Can Penn State football contend for the Big Ten title in 2023. How will the Nittany Lions fare against tough opponents like Michigan and Ohio State. What are the key games and players to watch in Penn State’s 2023 schedule.
Opening Game: Penn State vs. West Virginia
The Penn State Nittany Lions kick off their 2023 football season with an intriguing home opener against the West Virginia Mountaineers. This regional rivalry matchup promises to set the tone for Penn State’s championship aspirations.
Penn State holds a commanding 48-9-2 lead in the all-time series, but West Virginia will be eager to pull off an upset. The game will serve as an early litmus test for both teams, especially for Penn State’s veteran quarterback Sean Clifford, who enters his sixth year with the program.
Key Players to Watch
- Sean Clifford (QB, Penn State)
- JT Daniels (QB, West Virginia)
- Barney Amor (P, Penn State)
- Jake Pinegar (K, Penn State)
How will Penn State’s new defensive coordinator Manny Diaz fare in his debut? Diaz takes over for Brent Pry, who left for Virginia Tech, and will be looking to make an immediate impact with his aggressive defensive style.
Toughest Road Challenge: Penn State at Michigan
On October 21, Penn State faces its most daunting road test of the season as they travel to Ann Arbor to take on the Michigan Wolverines. The “Big House” has been a challenging venue for the Nittany Lions, and this game could have significant implications for the Big Ten title race.
Recent History
Michigan dominated Penn State 41-17 in their 2022 matchup. Can the Nittany Lions turn the tables in 2023? Penn State’s last victory at Michigan came in 2020, featuring a crucial goal-line stand.
Key Michigan Players
- Blake Corum (RB) – Heisman Trophy runner-up in 2022
- J.J. McCarthy (QB) – Returning starter
How will Penn State’s defense contain Michigan’s potent offense? The Nittany Lions will need an exceptional performance to slow down Corum and McCarthy if they hope to secure a crucial road victory.
Most Manageable Home Game: Penn State vs. Kent State
While no game in the Big Ten can be taken for granted, Penn State’s September 16 matchup against Kent State appears to be their most favorable home contest. The Golden Flashes finished 5-7 in 2022 and have historically struggled against Big Ten competition.
Kent State’s Big Ten Record
Since 2012, Kent State has managed just one win against Big Ten opponents, defeating Illinois in 2012. Their overall record against the conference stands at 1-12 during this period.
How will Penn State utilize this game to fine-tune their performance? This matchup provides an excellent opportunity for the Nittany Lions to build confidence, work out any early-season kinks, and potentially give playing time to backup players.
Crucial Home Showdown: Penn State vs. Ohio State
The most anticipated home game for Penn State in 2023 will undoubtedly be their October 28 clash with perennial powerhouse Ohio State. The Buckeyes are expected to enter the season as national championship contenders, presenting a formidable challenge for the Nittany Lions.
Key Ohio State Players
- C.J. Stroud (QB) – Early Heisman Trophy favorite
- TreVeyon Henderson (RB)
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR)
Can Penn State’s defense contain Ohio State’s high-powered offense? The Buckeyes averaged 44 points per game in 2022, putting immense pressure on Manny Diaz’s defensive unit to step up.
Penn State’s Championship Aspirations
With a mix of veteran leadership and emerging talent, Penn State enters the 2023 season with legitimate Big Ten title hopes. However, the path to the championship runs through perennial contenders Michigan and Ohio State.
Keys to Success
- Quarterback play: Sean Clifford’s performance will be crucial to Penn State’s success.
- Defensive adaptation: How quickly will the team adjust to Manny Diaz’s new defensive scheme?
- Road performance: Winning tough away games, especially at Michigan, could make or break Penn State’s season.
- Consistency: Avoiding slip-ups against lesser opponents while competing with top-tier teams.
How does Penn State’s schedule compare to other Big Ten contenders? While every team faces challenges, the Nittany Lions’ slate includes several pivotal games that could determine their fate in the conference race.
Impact of Special Teams on Penn State’s Season
Often overlooked, special teams play a crucial role in determining the outcome of close games. Penn State boasts one of the nation’s top punters in Barney Amor, while kicker Jake Pinegar looks to rebound from an inconsistent 2022 campaign.
Areas of Focus
- Field position battles
- Pinegar’s consistency on field goals
- Return game impact
- Coverage units limiting opponent returns
How much can improved special teams play impact Penn State’s win total? In tight conference matchups, a single field goal or a well-placed punt could be the difference between victory and defeat.
Penn State’s Defensive Transition
With the departure of defensive coordinator Brent Pry to Virginia Tech, Penn State turns to Manny Diaz to lead their defense in 2023. Diaz brings a reputation for aggressive, turnover-focused schemes that could reshape the Nittany Lions’ defensive identity.
Key Defensive Players
- Secondary unit (mostly returning starters)
- New pass rushers to replace Arnold Ebiketie
How will Diaz’s aggressive style mesh with Penn State’s existing defensive talent? The early-season matchups, particularly the opener against West Virginia, will provide insight into the effectiveness of this new defensive approach.
The Sean Clifford Factor
Entering his sixth year with the program, quarterback Sean Clifford carries the weight of Penn State’s championship aspirations on his shoulders. His experience and leadership will be crucial factors in the Nittany Lions’ success.
Clifford’s Career Statistics
- Passing yards: [Insert accurate stats]
- Touchdowns: [Insert accurate stats]
- Interceptions: [Insert accurate stats]
- Completion percentage: [Insert accurate stats]
Can Clifford elevate his game to lead Penn State to a Big Ten title? His performance in key matchups against Michigan and Ohio State could define both his legacy and the Nittany Lions’ season.
Potential Breakout Players for Penn State
While established stars often garner the most attention, unexpected breakout performances can dramatically impact a team’s success. Penn State has several candidates who could step into larger roles and make significant contributions in 2023.
Players to Watch
- [Insert name and position of potential breakout player]
- [Insert name and position of potential breakout player]
- [Insert name and position of potential breakout player]
How will these emerging talents affect Penn State’s depth and overall performance? Keep an eye on these players as they look to make their mark and potentially become key contributors in the Nittany Lions’ championship pursuit.
Penn State’s Road to the College Football Playoff
While winning the Big Ten is the primary goal, Penn State also harbors aspirations of reaching the College Football Playoff. The path to the playoff is challenging, but not insurmountable for a talented Nittany Lions squad.
Key Factors for Playoff Contention
- Navigating a tough Big Ten schedule
- Securing marquee wins against top-ranked opponents
- Maintaining a high level of play throughout the season
- Avoiding upset losses
What would it take for Penn State to make the playoff? A conference championship is likely a must, but the Nittany Lions may also need some help in the form of losses by other top contenders around the country.
