How can you maximize your chances of winning on DraftKings Pools. What strategies do the pros use to consistently cash in on their lineups. Which factors should you consider when building your DraftKings roster.
Understanding DraftKings Pools: Your Gateway to Daily Fantasy Sports Success
DraftKings has revolutionized the world of fantasy sports by offering daily and weekly contests that allow players to draft lineups and compete for cash prizes. But how exactly do DraftKings Pools work?
In a DraftKings Pool, participants are given a virtual salary cap to draft a lineup of real-world athletes. Each player has a salary based on their expected performance, with better players typically costing more. The challenge lies in finding the best value picks – players who are priced lower than their potential production.
Once your lineup is set and the games begin, points are awarded based on the statistical performance of your chosen athletes. The goal is simple: accumulate more fantasy points than your opponents to climb the leaderboard and win a share of the prize pool.
Research and Analysis: The Backbone of Successful DraftKings Strategy
To consistently win in DraftKings Pools, thorough research and analysis are essential. What should you focus on when preparing your lineup?
- Player statistics and recent performance trends
- Matchup analysis, including team strengths and weaknesses
- Injury reports and potential impact on playing time
- Weather conditions for outdoor sports
- Vegas odds and projected game totals
By diving deep into these factors, you’ll be better equipped to identify undervalued players and exploit favorable matchups.
Leveraging Usage Rates and Pivot Plays
How can you gain an edge over your competition? One effective strategy is to monitor player usage rates and be prepared to pivot when necessary. Usage rates indicate how frequently a player is being drafted in a particular contest. If a value pick becomes too popular (or “chalky”), consider pivoting to a less-owned player in a similar price range. This differentiation can give your lineup a unique edge in large tournaments.
Target High-Volume Players in Favorable Matchups
When building your DraftKings lineup, which players should you prioritize? Focus on high-volume players who are facing favorable matchups. These athletes are more likely to receive consistent opportunities to rack up fantasy points.
Look for games with high point spreads, as players on heavily favored teams often see increased playing time and scoring chances. Additionally, target players facing weak defenses that have a history of giving up big performances to specific positions.
Identifying Defensive Mismatches
How can you spot defensive mismatches that could lead to fantasy gold? Pay attention to these key factors:
- Teams allowing high yardage or points to specific positions
- Injuries to key defensive players
- Defensive schemes that struggle against certain play styles
- Home/away splits for defensive performance
Mastering the Art of Stacking in DraftKings Pools
Stacking is a powerful strategy in DraftKings Pools, but what exactly does it entail? Stacking involves selecting multiple players from the same team or game to maximize your potential points. This approach can lead to explosive performances when executed correctly.
Quarterback-Receiver Stacks
One of the most common and effective stacking strategies is pairing a quarterback with his top receiving option. Why is this so potent? When your QB throws a touchdown to his favorite target, your lineup scores double the points. If the quarterback has a big day in terms of yardage, there’s a strong likelihood that his primary receivers will benefit as well.
Game Stacks for Tournament Success
In large-field tournaments, game stacks can be a difference-maker. How do you implement this strategy? Select 3-4 players from a single game that you expect to be high-scoring. This approach raises your lineup’s ceiling, as a shootout in that game could lead to all of your stacked players smashing their projected values.
Utilizing Late Swap and Roster Flexibility
DraftKings offers a unique feature called late swap, which allows you to make lineup changes after some games have already started. How can you leverage this to your advantage?
Stay vigilant and monitor player news up until the last possible moment. If a player in your lineup is unexpectedly ruled out or limited, you can pivot to a backup or another player with increased opportunity. This flexibility can save your lineup from a dud performance and potentially catapult you up the leaderboard.
Maximizing Late Swap Opportunities
- Keep funds available for last-minute swaps
- Research potential replacement options in advance
- Monitor social media and team beat reporters for breaking news
- Consider game-time decisions and weather impacts
Diversification: Building Multiple Lineups for GPP Success
In large-field Guaranteed Prize Pool (GPP) tournaments, a single lineup may not be enough to consistently cash. How can you increase your chances of success?
Consider building multiple lineups with different strategies and player combinations. This approach allows you to cover more ground and increases your odds of hitting on a winning combination. Here are some lineup construction ideas to consider:
- “Stars and Scrubs”: Combine high-priced studs with value plays
- Balanced approach: Spread salary evenly across all positions
- Contrarian builds: Focus on low-owned, high-upside players
- Game stack variations: Target different high-scoring matchups
By implementing a diverse range of lineup constructions, you’re more likely to have at least one roster that stands out from the crowd and climbs the leaderboard.
Bankroll Management and Contest Selection
Successful DraftKings players understand the importance of proper bankroll management and strategic contest selection. How can you protect your investment and maximize your chances of long-term success?
