like redistricting and voting rights came before the court, liberals are eager to flip the right-leaning majority. But Republicans want to defend their 4-3 edge to lock it in for years.
Along with local issues, the national debate over the courts’ role also permeates this race after Roe v. Wade’s undoing. Voters sense major questions of rights and representation hang in the balance.
Two lower court judges have emerged as contenders, each with their own background. Milwaukee judge Janet Protasiewicz seeks to bring a liberal perspective. Conservative Dan Kelly touts his past experience on the high court under Roggensack.
With no primary, this officially nonpartisan race will immediately take on a partisan tone for the April general election. Outside money is expected to flood in as both sides fight for an advantage.
The race provides a unique chance to reshape the court’s direction without waiting for retirements. Voters have direct say on whether the court tilts right or left. The winner gains influence over cases for years to come.
For a body designed to be above politics, this Supreme Court race will immerse Wisconsin in an ideologically-charged national debate. Look for campaign rhetoric to reflect the high stakes over hot button issues.
While technically nonpartisan, make no mistake – party affiliation will dominate this Supreme Court showdown. From activists to ad dollars, partisans on both sides will fight hard to win a majority.
Education battles play out with schools chief race
Wisconsin’s race for Superintendent of Public Instruction exemplifies how education has become a political lightning rod. With GOP-backed challengers lining up, the nonpartisan contest is poised to be an ideological proxy war.
Incumbent Carolyn Stanford Taylor faces criticism from both left and right for Department of Public Instruction (DPI) policies during COVID-19 school closures. Conservative candidate Steve Krull sees an opening to regain the seat.
As schools remain a hot button issue, the race will hinge on themes like curriculum, school choice, unions, and parental rights. These debates have taken on a partisan tone nationally after remote learning backlashes.
With the Superintendent overseeing DPI operations and guiding education policy, voters sense the stakes. The race will prove a referendum on recent controversies like remote learning, teaching race issues, and gender identity.
Both sides are expected to bring in outside resources to influence the race. As a technically nonpartisan position, persuading undecided voters becomes crucial to gaining an advantage.
For many Wisconsin families frustrated over education battles, this race provides a direct say on DPI’s direction. The campaign rhetoric promises to reflect rising tensions.
While officially nonpartisan, political undertones will dominate this fight for schools chief. From ad messaging to interest group involvement, the party divide will be obvious as sides push opposing visions.
After Covid and cultural issues turned schools into a political football, this race gives voters a say on education policies affecting their children. The campaign is sure to intensify partisan education arguments.
Attorney general contest gets heated over crime, rights
Wisconsin’s wide-ranging attorney general race promises to be among the most hard fought down the ballot. Appointed incumbent Josh Kaul faces a feisty challenge from Republican prosecutor Eric Toney.
With crime rates rising, Republicans depict Kaul as soft on criminals and lacking law enforcement support. But Kaul touts using the office to advance things like environmental protections.
Voters sense major questions around justice and rights hanging in the balance. The U.S. Supreme Court’s abortion decision brings reproductive rights to the forefront.
Toney paints himself as the “freedom candidate” and pro-police rule-of-law choice. But Kaul says Toney would infringe on freedoms and pledges a balanced approach.
Outside groups are expected to spend big framing the race along partisan lines. Public safety, civil liberties, abortion access, and guns will dominate campaign messaging.
The attorney general’s extensive powers ensure intense interest from activists on both sides. They aim to elect a top law enforcement official sharing their values.
While technically a nonpartisan race, political themes will permeate this attorney general contest. From policing to cultural issues, the campaign roadmap looks divisive.
This increasingly nationalized debate over crime and justice makes Wisconsin’s attorney general race one to watch. With Kaul on defense, Toney sees an opening if he drives turnout among discontented voters.
Treasurer race focuses on investing, pensions, economy
While lacking in star power, Wisconsin’s open treasurer race holds serious implications for state finances that directly affect residents. With GOP Treasurer Dan Schmidt retiring after three terms, both parties see an opportunity.
The Treasurer oversees billions in state investments and pension funds. They also shape wider budget and economic policies. So this often overlooked race draws intense interest from fiscal watchdogs.