Impact of Home Field Advantage at Beaver Stadium
Penn State’s Beaver Stadium is renowned for its electric atmosphere and passionate fan base. The home field advantage provided by the 106,572-seat stadium can be a significant factor in the Nittany Lions’ success.
Notable Home Games in 2023
- West Virginia (Season opener)
- Ohio State (October 28)
- [Insert other significant home games]
How much does the “Beaver Stadium effect” influence game outcomes? The raucous environment can rattle opposing teams, potentially leading to crucial mistakes that Penn State can capitalize on.
Penn State’s Recruiting Impact on 2023 Season
The success of any college football program is closely tied to its recruiting efforts. Penn State’s recent recruiting classes will begin to make their presence felt in the 2023 season, potentially providing an influx of young talent to complement the team’s veteran leadership.
Key Recruits to Watch
- [Insert name and position of notable recruit]
- [Insert name and position of notable recruit]
- [Insert name and position of notable recruit]
How quickly can these young players adapt to the college game and contribute to Penn State’s success? The development and integration of these recruits could provide a crucial edge in the Nittany Lions’ quest for a Big Ten title.
James Franklin’s Coaching Legacy at Penn State
Head coach James Franklin enters his tenth season at the helm of Penn State’s football program in 2023. While he has achieved considerable success, including a Big Ten championship in 2016, the pressure to deliver another conference title and compete for national championships continues to mount.
Franklin’s Penn State Record
- Overall record: [Insert accurate stats]
- Bowl game record: [Insert accurate stats]
- Record against Ohio State and Michigan: [Insert accurate stats]
How will the 2023 season impact Franklin’s legacy at Penn State? A Big Ten title and potential playoff berth would solidify his status as one of the program’s great coaches, while falling short of expectations could raise questions about the program’s trajectory.
The Big Ten Landscape: Penn State’s Competition
While Penn State’s schedule and performance are crucial, the team’s success also depends on the strength of their Big Ten competitors. Understanding the conference landscape is essential for assessing the Nittany Lions’ championship prospects.
Key Big Ten Contenders
- Ohio State
- Michigan
- [Insert other notable Big Ten contenders]
How does Penn State stack up against the top teams in the conference? Analyzing the strengths and weaknesses of these competitors provides insight into the challenges the Nittany Lions will face in their quest for a Big Ten title.
Penn State’s Offensive Strategy for 2023
With Sean Clifford returning at quarterback and a mix of experienced and emerging talent at skill positions, Penn State’s offensive approach in 2023 will be crucial to their success. The team’s ability to balance their passing and running game while adapting to opponent defenses will play a significant role in their championship aspirations.
Key Offensive Players
- Sean Clifford (QB)
- [Insert name and position of key offensive player]
- [Insert name and position of key offensive player]
- [Insert name and position of key offensive player]
How will Penn State’s offense evolve in 2023? Look for potential changes in scheme or play-calling that could unlock new dimensions of the Nittany Lions’ attack and keep opposing defenses off-balance.
The Importance of Penn State’s Non-Conference Schedule
While Big Ten games rightfully garner the most attention, Penn State’s non-conference schedule can significantly impact their season. These games provide opportunities to build confidence, work out early-season issues, and potentially boost the team’s national ranking.
2023 Non-Conference Opponents
- West Virginia (Home opener)
- Delaware (September 9)
- Kent State (September 16)
How will these non-conference matchups prepare Penn State for their Big Ten slate? These games offer valuable experience and the chance to fine-tune strategies before entering the grueling conference schedule.
As the 2023 season approaches, Penn State football fans have reason for optimism. With a mix of veteran leadership, emerging talent, and a challenging yet manageable schedule, the Nittany Lions are poised to compete for Big Ten supremacy. The team’s performance in key matchups against Michigan and Ohio State will likely determine their fate, but don’t overlook the importance of avoiding upsets and maintaining consistency throughout the season.
Coach James Franklin and his staff have built a program capable of competing at the highest level. Now, it’s up to the players to execute on the field and turn potential into results. As the leaves begin to turn and the crisp autumn air settles over Happy Valley, the roar of Beaver Stadium will signal the start of another thrilling Penn State football season – one that could end with the Nittany Lions hoisting the Big Ten championship trophy.
Opener vs West Virginia At Home
The Penn State Nittany Lions will kick off their 2023 football season at home against the West Virginia Mountaineers. This will be an exciting opener between two regional rivals who don’t play each other often enough. Penn State holds a 48-9-2 advantage in the all-time series, but West Virginia will be hungry for the upset win.
Penn State returns a veteran squad led by quarterback Sean Clifford, who will be starting his 6th year with the program. There are high expectations for Clifford to take the next step and lead the Nittany Lions to a Big Ten championship. Having this challenging opener against West Virginia will be a good early test for Clifford and the offense.
On defense, Penn State has to replace star pass rusher Arnold Ebiketie but returns most of the starters in the secondary. Manny Diaz takes over as defensive coordinator after Brent Pry left for Virginia Tech. Diaz will be looking to put his aggressive stamp on the defense right away against a Mountaineers offense led by quarterback JT Daniels, a Georgia transfer.
Special teams will also be crucial in this opener. Penn State boasts one of the nation’s top punters in Barney Amor, while kicker Jake Pinegar looks to bounce back after an inconsistent 2022 season. Field position battles will be key, so both Amor and Pinegar will need to be sharp from the get-go.
Overall, this West Virginia game looks like an exciting barometer to kick off Penn State’s season. A convincing win could set the tone for a Big Ten title run, while a loss would be a disappointing start. The raucous home crowd at Beaver Stadium will be fired up to cheer on the Nittany Lions in this regional clash against the Mountaineers.
Toughest Road Game: at Michigan
Without a doubt, Penn State’s toughest road test in 2023 will come on October 21 at Michigan. The Nittany Lions will have to enter the vaunted “Big House” to take on a Wolverines squad that beat them 41-17 last season.
Michigan is the defending Big Ten champion and will likely be favored to repeat. Coach Jim Harbaugh finally got over the hump against Ohio State in 2022, and Michigan will be loaded again next season. Running back Blake Corum returns after finishing second in Heisman Trophy voting, and J.J. McCarthy is back at quarterback after displacing Cade McNamara.
Penn State always plays Michigan tough, but winning in Ann Arbor will be their biggest challenge. The Nittany Lions last won at Michigan in 2020, keyed by a late goal line stand. They’ll need another incredible defensive effort to slow down Corum and McCarthy this time around.
This game could have major Big Ten title implications. If Penn State wants to dethrone Michigan atop the conference, they’ll have to demonstrate they can win in the vaunted Big House. James Franklin will have to rally the team for a peak performance against a likely top-5 Michigan squad.
Easiest Home Game: Kent State
While there are no true “easy” games in the Big Ten, Penn State’s most manageable home tilt should be against Kent State on September 16. The Golden Flashes went 5-7 last season, with their best win coming against Long Island University.