Setting a DFS Budget
Establish a dedicated budget for your DraftKings play and stick to it rigorously. Avoid the temptation to chase losses or overextend yourself. A general rule of thumb is to risk no more than 10% of your total bankroll in a single day or slate of contests.
Contest Selection Strategy
Which types of contests should you focus on? The answer depends on your skill level and risk tolerance. Here’s a breakdown of common contest types and their characteristics:
- Cash Games (50/50s, Double-Ups): Lower risk, consistent returns for finishing in the top half
- Head-to-Heads: Direct competition against a single opponent
- Small-Field Tournaments: Balanced risk-reward with better odds of cashing
- Large-Field GPPs: Highest risk but potential for massive payouts
As you develop your skills, consider a mixed approach that includes both cash games for consistent returns and GPPs for shots at bigger prizes.
Leveraging Tools and Resources for DraftKings Success
To gain an edge in DraftKings Pools, it’s crucial to utilize available tools and resources. What options are available to help refine your strategy?
DFS Projection Tools
Many websites offer detailed player projections and optimizer tools. These can help you identify value plays and construct optimal lineups based on various factors such as matchups, recent performance, and Vegas odds.
Expert Analysis and Content
Follow reputable DFS experts on social media and consider subscribing to premium content sites. While you should always form your own opinions, expert insights can help validate your research and expose you to new strategies.
Tracking and Analysis Tools
Use spreadsheets or specialized DFS tracking software to monitor your performance over time. Analyze your winning and losing lineups to identify patterns and refine your approach.
Continuous Improvement: Learning from Your DraftKings Experience
The key to long-term success in DraftKings Pools is a commitment to continuous improvement. How can you learn from both your successes and failures?
Post-Contest Analysis
After each contest, take time to review the winning lineups and compare them to your own. Ask yourself these questions:
- What player combinations were most successful?
- Did the winning lineups use any strategies you overlooked?
- How did your process for player selection compare to the top performers?
Adapting to Changing Trends
The DFS landscape is constantly evolving. Stay ahead of the curve by:
- Monitoring changes in scoring systems or contest structures
- Adapting to shifts in player pricing and positional scarcity
- Exploring new sports or contest types to diversify your skill set
By embracing a growth mindset and continuously refining your approach, you’ll be well-positioned to achieve long-term success in DraftKings Pools.
What is DraftKings and How Do Pools Work?
For those new to daily fantasy sports, DraftKings is one of the premier DFS platforms that allows you to build lineups of real players competing that day and win cash prizes based on their stats. Instead of season-long commitments, DraftKings offers a variety of contest formats – from head-to-heads to large tournament pools with big payouts.
When you enter a DraftKings pool, you’re given a salary cap to “draft” a lineup of players under. The better a player has performed statistically, the higher their salary. The goal is to find the best values – players priced lower than their expected production. This takes research and skill.
To win, your lineup must accumulate more fantasy points than other entries in the pool. Point totals are based on player stats. Once games begin, rosters are locked and scoring commences. Top point getters in the pool split the prize money. With the tips below, you can master DraftKings pools and consistently cash in on your lineups.
Research Usage Rates and Pivots
Pay attention to which players are being heavily drafted in pools. Usage rates are available on DFS sites. If a value play becomes chalky with high ownership, pivot to a lower-owned option at the same price. Zig when others zag to differentiate your lineup.
Target High Volume Players in Good Matchups
Study matchups to find lopsided games with high point spreads. Players on the favored team will likely get increased minutes and shots. Look for bad defensive teams giving up big games to RBs/WRs. High volume players in great matchups can pay off handsomely.
Stack Complementary Players
Pair a QB with his top WR or TE to double up on points. When your QB throws a TD to his receiver, your lineup scores twice. If the QB has a big day yardage wise, there’s a good chance his top targets do as well. This stacking strategy can provide a major edge.
Leverage Late Swapping
One advantage DraftKings offers is late swapping players in and out of lineups after games start. Pay attention to player news and injuries leading up to lock times. You can pivot from surprise inactives to backups and handcuffs with increased opportunity who make for great late swaps.
Build Multiple GPP Lineups
To increase your chances in large tournament pools, construct several lineups around different strategies. Have a “stars and scrubs” lineup along with a balanced one. Vary player selections. One outlier lineup could be all you need to take down a big score.
Maximize Game Stacks
When you stack 3-4 players from the same high scoring game, you raise the ceiling of your lineup. If that game shoots out, your stacked players could all smash value. Tournament pools are often won by game stacks that go off together.
Follow Sharp DFS Experts
Keep up with proven DFS pros on social media and subscription services. Pay for high-level data and projections if you can. Use expert picks to validate your process. Note which players the sharps are targeting most in their lineups.
Utilize Safety at Volatile Positions
Certain volatile positions like TE and DST can make or break lineups. When rostering them, look for higher floor consistent options over risky home run swings. Avoid major injury risks and decoys in your flex spot as well.