Republican John Lieberman pledges to be a “financial watchdog” who will scour state spending. Democrat Angelito Tenorio argues Lieberman would be too partisan and political in managing funds.
Voters sense the stakes as they assess who’s best suited to steward state monies. Arguments around the economy, inflation, markets, and budgets will dominate campaign rhetoric.
Groups representing taxpayers, workers, retirees, and businesses have mobilized around the race and its long-term fiscal implications. With Schmidt’s retirement, both parties smell a rare open seat opportunity.
This contest may fly under voters’ radars, but insiders know the Treasurer holds real power over state finances. Lieberman and Tenorio offer competing visions on how to wield it.
While lacking flashy appeal, Wisconsin’s treasurer race matters to pocketbook issues affecting citizens. The winner gains substantial sway over budgets and pensions that shape the state’s economic future.
Secretary of state vacancy opens election oversight role
The open Wisconsin Secretary of State contest holds special significance after 2020’s election drama. With Doug La Follette retiring after over four decades, voters get to rethink this office.
Positioned as the state’s election administrator, the next Secretary of State will guide policies around voting access, security, and technology upgrades.
Seeking to capitalize is Republican Amy Loudenbeck, a state lawmaker looking to instill “confidence” in elections after GOP uproar over Trump’s loss here. She faces Democrat Alexia Sabor, who argues for modernizing elections and boosting turnout.
Voters sense major questions around voting rights and representation at stake, as debates intensify nationwide after 2020. The winner gains potent authority over future election procedures.
Both parties are mobilizing, aware of the office’s pivotal role administering elections and providing results. With La Follette’s retirement, they jockey for advantage in overseeing the process.
This often overlooked position is garnering serious attention after disputes over Wisconsin’s elections. Voters have a direct say on future oversight and access policies.
While technically a nonpartisan race, fixing perceived election problems energizes the Secretary of State campaign. From rhetoric to funding, politics will permeate the contest.
After 2020 election controversies, Wisconsin’s open secretary of state race represents a pivotal struggle over the future of voting here. The winner’s policies will shape democratic participation and public faith in the process.
Here is a 1000+ word article on the Wisconsin primary races in 2023:
Local races exhibit national themes on display
The upcoming Wisconsin primary on August 8th, 2023 offers a glimpse into the national political climate through its highly competitive races. Control of the Wisconsin legislature hangs in the balance, with implications for issues like abortion rights and election administration. Meanwhile, an open U.S. Senate seat and several fierce U.S. House battles epitomize the charged dynamics in Washington D.C. Wisconsin’s role as a swing state ensures these races will draw widespread interest.
The race gaining the most attention statewide is the Republican primary for Wisconsin’s open U.S. Senate seat. Incumbent Senator Ron Johnson announced his retirement, leaving the GOP nomination up for grabs. The frontrunner is former Governor Scott Walker, beloved by conservatives for curbing union power but loathed by liberals for his stances on abortion and voting rights. His main challenger, businessman and political newcomer Micheal Gallagher, is attempting to paint Walker as a career politician past his prime.
On the Democratic side, Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes has a strong lead, running as a progressive champion and potential bridge-builder in Washington. Milwaukee Bucks executive Alex Lasry, the son of a billionaire, is testing if money can overcome scrutiny of his wealthy upbringing. State Treasurer Sarah Godlewski lags behind despite endorsements from Emily’s List and other women’s groups. Whoever prevails in the primaries will face intense general election pressure in this polarized environment.
Several U.S. House races also showcase how national issues are animating local contests. In Wisconsin’s 3rd district, incumbent Democrat Ron Kind is retiring after thirteen terms. The DCCC is backing state Senator Brad Pfaff, a former USDA official, while Republicans have coalesced around Derrick Van Orden, a retired Navy SEAL. Van Orden narrowly lost to Kind in 2020 and is hammering Pfaff as a liberal extremist out of step with the largely rural district. Meanwhile, Pfaff accuses Van Orden of being an election denier beholden to Trump.
The vacant seat in Wisconsin’s 1st district, covering exurban Milwaukee, pits MAGA firebrand Scott Fitzgerald against underdog Democrat Liz Smith, the Menomonee Falls school superintendent. Fitzgerald, a former state senate majority leader, eagerly promotes Trump’s stolen election mythos. Smith focuses on education funding and hits Fitzgerald as an extremist who would ban abortion without exceptions. With a slight GOP lean, this race tests Trump’s continued influence over his party.