Kent State is best known for producing NFL stars like Josh Cribbs and Usama Young, but they haven’t posed much of a threat against Big Ten teams. Since 2012, Kent State is 1-12 against Big Ten opponents, with their lone win coming against Illinois in 2012.
Penn State should be heavily favored against Kent State, making this a good opportunity to work out any kinks from the first few weeks. Sean Clifford and the starters can build confidence and rhythm while backups get valuable reps later in the game.
The Golden Flashes do return some talented players, like quarterback Collin Schlee and running back Marquez Cooper. But they lack the depth and talent to keep up with Penn State for four quarters, especially at rabid Beaver Stadium.
James Franklin will be sure not to overlook Kent State, but this is one of those games where Penn State’s superior talent should shine through. The Nittany Lions have never lost to a Mid-American Conference opponent since joining the Big Ten.
Toughest Home Game: Ohio State
As usual, Penn State’s toughest home game this season will be against Ohio State on October 28. The Buckeyes will come to Happy Valley ranked in the top 3 nationally as one of the favorites to win the national championship.
Ohio State quarterback C.J. Stroud is the early frontrunner for the Heisman Trophy after finishing third last season. He’ll lead an explosive Buckeye offense that also features elite talents like running back TreVeyon Henderson and wide receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba.
Containing Ohio State’s playmakers will be a huge challenge for Manny Diaz and the Penn State defense. The Buckeyes scored 44 points per game last year and hung 54 on the Nittany Lions in Columbus.
Penn State will need a near-flawless effort to take down Ohio State at home. That means Sean Clifford must avoid costly turnovers while the defense forces Stroud into mistakes. Beaver Stadium will be amped up, but the Buckeyes are used to silencing opposing crowds.
Winning this game would be program-defining for Penn State. It would snap a six-game losing streak to Ohio State and vault the Nittany Lions into national title consideration. James Franklin has yet to beat Ohio State since arriving at Penn State in 2014. This might be his best opportunity.
Overall, the 2023 schedule sets up well for Penn State to contend for a Big Ten championship. The conference slate is challenging but navigable. Key games against Michigan and Ohio State will likely decide Penn State’s ceiling. With veteran leadership and a manageable road schedule, the ingredients are there for James Franklin’s best team yet in Happy Valley.
Early Test At Auburn
One of the highlight road games on Penn State’s schedule will be their September 9th matchup against Auburn. This interconference battle will provide an intriguing early test for the Nittany Lions.
Auburn is coming off a disappointing 5-7 season that resulted in coach Bryan Harsin’s firing. But new coach Hugh Freeze has reinvigorated the program and expectations are high. Freeze built a winner at Ole Miss and will look to engineer a quick turnaround at Auburn.
The atmosphere at Jordan-Hare Stadium provides one of college football’s most hostile road environments. Over 87,000 rowdy Auburn fans will be fired up to welcome Freeze and cheer on the Tigers. Penn State will need to maintain composure and poise to escape with a victory.
Offensively, Auburn is led by quarterback Robby Ashford who brings athleticism but lacks polish as a passer. The running back duo of Tank Bigsby and Jarquez Hunter is dynamic, so Penn State’s front seven will be tested containing them. Manny Diaz’s aggressive defense should be up to the challenge.
For Penn State, quarterback Sean Clifford will need to make quick decisions and avoid mistakes against Auburn’s pressure. The offensive line must win the battle up front to establish the running game with backs Kaytron Allen and Nicholas Singleton.
This Auburn game comes at an ideal time for Penn State. It provides a barometer against a talented SEC foe before the meat of the Big Ten schedule. Winning on the road could give the Nittany Lions the confidence and toughness needed to contend for a conference crown.
Measuring Stick Against Michigan State
Penn State will host Michigan State on November 18th in a crucial late-season matchup. This game against the Spartans will serve as an important measuring stick for Penn State’s progress under James Franklin.
In 2021, Michigan State handed Penn State a crushing 30-27 defeat. That loss proved costly, as the Nittany Lions finished one game behind Ohio State in the Big Ten East standings. Penn State will be eager to avenge that bitter defeat.
Michigan State could take a step back next season after losing key talents like Kenneth Walker III and Jalen Nailor. But coach Mel Tucker has quickly built a tough, physical program modeled after past Spartan teams. This game will likely have Big Ten title implications.
Offensively, quarterback Payton Thorne returns to lead Michigan State after putting up 24 touchdowns last year. The key will be whether the Spartans can develop a viable ground game after losing Walker. Penn State’s veteran defense should be equipped to slow them down.
This game’s timing late in the season raises the stakes. The Nittany Lions can earn a statement win and position themselves for a strong finish heading into the Ohio State finale. Defeating the Spartans would show how far Penn State has come since that difficult 2021 loss.
Favorable Schedule Flow
When analyzing Penn State’s 2023 slate, the schedule flow sets up favorably for a potential title run. The openers against West Virginia and Auburn provide challenging tests without being overwhelming.
The Nittany Lions then enter a four game stretch – Central Michigan, Kent State, Northwestern, Indiana – where they’ll be heavy favorites. This allows time to integrate new personnel before the meat of conference play begins.
Trickiest stretch is back-to-back road games at Michigan and Minnesota in mid-October. But Penn State gets Michigan State and Ohio State at home in November, along with a bye week to prep for the Buckeyes.
James Franklin has masterfully schedued since arriving at Penn State, front-loading the slate before the grueling Big Ten wars begin. This strategy has paid dividends, as evidenced by Penn State’s sparkling 32-6 record in the first six games under Franklin.
A smooth schedule flow provides needed momentum for Penn State’s title hopes. The program is just a few years removed from the 2016 championship.savvy scheduling and veteran leadership could position Penn State to recapture that magic in 2023.
New-Look Coaching Staff
Penn State’s coaching staff has a new look for 2023 after some key departures from James Franklin’s staff.
Manny Diaz takes over as defensive coordinator after excelling at Miami. He provides continuity running Brent Pry’s scheme while bringing an aggressive style. Offensive coordinator Mike Yurcich returns for year two guiding Sean Clifford and the attack.
However, replacing assistants like special teams coach Joe Lorig and defensive line coach John Scott Jr. isn’t easy. Their replacements have big shoes to fill.
Penn State also lost offensive line coach Phil Trautwein to Boston College. Trautwein did an excellent job developing young linemen, so maintaining that trajectory will be essential.
How quickly the new coaches mesh will impact Penn State’s hopes. The program has lost several coveted assistants to head coaching jobs recently, proof of the staff’s pedigree. James Franklin again faces the task of reloading his ranks.
The schedule lines up well for Penn State to contend in 2023. But seamlessly blending the new staff together is critical. If the coaches gel and key veterans step up, Happy Valley could celebrate its first Big Ten title since 2016.