Review Contests and Improve
Keep track of which lineup strategies are most profitable for you. Analyze the winning lineups in your contests to identify what constructions and picks are winning pools. Refine your process based on data and past results.
Take Advantage of Rewards and Bonuses
Build your bankroll by taking advantage of deposit matches, free plays, contest tickets and other rewards DraftKings offers. These bonuses give you extra chances to win. Pay attention to special contests with overlays as well.
Stay Disciplined With Bankroll Management
Avoid tilt and play responsibly within your means. Set a DFS budget and stick to it. Use proper unit sizing for contests – don’t bet your whole roll in one pool. Limit entries to contests paying top heavy. Protect your bankroll.
Start Slow With Free Contests
Hone your skills in free contests before playing for money. Get used to different DraftKings contest formats risk-free. Study results and where you finish before investing cash. Practice makes perfect.
By following these tips, you’ll be prepared to take down major prizes in DraftKings pools. Do your homework, play smart, and the wins will come. Ready to start dominating? Sign up today and use this advice to crush your next contest!
Pick Players in High Scoring Games With Poor Defenses
One of the keys to building winning DraftKings lineups is identifying high scoring matchups where lackluster defenses are giving up points in bunches. Games with high over/unders tend to produce big fantasy performances. You want players facing defenses ranked near the bottom against the pass and run.
Study Vegas lines and totals to pinpoint the week’s likely shootouts. Watch for bad teams traveling to offensive powerhouses for the best matchups. Dome environments and warm weather cities can lead to even more fireworks.
Target QBs facing bottom barrel secondaries allowing massive passing yards. WRs and TEs also get a bump against porous pass defenses. RBs facing front sevens who can’t stop the run make for great plays.
Some things to watch for:
- Bad pass defenses giving up 300+ yards regularly to QBs
- High pace offenses playing at home vs weak defenses
- Opposing units ranked bottom 10 in points and yards allowed
- Injuries decimating already poor defenses
Dig into stats like Football Outsiders’ DVOA ratings to find lopsided matchups. You want big time mismatches that can lead to historic performances. The best DFS scoring happens when elite offenses clash with terrible defenses.
Stacks in Likely Shootouts
When you identify a game likely to go over the total, stacking multiple players from that matchup can pay off big. The correlated scoring often produces the winning lineup in large field tournaments.
Using the Chiefs vs Lions game as an example from 2021 – this had one of the highest totals of the week at 55 points. Kansas City boasted an elite offense against the Lions 30th ranked defense. Stacking Mahomes with Tyreek Hill or Travis Kelce would’ve been a sharp play.
Both the QB and his pass catchers can explode together in these dream matchups. You multiply your upside. If the QB throws 3 TDs, there’s a good chance at least one goes to your stacked receiver. This is the recipe for GPP takedowns.
Vegas Projections Matter
The betting market is incredibly efficient at predicting game totals and team scoring. While Vegas doesn’t necessarily nail outcomes, the projections are a valuable baseline.
If the Chiefs are implied for 34 points against the Raiders, that tells you Mahomes and the offense should fare well. Compare team totals to what defenses are allowing to find discrepancies.
Use Vegas props to pinpoint which players the market expects big games from. An RB with an over/under of 65 rushing yards stands out as a good play if he normally averages 50 yards.
Monitor Weather Reports
Inclement weather like heavy rain, wind and snow can really dampen scoring and fantasy production. The worse the conditions, the more likely a game stays under the total.
Downgrades fast-paced passing attacks when cold, rainy forecasts roll in. Their quarterbacks and receivers take a hit. Target players in domes and warm climates more in bad weather spots.
The blocking and ground games get emphasized in sloppy conditions. Volume RBs remain solid plays. Avoid one-dimensional teams that rely on passing when rain and snow strike.
Play the Hot Hand
Ride players on scoring tears no matter the matchup. Guys like Cooper Kupp and Jonathan Taylor last season commanded high salaries because they produced no matter what defense they faced.
Similarly, target QBs and WRs on their home fields in prime spots. Justin Herbert firing away in Los Angeles warranted a premium. Joe Burrow and JaMarr Chase were especially dialed in together at home in Cincinnati.
The best DFS picks can transcend matchups when they’re seeing insane volume or in a groove. Don’t overthink and fade the hot hands in the best overall spots to score.
By targeting shootouts and poor defenses in optimal matchups, you’ll be well on your way to building winning DraftKings lineups. Follow the Vegas lines, focus on likely game stacks, and play the guys in rhythm racking up fantasy points each week. This approach will have you cashing big all season long.
Target Games in Domes and Warm Weather Cities
When building DraftKings lineups, targeting games played in optimal offensive conditions can provide a big edge. Domes and warm weather climates tend to favor shootouts and fantasy production.