Lastly, Wisconsin’s 7th district, anchored in Wausau and Superior, has an energetic match between conservative Tom Tiffany and progressive challenger Richard Ausman. Tiffany, elected in a special election in 2020, is an unapologetic champion of gun rights, abortion restrictions, and closed borders. Ausman, an environmental lawyer, aims to peel off moderates with a campaign centered on climate action, healthcare access, and bipartisan problem-solving. With Tiffany a heavy favorite, Ausman’s long-shot bid exemplifies progressive hopes to expand the map after the overturning of Roe v. Wade.
These federal races reflect broader themes in the battle for control of the Wisconsin legislature. Republicans currently have a 61-38 majority in the Assembly and a 21-12 advantage in the Senate. The GOP is hoping to gain supermajorities that could override vetoes by Democratic Governor Tony Evers, who is up for reelection as well. Key state senate races in the Fox Valley suburbs and swing districts near Green Bay and La Crosse will determine whether Democrats can peel back Republican strength.
At the same time, several hard-right Assembly candidates could pull the legislature further right on issues like abortion, guns, and voting laws. Primaries in districts near Madison, Eau Claire, and the Milwaukee suburbs feature GOP candidates vowing to push “constitutional carry” for firearms and implement a total abortion ban. Democrats are fielding moderates pledging to uphold Roe and reimburse abortion-related travel costs. The stakes are high for both symbolic and practical reasons.
Given Wisconsin’s status as a bellwether swing state, the outcomes here will offer clues about national trends. Can Democrats harness anger over abortion to overcome gloomy economic news? HaveRepublicans peaked in their fervor for Trump-style populism? The Badger State primary will provide data points for these key questions and set the stage for a fierce general election battle. Issues like the economy, crime, education, and democratic values are getting local articulations that will resonate far beyond Wisconsin’s borders.
Voters know their choices next Tuesday could have an impact well beyond their hometowns. With laws and policies hanging in the balance, the votes cast here will help shape the direction of the state and provide hints about what’s to come nationally. Wisconsin’s primed to offer political observers across the country a glimpse of what this polarized era may bring in the high-stakes elections of 2023 and 2024.
Record spending signals high stakes on August 9
Money talks, and the money pouring into Wisconsin’s August 9th primaries speaks volumes about the high stakes involved. Key races up and down the ballot are seeing record spending as Democrats and Republicans battle for position ahead of the fall midterms.
The open U.S. Senate seat is attracting the most cash. Over $55 million has already been spent by candidates and outside groups, shattering previous records. On the Republican side, former Governor Scott Walker has a financial edge thanks to his strong small-dollar fundraising operation honed during his presidential run. However, businessman Micheal Gallagher is self-funding his challenge to the tune of $15 million and counting. Expect a barrage of ads as both tout their conservative credentials.
The Democrat’s spending lead belongs to Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes, who has raised an impressive $8 million so far. But millionaire executive Alex Lasry has unlimited personal funds and promises to spend whatever it takes. With polls showing a tight race, money will matter in determining who emerges to take on the GOP nominee. Whoever wins can expect continued outside spending blitzes from both parties in the general election.
Several hotly contested House races are also seeing money pour in from outside Wisconsin. In the 3rd district, over $7 million has already been spent on the race to replace retiring Democrat Ron Kind. Groups like the Congressional Leadership Fund and House Majority PAC are funding constant attack ads. Republican Derrick Van Orden holds a cash advantage over Democrat Brad Pfaff, but national groups are keeping Pfaff competitive. Expect even more spending as this tossup race heads down the stretch.
Likewise, in the 1st district, national conservative groups have dropped over $3 million to boost Republican state senator Scott Fitzgerald over Democrat Liz Smith. While Smith has raised a respectable $1.8 million herself, she’s being swamped on the airwaves. Fitzgerald’s campaign is touting the spending discrepency as proof they have the momentum heading into the home stretch. Cash alone doesn’t guarantee victory, but it’s one more hurdle for Smith.