Rivalry Game Against Pitt
A highlight of Penn State’s non-conference slate will be the in-state rivalry matchup against Pitt on September 16. After a two-year hiatus, this Keystone Classic clash returns to the schedule in 2023.
Penn State holds a narrow 53-43-4 edge over Pitt in the all-time series. But the Panthers won the last meeting 17-10 in 2019, a physical defensive battle at Beaver Stadium.
First-year Pitt coach Jeff Capel will look to lead his program to consecutive wins over Penn State for the first time since 1999. Capel takes over big shoes to fill after the departure of Pat Narduzzi for Louisville.
This in-state showdown generates major excitement and bragging rights. Penn State fans still remember the epic four-overtime Pitt win in 2013 led by running back James Conner. The atmosphere at Beaver Stadium will be electric.
Pitt’s offense took a hit with the loss of star quarterback Kenny Pickett. But running back Israel Abanikanda decided to return after a breakout 2022 campaign. Containing him on the ground will be the Nittany Lions’ top priority defensively.
For Penn State, these early out-of-conference tests against West Virginia, Auburn and Pitt provide critical seasoning. Surviving this gauntlet unscathed would prove the Nittany Lions are ready for Big Ten play.
Primetime Tilt With Wisconsin
One of the premier matchups on Penn State’s home slate comes under the lights against Wisconsin on September 30. Camp Randall is known for its raucous night games, and this contest will generate a phenomenal atmosphere.
Wisconsin had an uncharacteristic 6-6 season last year, but they’ll be hungry to bounce back in 2023. Running back Braelon Allen leads a punishing ground attack that will test Penn State’s front seven toughness.
These teams have staged some epic recent battles, including Penn State’s electric 2016 Big Ten title run. The Nittany Lions edged the Badgers 38-31 that year, rallying from a 21-point deficit behind Trace McSorley’s heroics.
Under the lights at Beaver Stadium, Manny Diaz’s aggressive defense will be eager to slow down Wisconsin’s ground game. Forcing Badgers quarterback Graham Mertz into obvious passing situations will be key.
This game represents an early chance for Penn State to prove itself as a Big Ten contender. Primetime atmospheres often bring out the Nittany Lions’ best under James Franklin.
New Faces at Offensive Skill Positions
While Sean Clifford returns at quarterback, he’ll be surrounded by a lot of new faces at the offensive skill positions in 2023.
Gone are wideouts Jahan Dotson and Parker Washington, who combined for 126 catches last year. Emerging talents like KeAndre Lambert-Smith must step up to fill the void on the outside.
Tight end Brenton Strange is also gone after a 35 catch season. Theo Johnson gets his chance to be the lead guy at the position moving forward.
In the backfield, Kaytron Allen and Nick Singleton showed promise as freshmen. But the loss of Noah Cain leaves that running back room unproven behind the two sophomores.
Integrating these new starters alongside Clifford will be critical. Offensive coordinator Mike Yurcich may simplify the playbook early on to build chemistry and confidence.
Penn State has recruited at a high level, stocking the roster with talent. But game experience is invaluable, so growing pains could happen with so many new offensive pieces.
O-Line Continuity Crucial
While the skill positions feature turnover, Penn State enjoys continuity on the offensive line heading into 2023.
The starting tackle duo of Olu Fashanu and Caedan Wallace is one of the Big Ten’s best. Center Juice Scruggs brings next-level size and strength on the interior.
Guard Landon Tengwall gained valuable experience as a freshman and should take a big step forward. Penn State also adds Western Kentucky transfer transfer Wes Harris at guard.
This is arguably the Nittany Lions’ deepest O-line group under James Franklin. Offensive line coach Phil Trautwein deserves credit for developing Fashanu and Wallace into dominant bookends.
Strong line play gives Sean Clifford time in the pocket to acclimate with new targets. It also paves the way for young backs like Singleton and Allen to shine.
With so much turnover at the skill spots, veterans up front provide stability. Their experience should ease the transition to new faces at quarterback and receiver in 2023.
The schedule sets up well for Penn State to contend in 2023. But capitalizing on that opportunity requires the offensive line to shoulder the load early. Keeping Clifford upright and firing will allow the Nittany Lions to survive early tests before gearing up for the meat of Big Ten action.
Crucial Stretch In October
The Penn State Nittany Lions enter the 2023 college football season with lofty expectations and hopes of contending for the Big Ten championship. Much of their success will hinge on navigating a crucial stretch of games in October that could make or break their season.
Penn State’s schedule is manageable early on, with home games against West Virginia, Delaware, and Central Michigan. This should allow new starting quarterback Drew Allar to ease into the role and gain confidence before the meat of the schedule. The first big test comes in Week 4 at Auburn. Going on the road in SEC territory will be a great litmus test for the Nittany Lions.
After a bye week, Penn State faces two straight home games against Northwestern and Michigan State. While not the toughest opponents, these are tricky games that PSU can’t overlook. Northwestern always plays tough defense while Michigan State will be eager for revenge after last year’s blowout loss in Happy Valley.
Now we get to the make-or-break October stretch. It starts with back-to-back road games at Michigan and Minnesota. The Wolverines embarrassed Penn State last year and will be hungry to defend their Big Ten crown. Going to the Big House will be no easy task. Minnesota is a scrappy team that always gives the Nittany Lions a tough fight, especially at home.
After that grueling road trip, Penn State returns home but doesn’t get a break with a visit from surging Ohio State. The Buckeyes will likely be undefeated and gunning for another College Football Playoff berth. Taking down Ohio State would shake up the Big Ten race and put Penn State squarely in the conference championship picture.
Penn State then wraps up the pivotal month of October by traveling to Rutgers. On paper, this looks like an easier game compared to the others. But the Scarlet Knights have played tough at home in recent years. PSU can’t afford a letdown after the gauntlet they just survived.
Bowl Projections
If Penn State can go at least 3-2 during this crucial stretch, they should be well positioned for a 10+ win season. Even splitting the four games would keep them firmly in contention in the Big Ten East.
Early bowl projections have Penn State landing in a New Year’s Six game if things go well. The Rose Bowl would be the dream scenario to cap off a special season. But even a trip to the Citrus Bowl or Outback Bowl would keep momentum going in the right direction.
New Faces
For the Nittany Lions to navigate this treacherous October gauntlet, they’ll need major contributions from new faces on both sides of the ball.
On offense, Drew Allar steps in as the starting QB after the departure of Sean Clifford. Allar was a 5-star recruit in 2022 but barely saw the field as a freshman. How quickly he adjusts to the pressures of leading this offense will go a long way in determining Penn State’s ceiling.
Defensively, coordinator Manny Diaz has reloaded with several elite transfers like DE Chop Robinson and CB Storm Duck. Their ability to generate pressure on opposing QBs and lock down receivers will be crucial against high-powered Big Ten offenses.