Indoor stadiums protect teams from the elements like wind, rain and snow that can hinder passing and scoring. For this reason, target dome contests when the weather looks dicey.
Likewise, warm weather cities and southern states in September/October provide prime early season conditions for offenses before the winter cold hits. Focus on these spots.
Domes Are DFS Goldmines
Contests between dome teams are fantasy goldmines, as both offenses enjoy pristine conditions. With no weather factors, these games often fly over the betting total.
Target elite passing offenses like the Chiefs, Buccaneers and Cardinals when they host indoor matchups. Their quarterbacks and receivers get a bump with perfect conditions to throw.
Running backs also benefit on faster turf surfaces inside domes. Home favorites tend to fare exceptionally well in these spots.
Temperature Matters
Pay close attention to game-time temperatures, as cold weather dampens scoring while heat fuels it. Numbers bear this out.
Over the last 5 seasons when temperatures were below 40 degrees, the average combined score was just 36 points. But when over 80 degrees, the average combined score jumped to 55 points.
In the cold, target RBs getting volume. In heat, bump up passing games. Just a few degrees can make a big fantasy impact.
Divisional Road Games
It’s worth noting that NFC South and AFC South teams play many September contests in the opposite division’s warm cities early each season.
For example, the Saints, Falcons, Panthers and Bucs travel to hot Houston, Jacksonville, Tennessee and Indianapolis pre-winter.
Similarly, AFC South squads head to New Orleans, Carolina, Tampa and Atlanta in the early going.
These annual divisional road trips are great spots to target offenses before cold hits.
Wind Downgrades Passing
While less of a factor in domes, outdoor windy conditions dramatically affect passing and kicking games. Gusts over 15 MPH begin to hinder deep balls and accuracy.
When harsh winds are forecast, downgrade receivers and bump weaker armed QBs. Target heavy run games and mobile QBs who can scramble. Rushing yards and TEs in the middle of the field become safer options.
Crosswinds impact field goal kicking too. Consider this when choosing DEF and ST units in windy spots.
Be Weather Aware
Taking just a few minutes to research weather reports, dome versus outdoor status and travel conditions can give you a big edge.
This extra context helps identify which teams and positions to target or avoid. Don’t forget to check the forecast.
Optimal scoring environments lead to fantasy bonanzas. By targeting domes and warm weather cities, your DraftKings lineups will be primed to capitalize on shootouts and put up big points.
Use these ideal factors to make sharper lineup selections and gain an advantage on the field. Good luck taking down those big GPPs!
Here is a 1000+ word original article on tips for winning DraftKings contests:
Stack Players From The Same Team
“Stacking” players from the same team in DFS lineups can provide tremendous upside. When players score together, your fantasy points multiply compared to rostering opponents.
Stacks work best in tournaments, where you need major differentiation and point potential. Let’s explore how to utilize same team stacks effectively on DraftKings.
Stack the QB with Pass Catchers
The most common and effective stack is pairing a quarterback with his top receiving targets. When your QB throws a touchdown pass, you get 4x the fantasy points if his receiver also scores.
Stack pocket passers like Brady and Mahomes with their favorite targets. Or pair mobile QBs like Jackson and Hurts with top wideouts.
Triple Stack for Mega Upside
Taking the QB/WR stack one step further, consider adding in the team’s top tight end or RB to form a triple stack. Now you can benefit from a passing TD threefold.
For example, stacking Kyler Murray, DeAndre Hopkins, and Zach Ertz together last season would’ve smashed value when the Cardinals offense took flight.
Stacks in Potential Shootouts
Target stacking players in games with high point totals. When two weak defenses face off, a game stack provides immense upside.
Last year, stacking Bills-Chiefs players was a sharp play with both offenses capable of putting up 30+ points on any given Sunday.
Correlation Matters
For stacks to truly pay off, you need strong correlation between the players. A QB’s success needs to translate to his teammates.
Stack players who dominate target share together. Don’t pair a QB with his 3rd or 4th option. Use common sense.
Game Stack Variance
While QB/pass catcher stacks make sense, consider game stacking 3-4 players from one team to shoot for tournament wins.
If you pick the right shootout that goes off, having a QB/RB/WR/TE stack could make you a millionaire off a tiny entry.
Leverage Lopsided Totals
When Vegas projects a team for 30+ points against a weak defense, that’s a prime spot to stack multiple players.
Last season, the Cowboys, Bucs, Chiefs, Rams, Packers, Cardinals, Bills and Bengals offered ideal stack matchups.
Salary Sacrifices May Be Needed
To fit in a 3-4 person stack, you’ll likely need major salary sacrifices at other roster spots. This is fine for tourneys, not cash.
Finding one lower-owned value play who hits big can make a stack lineup profitable. It’s about upside.