Meanwhile, legislative races are seeing record sums even by Wisconsin standards. Conservatives groups like Americans for Prosperity have already spent over $3.5 million on attacks ads targeting swing district Democrats. Republican incumbents facing primary challengers from the right are also seeing money pour in to defend their seats. The stakes are high with control of the statehouse up for grabs, and spending totals reflect that.
In some ways, the money tells the story. Out of state groups wouldn’t be pouring in cash if these races weren’t competitive. And local candidates wouldn’t be raising record sums if the stakes weren’t sky high. Voters sense what the money makes clear – from the U.S. Senate down to the state Assembly, the August 9th primary marks a pivotal moment.
Consider the 3rd Congressional District. Groups from both sides are hammering the airwaves because they know an open seat in a swing district is a prime pickup opportunity. Democrats want to show they can win back rural voters post-Trump. Republicans want to prove their new populist approach has staying power. The money gives a hint of what’s to come this fall across the Midwest.
Similar dynamics are at play in the U.S. Senate race. Outside groups are spending big because they know the stakes. If Republicans flip this seat, they not only gain ground in the chamber but show their message still resonates in purple states. Democrats know they need to hold ground here to have any shot at retaining their tenuous Senate majority. Thus the massive spending to shape the race on both sides.
At the local level, money again follows the stakes. Groups are pouring cash into legislative races because the fate of policies around abortion, taxes, and redistricting hang in the balance. Democrats see a chance to break down GOP supermajorities. Republicans see a chance to gain ground before a competitive governor’s race. Cash is flowing to candidates who can tip the scales one way or the other on core state issues.
So while some decry the obscene amounts of money in politics, the spending tells a story. Outsider groups and local donors pour money into races that have wider implications. And the money flooding into Wisconsin speaks volumes about the rising stakes in the state’s August 9th primaries. Voters know the stakes are high, and the money backs that up. Big spending creates noise, but it also signals where the real action is unfolding – from Washington down to Madison.
New voting laws in effect for first time this year
Wisconsin’s primary on August 9th will be the first major electoral test of new voting laws enacted by the Republican-led legislature. Legal battles have modified some provisions, but significant changes remain that could impact turnout and results. With competitive statewide races on the ballot, all eyes are on how these untested rules will shake out in practice.
The most high-profile change requires voters to provide an ID number with their absentee ballot application and ballot. While less burdensome than past voter ID attempts, critics argue it creates unnecessary hurdles for mail voters. On the flipside, supporters say it bolsters election integrity without being too onerous. Tuesday’s primary will indicate whether it depresses mail voting as some Democrats fear.
Other mail voting changes include limiting who can return an absentee ballot on someone else’s behalf and restricting locations for absentee drop boxes. Democrats succeeded in blocking new limits on who can assist nursing home voters, but drop boxes will be less accessible. Mail voting surged to over 40% of the Wisconsin electorate in 2020, so any dampening effects could prove significant.
Election day rules also face a shakeup. The window to apply for an absentee ballot is now much shorter, forcing more last-minute voters to cast ballots in-person. Same-day voter registration now requires providing proof of residency, adding a complication. Observers will watch closely to see if these changes negatively impact students, low-income residents, and minorities.
Furthermore, bans on providing food or water to voters in line could disproportionately affect high-turnout polling places. Proponents argue no one should entice people waiting to vote, while critics counter it makes voting harder in certain communities. The real-world effects will become clear as voters face these restrictions for the first time.
Given close races up and down the ballot, small changes that alter turnout marginally could have major implications. Court challenges have provided some clarity, but core voting law shifts remain in place. Both parties anxiously await real data on the magnitude of impact. Results may foreshadow litigation strategies as the laws go into effect for higher-turnout November elections.
Fundamentally, Wisconsin is a test case for whether expanded access increases turnout or opens the door to fraud. 2020 saw record absentee voting without issues, lending credence to expanded access advocates. But GOP lawmakers cite lingering skepticism among conservative constituents to justify tightening laws. The changes strike a middle ground, but critics argue any additional hurdles are unacceptable.
Of course, unintended consequences can cut both ways. New mail voting requirements could depress turnout among Democratic-leaning groups. But curtailing voter drives could also lower engagement among minority and student voters that lean left. There are plausible scenarios where changes either advantage Democrats or boost Republicans.