Contending For The Big Ten Crown
When looking at the Big Ten landscape, Ohio State remains the class of the conference. As long as they have C.J. Stroud at quarterback, they will be national title contenders.
But this feels like one of Penn State’s better opportunities to challenge the Buckeyes’ dominance. Ohio State has a reloaded defense but also faces uncertainty at WR. If Penn State can hold serve at home and pull off a monumental upset in Columbus, they could represent the Big Ten East in Indianapolis.
Michigan will also be squarely in the mix trying to defend their conference title. Those two regular season matchups with the Wolverines and Buckeyes will ultimately determine whether James Franklin’s squad can finally get over the hump and contend for a Big Ten championship.
Penn State has not won an outright Big Ten title since 1994. Could 2023 finally be the year they break through? This October stretch of games will reveal a lot about the ceiling of this Nittany Lions squad. Surviving this gauntlet with their championship hopes intact would set Penn State up for potentially their best season in over 25 years.
Back-To-Back Road Games Vs Michigan And Minnesota
Penn State football enters the 2023 season with high hopes of capturing the Big Ten championship. A major hurdle on their path will be surviving a grueling back-to-back road trip against Michigan and Minnesota in October.
The Nittany Lions begin the year with a favorable schedule, opening at home against West Virginia before winnable games against Delaware and Central Michigan. This should allow new quarterback Drew Allar to find his groove before Penn State heads south to face Auburn in a tough Week 4 clash.
Home matchups with Northwestern and Michigan State follow a bye week. While not cakewalks, these are games PSU should be expected to handle if they hope to contend for the conference crown. The Spartans will have revenge on their minds after last year’s blowout in Happy Valley.
Now we arrive at the critical back-to-back road battles versus Michigan and Minnesota. Jim Harbaugh’s crew will be eager to defend their Big Ten title and beat Penn State for the second straight year. Walking into the vaunted Big House won’t be easy, especially facing the Wolverines’ explosive offense led by quarterback J.J. McCarthy.
Minnesota will be next up, and the Golden Gophers always play Penn State tough, especially at home. Running back Mo Ibrahim is back after suffering a season-ending injury in last year’s matchup. He’ll be hungry to torch PSU again after having almost 200 yards against them two seasons ago.
Surviving this two-game stretch will prove pivotal in the Nittany Lions’ quest to capture the Big Ten East crown. Going 0-2 would severely dampen their championship hopes, while even a 1-1 split would put Penn State behind the eight ball. A perfect 2-0 mark through this road gauntlet would announce the Nittany Lions as true contenders.
Stout Defense Key To Withstanding Offensive Onslaught
For Penn State to emerge unscathed against these two offensive juggernauts, defensive coordinator Manny Diaz’s unit must be stout. Michigan and Minnesota both possessed top 25 scoring offenses last season, so slowing them down won’t be easy.
Winning the turnover battle will be critical. Forcing McCarthy and Ibrahim to cough up the football would allow PSU’s offense to operate on a short field. If the Nittany Lions defense can generate takeaways and limit big plays, it would go a long way toward stealing tough road wins.
Penn State’s secondary is loaded with transfers like cornerback Storm Duck. Their ability to clamp down on receivers will determine if the pass rush can get home to disrupt two of the Big Ten’s top quarterbacks. Bend but don’t break will be the mantra for this defense in these marquee matchups.
Offensive Line Must Control The Trenches
For the Nittany Lions to pull off these upsets, winning the battle in the trenches on offense will be equally important. Michigan and Minnesota both have formidable defensive fronts that will test Penn State’s veteran offensive line.
Establishing a consistent rushing attack early on will be crucial. Emerging backs Kaytron Allen and Nick Singleton must find room to run and take pressure off quarterback Drew Allar. Controlling the time of possession and keeping those rowdy road crowds at bay has to be the goal.
If pass protection breaks down and Allar is under constant duress, Penn State’s offense will grind to a halt. But if the O-line can hold steady, it will allow the young QB to find his rhythm and utilize the talent he has at receiver. Winning these individual matchups against two staunch defenses is easier said than done, but also paramount to upsetting Michigan and Minnesota.
First True Test For Drew Allar
While Penn State’s hopes in these games and beyond hinge largely on the trenches, Allar’s performance at quarterback will be under the microscope. After patiently waiting his turn, the former 5-star recruit is finally handed the reins of this offense.
Allar got his feet wet late in several blowout wins last year but has yet to face adversity. His response when adversity strikes for the first time could set the tone for the rest of Penn State’s season. Playing against two top defenses on the road will reveal Allar’s poise and decision-making skills.
Limiting turnovers will be paramount for the young QB. But he also can’t be too gun-shy in critical moments when plays need to be made downfield. Allar’s ability to toe that line and play within himself but also with confidence will shape whether Penn State sinks or swims in this daunting road stretch.
Controlling Their Destiny
While the schedule does no favors putting Michigan and Minnesota back-to-back, it does allow Penn State the chance to control their own destiny. The Nittany Lions only face Ohio State once, and that showdown comes at home two weeks after this road trip.
If Penn State can enter that game with an unblemished Big Ten record, it sets up a potential battle of undefeated teams in Happy Valley with massive implications. But a loss in either Ann Arbor or Minneapolis would all but end those hopes.
Rather than scoreboard watching, Penn State’s championship aspirations come down to mastering these two critical road tests. Coming out unscathed would announce that after years of waiting, 2023 may finally be the season James Franklin’s program conquers the Big Ten and returns to the pinnacle of college football.
Late November Matchup With Ohio State Could Decide Big Ten Title Hopes For Penn State
The Penn State Nittany Lions enter the 2023 college football season with big expectations and hopes of contending for a Big Ten championship. With a talented roster returning on both sides of the ball, Penn State has their sights set on capturing that elusive conference crown that has escaped them since 2016. The Nittany Lions’ path to a potential Big Ten title will go directly through Columbus, Ohio, as a late November showdown with archrival Ohio State looms large. Let’s take a closer look at Penn State’s 2023 schedule and break down their outlook for next season.
Non-Conference Tune-Ups
Penn State opens up their season with three straight non-conference home games, starting with West Virginia on September 2nd. This should provide a solid early test for the Nittany Lions against a rebuilding Mountaineers squad. Games against Delaware and Buffalo round out the non-conference slate, giving Penn State a chance to iron out any kinks before jumping into Big Ten play.
While none of these non-conference opponents are expected to seriously challenge Penn State, they will help prepare the team for the grind of their conference schedule. The Nittany Lions would do well to avoid any upsets and build momentum heading into a crucial road matchup against Northwestern to kick off their Big Ten schedule.
Challenging Road Tests
In addition to Northwestern, Penn State has tricky conference road games at Michigan State, Indiana and Rutgers. The Spartans and Hoosiers are both capable of pulling off upsets on their home turf, while the Scarlet Knights took the Nittany Lions down to the wire last season in Piscataway. If Penn State wants to contend for a Big Ten title, they’ll need to take care of business in these challenging road environments.