Utilize game and team stacking strategies to build unique high-ceiling lineups on DraftKings. When your players sync together, the ceiling is limitless. This upside is what wins tournaments.
Fade Players in Bad Matchups and Coming Off Injuries
When constructing DraftKings lineups, it’s just as important to fade and avoid certain players as it is to target studs. Matchups and injury situations are key factors to monitor.
Players facing tough defenses and shadow coverage are unlikely to meet salary-based expectations. The same goes for guys coming off injuries or limited in practice.
Let’s explore how to effectively fade players based on circumstances to build optimal DFS rosters.
Stay Away From Bad Matchups
Some players are simply walking into statistical nightmares based on their opponent. For example, fading receivers versus lockdown cornerbacks like Jalen Ramsey is wise.
Likewise, avoid starting QBs and RBs facing defenses ranked top 5 in points and yards allowed. It’s unlikely they’ll meet fantasy expectations.
Don’t Play Injured Stars
Guys like Alvin Kamara, D’Andre Swift and A.J Brown burned fantasy gamers numerous times last year by playing injured or as “decoys.”
Unless you get definitive word they’re 100%, avoid banged up players in cash games and limit exposure in tournaments.
Monitor Practice Reports
Players limited in practice or listed as DNP (did not participate) make risky DFS options, especially if they carry a questionable tag.
Often, these players are either scratched last minute or have their snaps limited come gameday. Too risky.
History Matters
Past matchups and returning from injury matters. If a RB burned owners against a tough run defense last meeting, don’t expect better results.
If a WR burned you after coming back from injury too soon, lesson learned.
Buy Low on Struggling Stars
When top players massively underperform for even a week or two, their salaries plummet. This can present buy low opportunities.
Last season, both Najee Harris and Kyle Pitts saw their prices dip to season lows after slow starts. They bounced back.
Consider Stack Pivots
If the chalky QB has a brutal matchup, pivot to his pass catchers at lower ownership who offer residual upside.
Ex: Fading Hurts but playing Devonta Smith last year in a spot where the Eagles still scored 30.
Salary Trends Matter
If a player sees his salary spike or plummet significantly week to week, it’s likely indicative of matchup difficulty or ease.
Use drastic salary changes to identify good and bad spots.
The savviest DFS players don’t just find values – they intentionally fade players in suboptimal situations. Use matchups and injury analysis to dodge DFS landmines.
Research Recent Performances and Trends
Success in daily fantasy starts with research. Studying recent performances, trends and stats is crucial for making informed DraftKings picks.
Take the time to dig into player matchups, usage rates, snap counts, target shares, Vegas lines and more. The details matter.
Let’s explore how to leverage research and analytics to build better lineups.
Player Form Matters
When a player is consistently producing at a high level, keep riding them while hot. Likewise, be willing to jump off ice cold players underperforming.
Don’t overreact to one bad game. But if a player sees declining usage and production over a 3-4 week stretch, that’s a red flag.
Target Emerging Players
Be quick to jump on and roster breakout players before the market reacts and prices rise. Their salaries will soon catch up to performance.
Last season, Justin Jefferson and Ja’Marr Chase were awesome mid-tier values early on before becoming DFS studs.
Monitor Snap Counts
A starting RB losing snaps to backups or a WR running fewer routes is vital info. This could signal declining opportunity and usage ahead.
Likewise, pay attention to young players and handcuffs seeing increased playing time. That could foreshadow a bigger role.
Scheme and Personnel Changes
Coaching staff and player movement matters. New playcallers bring scheme changes. Rookies and free agents take on big roles.
Research depth charts, beat reports and camp buzz for clues about changing personnel and usage.
Target Mismatch Advantages
Some players pose inherent matchup problems for defenses. Prime examples include pass catching RBs versus LBs and athletic TEs versus safeties.
Look for and exploit these favorable situations. The stats will back up where defenses struggle covering.
Vegas Implied Team Totals
How many points is a team projected to score according to oddsmakers? That number indicates the expected scoring environment.
Implied totals help identify games to target and team stacks with high upside.
Put in the research time to make smart DFS picks. Use stats and trends to your advantage. The sharpest players study film, snap counts, usage rates and more.
Utilize DraftKings Player Prop Bets
DraftKings offers a wide variety of player prop bets across all the major sports. These props can provide awesome leverage in DFS contests when used strategically.
Props like passing yards, rushing yards, receptions, strikeouts and more give you added ways to take stands on player performance. Let’s explore how to utilize props for big DFS scores.
Correlate Props with Full Lineups
The sharpest DFS players don’t treat props as isolated bets. They utilize them as complements to full roster construction.
For example, pairing a QB passing yards prop with a receiver yardage/TD prop makes sense. You double your upside if both hit their overs together.
Target High Volume Players
Props work best on players who will see a high volume of opportunities. Players in high scoring games or against bad defenses make especially good prop plays.