Local election officials just want things to go smoothly without additional administrative burdens. With threats against election workers on the rise nationally, anything adding fuel to accusations of rigged elections raises real concerns. Even small hiccups or anomalies emerging Tuesday may get magnified in today’s hyper-partisan climate.
Wisconsin’s primary is the preeminent test of voting legislation that gained steam after 2020. Results here will shape strategies in states like Georgia and Texas where stricter voter ID laws passed. Both parties recognize Wisconsin as a bellwether for whether these policy changes will reshape the electoral playing field.
Of course, one messy primary won’t definitively settle these debates. But clear impacts or lack thereof will set narratives heading into November. With Wisconsin expected to be a battleground once again in 2024, expect the changes on display Tuesday to remain focal points regardless of who comes out ahead this round. The Badger State’s primary is just round one in an ongoing clash over US election laws.
Large field of candidates creates unpredictable outlook
From top to bottom, Wisconsin’s August 9th primaries feature an unusually high number of candidates vying for nominations. The large fields create unpredictable dynamics that could lead to surprise outcomes on election night.
The most crowded race is the Republican Senate primary, which has spiraled to double digits. Former Governor Scott Walker remains the favorite thanks to high name recognition. But his lead has eroded as lesser-known candidates like businessman Micheal Gallagher, pastor Rebecca Kleefisch, and radio host Dan O’Donnell chip away support. The fractured field makes a late break towards an alternative to Walker plausible.
On the Democratic side, Lt. Governor Mandela Barnes holds a steady but unspectacular lead over a trio of challengers. Millionaire executive Alex Lasry has nipped at Barnes’ edge with an avalanche of spending. Sarah Godlewski also retains a dedicated progressive base as the only woman in the race. Even outsider Steven Olikara has won positive reviews. With four credible options, there’s space for Barnes to be upset.
Several congressional primaries also feature bloated candidate slates. In the 3rd District, five Republicans are vying to replace retiring incumbent Ron Kind, diluting establishment support behind Derrick Van Orden. His top rival, veteran Jarod Kruckenberg, hopes conservatives split between Van Orden and three also-rans. Meanwhile, Democrats Brad Pfaff and Rebecca Cooke bash each other to stand out.
The open 1st District has six Republicans jousting to capture Trump’s base. Frontrunner Scott Fitzgerald faces challenges from the right that may force a unpredictable primary. And in the 7th District, Tom Tiffany faces two spirited GOP challengers while four Democrats compete to take him on – creating possible openings on both sides.
At the state legislative level, redistricting shuffled the decks and prompted many newcomers to run. Races in Eau Claire, Green Bay, Kenosha, and the Fox Valley area feature fields of four or more candidates from each party. With familiar names and local dynasties uprooted, these contests are extremely fluid.
Having multiple candidates can create better choice for voters. But large fields also strain party resources, delay coalescence, and pose coordination challenges. When second-tier hopefuls stick around, it becomes harder for frontrunners to lock down majority support as the election nears.
Primaries with just two or three candidates often turn into binary choices along clean divides like moderate vs. progressive or establishment vs. outsider. But additional contenders scramble that dynamic. Personal frictions or regional affiliations start playing bigger roles. Voter preferences get splintered across too many options.
Wisconsin’s unusual number of open seats guaranteed healthy interest from both parties. Court-ordered redistricting further jumbled the landscape downballot. But pandemic frustrations may also be fueling the surge in candidates claiming they can shake up the status quo.
Regardless of the reasons, the crowded fields make summertime polls and handicapping tricky. Frontrunners rarely secure majorities until late in big primaries. Meanwhile, voters tune in and shift preferences as election day nears. The eventual nominees may not be apparent yet.
However, there are strategies for candidates to break from the pack in a crowded race. Crisp contrasts on hot issues, savvy ad messaging, and earned media moments can capture attention. Field organization and turning out a dedicated base also remains essential. There are still paths to victory despite the cluttered terrain.
For Wisconsin primary voters, research will be especially critical this cycle. Learning candidate backgrounds and policy stances will be crucial with less room for name recognition. Voters face tough choices, but the end result could be stronger nominees who earn support through skillful campaigning rather than just reputation or connections.