The most critical road test for the Nittany Lions will come on November 18th when they travel to face rival Ohio State. These two teams have battled in several classic games in recent years, often with Big Ten title implications on the line. Given how dominant the Buckeyes have been at home under head coach Ryan Day, Penn State faces a tall task to escape Columbus with a victory.
Home Field Advantage
While Penn State has some tricky road tests, they’ll welcome several tough opponents to Happy Valley in 2023. An early October matchup with Michigan could have major implications for the Big Ten playoff race. Later in October, Penn State hosts Iowa in another critical conference clash. The Nittany Lions will need their vaunted home field advantage to help propel them past these two stingy defenses.
Penn State’s home finale comes against Michigan State to close out the regular season. If they remain in contention for a Big Ten championship, this could be a high stakes matchup with the Spartans. Having to face Michigan State’s physical ground game late in the season with potential title hopes on the line would be a tough challenge for the Nittany Lions defense.
Clash With Ohio State Looms Large
It’s no secret that Penn State’s dreams of winning a Big Ten championship hinge largely on their November 18th showdown at Ohio State. The winner of this game has gone on to capture the conference crown in several recent seasons. While the Nittany Lions face tests throughout their schedule, this looming matchup with their archnemesis in Columbus looks to be the definitive game to decide the Big Ten East title.
Penn State will need their A-game on both sides of the ball to take down an Ohio State team that will be loaded with talent yet again. The Buckeyes embarrassed the Nittany Lions 44-31 last season and have won six of the last seven meetings. However, Penn State did manage to upset then #2 ranked Ohio State in 2016, the last time they went on to claim a share of the Big Ten title. To replicate that accomplishment this year, they’ll need lightning to strike twice against the Buckeyes.
Season Outlook
With a favorable schedule overall and a roster capable of competing with any in the Big Ten, Penn State has the pieces in place to make a run at the conference championship. Getting past Michigan and Iowa at home while avoiding slip-ups on the road will be critical. But as has been the case for much of the James Franklin era, Penn State’s season will boil down to how they fare against Ohio State.
The November 18th clash in Columbus looks to be the deciding factor on whether or not Penn State can finally get over the hump and capture that elusive conference crown. A win could propel them to Indianapolis, while a loss would leave the Nittany Lions playing spoiler and aiming for a New Year’s Six bowl appearance. As the 2023 season draws nearer, Nittany Lion fans will have their eyes laser focused on the late November showdown that could make or break Penn State’s championship dreams.
Regular Season Finale At Rutgers Poses Tricky Road Test For Penn State
The Penn State Nittany Lions will face a stiff road test to close out their 2023 regular season, traveling to play Rutgers in Piscataway. While the Scarlet Knights have struggled in recent years, they have given Penn State all they could handle at home. With potential Big Ten title hopes on the line, this regular season finale could have major implications for the Nittany Lions.
Looking Back at Recent Meetings
Last season, Penn State escaped with a nail-biting 16-14 win over Rutgers at home. The Scarlet Knights had a chance to tie it late, but their two-point conversion attempt failed. Given how much Penn State has struggled at Rutgers, they should expect another knock-down, drag-out fight even with home field advantage this year.
In their last trip to Piscataway in 2021, Penn State needed a late drive and field goal to beat Rutgers 23-20. The scrappy Scarlet Knights have played the Nittany Lions tight regardless of venue in recent years. Penn State will need to avoid a letdown in this tricky road environment.
Potential Roadblocks to Big Ten Title
With Ohio State looming on the schedule just one week prior, it would be easy for Penn State to overlook Rutgers. But the Nittany Lions would do so at their own peril. An upset loss to the Scarlet Knights could derail Penn State’s dreams of reaching the Big Ten championship game.
Rutgers head coach Greg Schiano will have his team fired up to play spoiler. They nearly knocked off Penn State in 2016, losing 39-38 in a shootout. The Nittany Lions can’t afford to let their guard down against a feisty Rutgers team playing in front of its home crowd.
Keys to Victory Over Rutgers
To avoid being tripped up in their regular season finale, Penn State will need to stick to their game plan and not get caught looking ahead. Taking control early and limiting mistakes will be critical for the Nittany Lions to subdue the rowdy Rutgers faithful.
On offense, Penn State must remain committed to the run game and controlling time of possession. Their big offensive line should be able to impose its will and wear down the Scarlet Knights in the trenches. Defensively, the Nittany Lions need to contain Rutgers’ run game and force them into obvious passing downs.
Potential Big Ten Championship Game Berth at Stake
If Penn State manages to beat Ohio State the week prior, their regular season finale at Rutgers could decide the Big Ten East title. A win would punch the Nittany Lions’ ticket to Indianapolis to compete for the conference crown. This looming possibility makes it imperative for Penn State to avoid overlooking Rutgers.
Reaching the Big Ten championship game has been the white whale for head coach James Franklin during his Penn State tenure. The chance to finally accomplish that goal could motivated the Nittany Lions to dig deep and grind out a tough road win to close out the regular season.
Final Predictions
Given how much Penn State has struggled at Rutgers recently, this regular season finale is unlikely to be a walk in the park. The Scarlet Knights will come to play and give the Nittany Lions all they can handle, especially on their home field.
But if Penn State remains focused and treats Rutgers with respect, they should have enough talent and physicality to leave Piscataway with a close victory. Expect another down-to-the-wire finish. If the Nittany Lions avoid turnovers and control the trenches, they should survive this tricky final road test of 2023.
Rutgers has been a thorn in Penn State’s side, but won’t ultimately dash their championship dreams. The Nittany Lions will emerge battered and bruised but move one step closer to that elusive Big Ten title berth if they take care of business in the regular season finale.
Toughest Games On Schedule Will Make Or Break Penn State’s Big Ten Title Hopes
Penn State’s path to contending for a Big Ten championship in 2023 will be filled with peril. The Nittany Lions’ schedule contains several dangerously tough opponents capable of dashing their title dreams. Let’s examine the biggest threats on Penn State’s schedule that they’ll need to conquer to reach their ultimate goal.
At Ohio State
Circle November 18th on your calendars, Nittany Lion fans. That’s when Penn State will travel to Columbus for a colossal showdown with archrival Ohio State. The Buckeyes have dominated this series lately, winning six of the last seven matchups. To capture the Big Ten East crown, the Nittany Lions will likely need to snap that streak.
Taking down Ohio State in the Horseshoe is a monumental task, but not impossible. Penn State upset the then #2 ranked Buckeyes in 2016, vaulting them towards a Big Ten championship. They’ll need a similar perfect storm to topple Ohio State on the road this time.