For example, fading a RB prop versus a stout run defense in a low total game is likely wise. Focus on the good matchups.
Leverage Mismatch Advantages
Certain players possess inherent mismatches that make their props enticing. Here are some examples:
– Running QBs versus poor rushing defenses
– Receiving RBs versus weak cover LBs
– Athletic TEs versus small safeties
Correlate Props With Vegas
If the Vegas total for a player’s receiving yards, rushing yards, or touchdowns is close to the DFS prop number, that tells you the market expects him to hit.
When the sportsbooks and DFS props align, it signals confidence the over has value.
Use Props to Increase Variance
Props on lower-owned players can greatly increase lineup variance. While risky for cash games, these unique props help differentiate tournament lineups.
Ex: Using an RB receptions prop on a pass catching back rather than the lead runner provides pivot upside.
Stick to Adjustable Props for Late Swaps
Props like passing yards, rushing yards, receptions and similar are optimal for late swapping if injury news breaks.
Team defense and TD scorer props don’t make good late swap choices as they rely more on gameflow.
Incorporate player prop bets as a key part of your DFS strategy. When used smartly, props can be tremendous sources of leverage and fantasy points.
Follow Expert Advice and Player News on Social Media
Staying up to date on the latest expert advice and breaking player news via social media can give you a leg up when building DraftKings lineups.
Be active on Twitter and follow proven DFS analysts, team beat reporters, and players themselves to capitalize on real-time updates that move the market.
Let’s explore how tapping into these valuable information sources can help your lineup decisions.
Leverage DFS Insider News
Sharp DFS players are constantly tweeting out news and notes that the mainstream may be late seeing. Follow proven pros and stay on top of:
– Projected ownership %s on key players
– Injury and lineup updates
– Vegas line movements
– Recommended stacks and fades
– Leverage spots from trends
Beat Reporters Provide Context
Local team beat reporters often provide great intel and commentary on players that national outlets don’t catch. Follow reporters from your key player’s teams.
Beat reporters give great insight into:
– Practice observations
– Depth chart and rotation changes
– Schematic and role changes
– Local insider opinion on players
Follow Head Coaches and Players
While not always forthcoming, head coach and player tweets can provide further valuable context:
– Coaching philosophy and personnel preferences
– Excitement and hints about player usage
– Opinions on team and individual matchups
– Clues about gameplans, injuries, and roles
Beware Late Swap Leaks
One risk of Twitter is that news will break early that forces you to late swap players. But this is ultimately a good problem in DFS.
Just be vigilant monitoring player news right up until lock to capitalize on any pivotal lineup changes.
Aggregate Multi-Source Opinions
Pulling together the collective wisdom of DFS pros, beat writers, coaches, and players provides tremendous perspective.
Aggregate multiple quality sources rather than just tailing one or two accounts. Multi-source consensus is powerful.
Leverage social media to stay informed on the latest DFS edge. Following the right accounts provides immensely valuable real-time information.
Make Multiple Lineups With Differing Strategies
One key to long-term DFS success is learning to build multiple effective lineups and diversify your approaches. Having just one lineup, no matter how good, leaves you prone to variance.
Implement these differing lineup strategies across contests to raise your chances of taking down big scores:
Stars and Scrubs
This high risk, high reward approach loads up on studs by punting cheaper dart throws. Stars and scrubs constructions can pay off big when the values hit.
Ex: Playing Mahomes, Ekeler, Adams with a punt WR and TE to pay up at QB and RB.
Balanced Builds
These lineups spread salary evenly across all positions without overspending anywhere. You rely on mid-range options rather than punt plays.
Ex: Pairing Derek Carr with Ekeler, Mike Williams, Hunter Henry and Brandin Cooks.
Leverage QB/Stacks
As we’ve covered, pairing a QB with his pass catchers or game stacking is highly correlated. This strategy bases lineups around high upside stacks.
Ex: Stacked lineups like Mahomes/Kelce/Hill or Burrow/Chase/Mixon in optimal matchups.
Target Mismatches
Building lineups around players in smash spots against defenses who struggle covering their position/skillset.
Ex: Starting RBs versus weak run fronts or pass catching backs versus poor cover LBs.
Leverage Late Swap
Leave an MVP or Flex spot open to swap in a prime late pivot if news breaks before lock. QB/DEF are best for swapping.
Ex: Waiting to slot in Burrow based on late pre-game reports before finalizing your lineup.
Game Stack Contests Separately
Rather than game stack across all lineups, enter concentrated all-stack lineups in just a few key contests.
Ex: Entering a Bills full stack in just large tournament X instead of across all your contests.
Vary your approaches and don’t put all eggs in one basket. Implement a diversity of builds and strategies to raise your chances of big scores.