Regardless, the Badger State’s big fields ensure suspense up and down the ballot on August 9th. Races with six or more contenders rarely have predictable outcomes. The winners may only need 30% support. With so many moving parts, Wisconsin’s primary promises to provide political junkies an exciting evening as votes roll in.
Wisconsin again positioned as 2024 bellwether state
As the 2024 presidential election approaches, all eyes are once again on the battleground state of Wisconsin. With its diverse electorate and swing state status, Wisconsin has emerged as a critical bellwether that often signals which way the country is leaning politically. The state’s August 2023 partisan primary will offer important insights into the views, priorities and enthusiasm of Wisconsin voters heading into the 2024 race.
Wisconsin has long been considered a political weathervane. The state has voted for the winning presidential candidate in 8 of the last 10 elections, with 2020 being one of only two exceptions in recent decades. Given its mix of urban and rural areas, white and blue collar voters, Wisconsin’s preferences have closely mirrored the nation as a whole. Heading into 2024, both Democrats and Republicans recognize the state’s 10 electoral votes could once again be decisive in a close national contest.
All eyes will be on the intriguing primary races unfolding in Wisconsin this August. On the Democratic side, a progressive challenger is hoping to unseat a more moderate incumbent Congressman in a district that includes Madison and its politically active college campuses. The race exemplifies the broader ideological divisions within the party. For Republicans, a wide open field is vying to replace a retiring Senator in what will likely be one of the most competitive Senate contests in 2024. The GOP primary will test the appeal of candidates aligned with former President Trump versus those keeping their distance.
Wisconsin voters will also be choosing a successor to its outgoing Democratic governor, who decided not to seek reelection after a single polarizing term. The new governor could influence election laws and voter turnout in this perennial swing state. A Republican primary is also underway to select a nominee to challenge Wisconsin’s freshman Democratic senator, whose surprise victory in 2018 gave Democrats control of the Senate that year.
Beyond the compelling candidate matchups, the August primary will offer the first look at voter enthusiasm and turnout dynamics following the 2022 midterms. After massive Democratic gains in Wisconsin in 2018 and 2020, Republicans came roaring back to recapture the governor’s office, flip a US Senate seat, and expand their state legislative majority in 2022. Heading into the 2024 presidential cycle, observers are anxious to see whether GOP momentum will continue or if Democrats can mobilize the coalition that previously made Wisconsin a blue bastion.
Voter surveys throughout 2023 have shown economic concerns dominating over other issues for Wisconsinites. Inflation remains high, while jobs and manufacturing output have slowed. Voters are anxious about the future and pessimistic about the direction of the country. These sentiments tend to favor the party out of power, but Democrats hope voter concerns about abortion access will energize their base. The primary results will reveal whether economic pessimism or cultural issues are more salient as voters begin tuning in to 2024.
Fundraising numbers leading up to the primary could foreshadow enthusiasm gaps as well. Robust small dollar donations would suggest grassroots energy among the party faithful. In a telling sign, the Republican frontrunner for governor has already amassed a huge war chest, swamping his lesser known Democratic rivals. Races like this will demonstrate whether one side has an early financial advantage in key contests.
The issues dominating the local airwaves are also instructive. GOP ads are hammering Democrats over crime, while Democrats are countering with accusations Republicans will restrict access to abortion. These themes mirror the national debate, and give early indications which messages are breaking through with Wisconsin voters as 2024 draws near.
Perhaps most importantly, Wisconsin’s August primary will offer clues about the political climate in communities that mirror the nation’s evolving demographics. Counties like Waukesha outside Milwaukee, for example, were once GOP strongholds but have trended more competitive in recent years as college-educated white voters, especially women, have shifted to the left. The margins in bellwether counties will be studied closely for signals of broader changes underway.
As the old adage goes, “as Wisconsin goes, so goes the nation.” The state’s August 2023 partisan primary will set the stage for November 2024. Both parties recognize the road to the White House continues to run through Wisconsin. Its mix of purple counties and swing voters makes it a microcosm of America. For an early read on the national mood, look no further than the exciting races unfolding this summer across the Badger State.