Vs. Michigan
While not as daunting as Ohio State, Michigan poses a major threat at home on October 7th. The Wolverines have one of the top defenses annually and a punishing run game. Penn State’s offensive line will be tested containing pass rushers like Mike Morris.
In a potential battle of top ten teams, one big play or turnover could decide the outcome. Penn State must avoid the mistakes that have plagued them in prior big games to take down a stingy Michigan squad on their home turf.
At Michigan State
The road environment at Michigan State is notoriously tricky, and the scrappy Spartans will be laying in wait for Penn State on October 14th. Michigan State took the Nittany Lions down to the wire in Happy Valley last year despite entering as heavy underdogs.
If Penn State overlooks Michigan State, they could easily end up getting ambushed. The Spartans have enough talent to capitalize if the Nittany Lions allow them to hang around into the second half.
Vs. Iowa
The Iowa Hawkeyes field one of the stingiest defenses in the country year after year, and 2023 should be no different. Their October 21st visit to Happy Valley will be a slugfest of epic proportions. Points will be hard to come by against Iowa’s swarming defense.
Penn State must remain patient and lean on their run game for tough yards. Turning the ball over against this opportunistic Iowa defense would be disastrous. The Nittany Lions will need to win the field position battle and avoid catastrophic mistakes.
At Rutgers
While they don’t have the sheer talent of other contenders, Rutgers has played Penn State tight in recent years. The Nittany Lions’ regular season finale in Piscataway could contain trap game danger.
An emotional letdown after the Ohio State game could open the door for scrappy Rutgers to ambush Penn State. The Nittany Lions would be wise not to overlook the feisty Scarlet Knights on the road.
Outlook
Navigating this minefield of challenging opponents unscathed will be difficult, but not impossible. If Penn State brings their A-game, they have the talent to compete with anyone. A few key plays here or there could decide their championship fate.
Rising to the occasion in their biggest matchups of the year will determine whether James Franklin’s squad can finally get over the hump. One loss may be survivable, but more than that could crush Penn State’s dreams of a Big Ten title.
The margin for error is slim, but the opportunity is right in front of Penn State. If they can lock in and play to their potential against their toughest opponents, the Nittany Lions could finally capture that elusive conference crown.
Easiest Games On Schedule Should Allow Penn State To Build Momentum
While Penn State faces some daunting opponents in 2023, their schedule also contains some very winnable games. Capitalizing on these opportunities will be crucial for building momentum as the Nittany Lions try to contend for a Big Ten title.
Non-Conference Cupcakes
Penn State’s three non-conference home games to open the season look to be virtual tune-ups. West Virginia is down and rebuilding under new coach Graham Harrell. Delaware and Buffalo pose little threat to a Nittany Lion squad with Big Ten title aspirations.
These games provide Penn State chances to oil the machine and get young players experience in live action. Blowout wins would allow James Franklin to empty his bench and evaluate depth while boosting confidence entering conference play.
Favorable Venues
In addition to their non-conference slate, Penn State benefits from drawing Indiana and Northwestern at home. Neither the Hoosiers nor the Wildcats are pushovers, but Happy Valley should provide a distinct advantage.
Northwestern gave Penn State all they could handle last season in Evanston. The Nittany Lions will be grateful to welcome the gritty Wildcats on their home turf this time around.
Chance to Reverse Recent Struggles
Penn State will also relish the opportunity to face Maryland at home after dropping the last two meetings with the Terrapins. The Nittany Lions are desperate to avenge those losses and reassert their dominance over Maryland.
Likewise, Penn State will be eager for payback against Minnesota after suffering an embarrassing loss to the Golden Gophers in 2019. This mid-October home game provides a perfect chance to atone for that defeat.
Avoiding Lookahead Danger
With clashes against Michigan and Ohio State looming in October and November, Penn State could be vulnerable in the prior weeks. But their schedule sets up favorably to avoid any lookahead disasters.
Before Michigan comes a home tilt with Northwestern. Prior to Ohio State is a trip to Rutgers. Those games should have Penn State’s full attention and prevent them from peeking ahead on the calendar.
Chance to Build Momentum
Capitalizing on these winnable games, especially at home, will help Penn State build momentum and confidence heading into the meat of their schedule. Blowout wins would allow the Nittany Lions to gain rhythm while getting valuable reps for younger players.
If Penn State can stack wins early behind their prolific offense, it could propel them to a hot start. That momentum could prove pivotal with marquee matchups later in the season that will decide their championship fate.
Avoiding Upsets is Critical
While these may be Penn State’s easiest games on paper, the Nittany Lions know better than to overlook any opponent. Last year’s narrow escape over Illinois demonstrated that danger.
If Penn State hopes to contend for a Big Ten title, they cannot afford slip-ups against inferior competition, especially at home. Taking care of business decisively against overmatched opponents needs to be the expectation.
These winnable games provide Penn State the chance to nourish their Big Ten title hopes. The opportunity is there to stockpile wins before the schedule turns brutal. Continuing their dominance over these lesser foes is a must.
Key Statistical Rankings For 2022 Team Provide Insight Into 2023 Outlook
As Penn State looks ahead to the 2023 season, analyzing how last year’s team fared statistically provides clues into their outlook. The Nittany Lions’ key rankings in major offensive and defensive categories shed light on their strengths and weaknesses.
Offensive Stats
Despite breaking in a new starting quarterback, Penn State’s offense was still productive in 2022. They ranked in the top 35 nationally in both scoring offense and total offense:
- Scoring Offense: 31.4 points per game (35th)
- Total Offense: 413.7 yards per game (34th)
The passing game took a small step back without Jahan Dotson, but the running attack carried the load. Penn State ranked in the top 20 in rushing offense:
- Rushing Offense: 179.5 yards per game (20th)
- Passing Offense: 234.2 yards per game (53rd)
Defensive Success
As usual, defense was the calling card for Penn State. They ranked in the top 20 in scoring defense, total defense and rushing defense:
- Scoring Defense: 19.3 points allowed per game (16th)
- Total Defense: 337.8 yards allowed per game (19th)
- Rushing Defense: 120.2 yards allowed per game (18th)
The one area of concern was the passing defense, which ranked 82nd allowing 217.6 yards per game. Boosting their takeaways will also be a focus after forcing just 17 turnovers.
Areas of Improvement
The passing game and passing defense emerge as key areas needing improvement. On offense, new starting QB Drew Allar must show he can produce through the air. Defensively, the secondary and pass rush must make strides.
Red zone execution also lagged last season. Better play calling and decision making inside the 20 will be critical. Winning the turnover battle and special teams will be huge as well.
Projecting 2023 Outlook
With a stingy defense and physical running game, Penn State fits the profile of a Big Ten title contender. If Allar stabilizes the passing attack and the defense tightens up against the pass, this team should improve upon its 2022 rankings.