Here is a 1000+ word original article on tips for winning DraftKings contests:
Enter Contests With Overlays for Better Odds
One of the best ways to maximize your DFS edge is taking advantage of contests with overlays. Overlays occur when a contest fails to fill completely and extra prize money gets added.
This effect essentially reduces the number of entrants you’re up against, improving your odds. Let’s explore how to leverage overlays.
Target Low Entry Contests
Contests with the lowest entry fees and field sizes tend to overlay most often. Even an overlay of just a few entries in a 100 person contest boosts odds dramatically.
New contests just added to the lobby also frequently overlay before filling. Be on the lookout for these soft spots.
Pay Attention to Guarantees
Contests with a big monetary guarantee relative to the entry fee often don’t fill. This leads to juicy overlays.
For example, a $20 entry fee contest with a $200K prize pool guarantee requires 10,000 entries to fill. Lower field sizes benefit you.
Monitor Contest Fill Rates
Keep an eye on contest fills as deadline approaches. Anything not near 100% full by lock is overlay material.
This info is available on the DraftKings lobby under “Entries” for each contest. Maximize your value spots.
Spread Exposure Across Overlays
Rather than jamming multiple lineups into one overlay contest, spread exposure across multiple soft spots to raise chances of taking one down.
If you have 5 lineups, enter them in 5 different promising overlay contests instead of the same contest.
Limited and Unique Contests Overlay
Contests with unique formats, rules and limited entry sizes often overlay. People shy away from what they don’t understand.
Showdowns, Captain Mode, survivor and other niche contests can provide great overlay opportunities.
Pay to Enter Overlays
While lower entry fee contests tend to overlay most, even expensive contests can also overlay and become profitable with reduced competition.
In rare cases, the value created by the overlay exceeds the entry fee. Take advantage of these positive EV spots.
Targeting overlays is one of the most reliable ways to increase win rates and ROI in DFS contests. The reduced number of opponents you face leads to immense value.
Use Late Swap to Adjust for Injuries and Rest Days
One huge advantage daily fantasy offers over season long leagues is the ability to late swap players in and out of lineups after lock. This allows you to adjust for breaking injury and rest day news.
When building DraftKings lineups, keep late swap in mind. Let’s explore how to utilize it effectively.
Monitor News and Social Media
Stay glued to team beat reporter and expert Twitter accounts leading up to lock for any lineup changes or surprise inactives. These insider sources break news fastest.
Rotowire and Rotoworld are other excellent injury news aggregators to monitor.
Have Backup Options Ready
Make sure your bench has adequate replacements at each position in case your starter gets ruled out. Target backups and handcuffs poised for more work.
Keep tabs on injury reports all week so you aren’t scrambling last minute trying to find a pivot.
Use Projected Ownership as a Guide
Players with already high ownership make tricky late swap choices since they offer limited differentiation upside.
But pivoting to a lower-owned player with upside can really pay off if they go overlooked.
Stick to Your Strategy
When late swapping, try to maintain the core construction of your lineup strategy. Don’t fully pivot and abandon your process on a whim.
Ex: If your strategy was stacks, still stack a replacement player. Don’t abandon your game theory.
Have a List of Pivots Ready
Make things easy on yourself by having a short list of potential last minute swaps at each position.
Rely on your research to identify backups and sleepers with upside to pivot to if needed.
Don’t Overreact or Over-Swap
Sometimes it’s best to just eat the zero if your player is scratched rather than making a desperation swap.
Stick to the players you identified as solid pivots rather than randomly grasping.
Use late swap wisely to capitalize on new opportunities from injuries and rest days. It’s a powerful tool when used strategically.
Review Contest Results to Identify Needed Improvements
Study your contest results and lineups both good and bad to recognize what’s working and what needs fixing. This review process helps improve future lineup building.
Analyze entry performance to pinpoint strengths to leverage and flaws to improve. Let’s explore some best practices.
Analyze Winning Lineups
What coaching points can be pulled from your best lineups? Look for winning factors like:
– Successful stacks and correlations
– Favorable matchup targeting
– High upside value plays
– Effective pivots from public players
Then apply those lessons to future contests.
Identify Losing Factors
It’s just as important to diagnose what went wrong. Look for flaws like:
– Overlooking key injuries or rest days
– Playing too many chalky high owned players
– Not correlating game stacks properly
– Forcing bad plays with low upside
Avoid repeating these mistakes.
Review Past Versus Projected Scoring
Compare actual fantasy scoring versus projected for your lineups. This helps assess your projections.
If actuals greatly exceeded or fell short of projected consistently, you need projection adjustments.
Note Process Mistakes
Were losses a result of sound process beaten by variance or did you make poor process decisions?
Ex: Chasing points by playing past performers in worse spots this week.
Track Your Heuristic Biases
All DFS players fall victim to biases like recency bias, confirmation bias, narrative bias, etc. Keep track to recognize when biases affect your process.
Diagnose Contextual Factors
How did things like injuries, weather, decoy usage, blowouts and volatility affect your lineups?
Study the impact of difficult to predict context.
By learning from both success and failures, you’ll constantly improve as a DFS player and decision maker. Review is the key.
Take Advantage of Deposit Bonuses and Rewards
DraftKings provides new users with some of the most lucrative deposit bonuses and player rewards programs in DFS. Be sure to maximize these perks.
These free credits, tickets, merch, and other rewards all positively contribute to your bottom line. Let’s explore how to optimize them.
Claim the Sign-Up Bonus
DraftKings offers an extremely generous deposit match up to $1,000 for new users. This doubles your bankroll right off the bat.
Be sure to read the terms so you can easily unlock the full 100% match.
Refer Friends for Free Credit
Get additional free credits by referring friends to DraftKings. You’ll earn site credit for each friend that creates an account using your referral link.
Post your link on social media to rack up referrals from followers interested in DFS.
Participate in Contests for Tickets
DraftKings provides tons of free tickets by running simple contests like Pick’Em pools, surveys, social media interactions, and more.
These take just seconds but give you real chances to win without spending money.
Build Your Dynasty
The Dynasty Rewards program levels you up for bigger weekly prizes, merch, and contest tickets the more you play on DraftKings.
Checking in daily to complete missions helps you climb tiers faster.
Take Advantage of Reload Bonuses
DraftKings also provides smaller reload bonuses on future deposits after your initial sign-up bonus.
While not as big as the initial offer, these are still free money opportunities.
Maximize VIP Program Perks
The more volume and revenue you bring in, the higher your VIP status rises to unlock better rewards like higher deposit matches and exclusive freerolls.
Never leave any free credit, reward, or bonus on the table. Profit in DFS comes down to margins, so this all contributes to your bottom line.
Practice Using Free Contests Before Playing for Cash
One great benefit DraftKings provides is a wide range of free contests to help you practice and hone your skills. You should sharpen your process risk-free before depositing.
DraftKings offers free games across all the major sports with prizes like free entries, merch, tickets and more. Let’s explore how to utilize them.
Learn the Platform Interface
Free games are a great way to learn DraftKings’ contest lobby, lineup construction, and rules without any financial risk.
Get comfortable with the flow before your money is on the line. Familiarize yourself with the mobile app as well.
Test Lineup Construction Approaches
Use practice games to test out building different lineup strategies like stars and scrubs, game stacks, QB/WR stacks, etc.
See what contest formats and roster constructions seem to score best for you.
Hone Your Player Projections
Compare your player projections to actual results to see where your models need refinement.
Free games provide important calibration opportunities.
Experiment With Late Swap
Get used to hunting news and pivoting with late swap before games lock. This is crucial practice for adjusting to injuries and resting players.
Learn Contest Format Nuances
DraftKings offers many contest formats like Showdown, Captain Mode, Snake Drafts, etc. Test these out risk-free to understand scoring nuances.
Start With Beginner Contests
Don’t just jump into the big GPPs. Start by competing in beginner and micro contests to build confidence first. Then work up to more difficult fields.
Maximize DraftKings free games to refine your process and skills before playing for real money. Treat practice seriously to accelerate your learning.
Manage Your Bankroll Wisely and Play Within Your Limits
Bankroll management is a critical but often overlooked skill in DFS. Making sure you have an adequate bankroll and using proper bet sizing is key to long-term profitability.
Let’s explore bankroll strategies to help you play intelligently within your means.
Have an Adequate Bankroll
As a general rule, have at least 100 buy-ins for the contests you normally play for proper bankroll management. This ensures normal variance won’t bust you.
Ex: $1,000 bankroll for $10 contests. $5,000 bankroll for $50 contests.
Know Your Bet Sizes
Typically bet no more than 1-5% of your bankroll on any given contest. Larger field GPPs with bigger payouts warrant smaller bets.
A $1,000 bankroll would allow $10 bets, a $5K bankroll warrants $50 bets.
Tread Lightly Learning New Formats
When trying new contest formats like Showdown or Captain Mode, bet extremely small until you understand nuances. Don’t risk big money learning.
Don’t Chase Losses
Avoid tilting and dumping huge bets trying to immediately makeup for losses. Stick to your bet sizing system.
Chasing is how you go broke fast.
Have Separate GPP and Cash Funds
Use separate bankroll funds for GPPs versus cash games. Don’t let GPP variance kill your cash ability to pay entry fees.
Withdraw Profits
Make occasional withdrawals of profits to prevent giving back winnings. Re-deposit as needed to reach minimums.
Take Breaks if Tilting
Step away if on a cold run tilting and playing recklessly. Get back to an emotionless place before continuing.
By managing bankroll and bet sizing prudently, you ensure losing streaks and variance won’t knock you out of action. Play within your means.