Penn State’s offensive and defensive outlook aligns with the model needed to seriously challenge elite foes like Ohio State and Michigan. Incremental improvements could make the difference against top-flight competition.
Barring injuries, the 2023 Nittany Lions appear primed to contend based on last season’s defensive dominance and offensive balance. The pieces are in place for a special season if new starters solidify question marks.
Key Factors for Championship Run
For Penn State to win its first Big Ten title since 2016, improved passing production and pass defense are musts. So are better red zone efficiency and winning turnover margin.
With marginal gains in those key areas, Penn State’s stats and rankings could resemble a championship-caliber squad. The potential is there if new starters stabilize concerns and veterans take their game to another level.
The foundation built in 2022 has Penn State on the doorstep of returning to the top of the Big Ten. Their statistical profile suggests they can get over the hump, provided new faces mesh and returners progress as expected.
Offensive Playmakers To Watch For Penn State In 2023
With a new starting quarterback and loaded skill positions, Penn State’s offense could take flight in 2023. Several explosive offensive playmakers are poised to make noise this upcoming season.
Quarterback Drew Allar
Stepping in for two-year starter Sean Clifford, former five-star recruit Drew Allar carries massive expectations. The strong-armed sophomore looks the part at 6’5″ and 235 pounds. If Allar develops quickly, he could unlock the Nittany Lions’ offensive potential.
Allar possesses the big arm to attack downfield and fit throws into tight windows. His mobility also allows him to evade pressure and extend plays. Handling blitzes and making good decisions will be key areas to watch for the young quarterback.
Running Back Nick Singleton
Fresh off one of the best freshman seasons by a Penn State running back, Nick Singleton seems primed for stardom. His home-run hitting ability, both as a runner and receiver, adds an explosive element to the offense.
Singleton averaged 6.3 yards per carry last season while racking up 941 yards and 10 touchdowns. Another year stronger and with a full offseason as the lead back, Singleton could emerge as one of the Big Ten’s top rushers in 2023.
Wide Receiver Parker Washington
The top returning pass catcher, Parker Washington earned honorable mention All-Big Ten honors last season. His quickness and precision route running allows him to get open consistently. Washington has sure hands and sticky fingers too.
With a young quarterback likely leaning on him, Washington seems poised to finish his Penn State career on a high note. He could flirt with the 100-catch plateau as Allar’s security blanket.
Tight End Theo Johnson
A former top-ranked tight end recruit, Theo Johnson is ready for his long-awaited breakout. The 6’6″, 255-pound athlete has an enormous catch radius and polished receiving skills.
Johnson finally earned a starting role last season, catching 24 passes for 310 yards. With another year of development, his production could explode in 2023. Johnson is a matchup nightmare for defenses.
Wide Receiver KeAndre Lambert-Smith
While not as consistent as Washington, KeAndre Lambert-Smith brings an explosive element to the receiving corps. His big-play ability shined last season, as he led Penn State with 15.1 yards per catch.
Lambert-Smith has game-breaking speed and is dangerous after the catch. If he can improve his hands and route running, he could become a lethal deep threat for Allar to target.
Loaded with exciting skill players, Penn State has the firepower to field an elite offense. If these talented playmakers reach their potential and Allar stabilizes the quarterback spot, watch out for the Nittany Lions in 2023.
Questions On Defense Must Be Answered For Penn State Title Hopes
While loaded with talent on offense, Penn State’s championship aspirations could hinge on addressing key questions on defense. From the pass rush to the secondary to linebacker depth, the Nittany Lions have concerns to shore up on that side of the ball.
Who Will Rush The Passer?
Penn State loses their top two pass rushers from last season and lacks proven options to replace that production. Arnold Ebiketie and Jesse Luketa combined for 15 sacks and 24 tackles for loss in 2022.
The defensive end tandem of Adisa Isaac and Smith Vilbert will be counted on to disrupt quarterbacks more consistently. But behind them, the depth is uncertain. Developing a fierce pass rush is crucial in today’s offensive-minded Big Ten.
Can The Secondary Bounce Back?
Injuries and inconsistency plagued Penn State’s secondary last season. They ranked 82nd nationally defending the pass, allowing 8 touchdown passes of over 30 yards.
With Joey Porter Jr. off to the NFL, the cornerback spot opposite Kalen King is a question mark. Safeties Ji’Ayir Brown and Keaton Ellis must also perform better than last year. This secondary needs to jell for the defense to return to elite form.
Who Steps Up At Linebacker?
While All-American Curtis Jacobs anchors the linebacker corps, both starting spots next to him need filling. Ellis Brooks and Brandon Smith were three-year starters who depart, leaving holes in the heart of the defense.
Curtis Jacobs will lead the linebacker group in 2023. But who claims the other starting roles? Kobe King, Tyler Elsdon and Jamari Buddin will compete this spring. Developing depth here is also critical.
Can They Stop The Run?
One area that must improve is the run defense. Penn State allowed 4.3 yards per carry last season, ranking just 68th nationally. Ohio State and Michigan gashed them on the ground.
New defensive line coach John Scott Jr. inherits a talented but underachieving group up front. Hakeem Beamon, Coziah Izzard and Zane Durant must be more consistent holding their gaps and clogging running lanes in 2023.
Improving Takeaways
Without star safety Jaquan Brisker, Penn State’s takeaways dropped last season. They ranked 95th nationally with just 17 turnovers gained in 2022.
For this defense to return to elite status, they must force more game-changing turnovers. Their opportunistic secondary play from 2020-21 vanished last season. Reviving that would be game-changing.
With so many integral starters departing, how quickly Penn State reloads on defense will determine whether they can contend for a Big Ten title. Developing a fierce pass rush and shoring up the secondary are essential.
Impact Of New OC Kirk Ciarrocca On Penn State’s Offense
A key storyline for Penn State heading into 2023 will be the influence of new offensive coordinator Kirk Ciarrocca. He takes over play-calling duties this season, returning to Penn State after a stint at Minnesota.
Previous Success at Penn State
While new to the OC role, Ciarrocca is no stranger to Happy Valley. He previously served as Penn State’s offensive coordinator in 2020 under James Franklin.
That season, the Nittany Lions ranked in the top 35 nationally in both scoring and total offense. Ciarrocca brings familiarity with the personnel and Franklin’s offensive philosophies.
Emphasis on Physical Run Game
At Minnesota, Ciarrocca orchestrated a power run game centered around behemoth back Mohamed Ibrahim. He loves calling downhill power runs between the tackles.
With backs like Keyvone Lee and Nick Singleton, expect Ciarrocca to build his offense around a physical rushing attack. The big front and tight ends will be blocked aggressively to pave lanes for the talented backs.
QB Development Skills
Ciarrocca also earned praise for developing quarterbacks, including Minnesota’s Tanner Morgan. That bodes well for new starter Drew Allar.
Allar has all the tools, but needs refinement with his decision making and pocket presence. Ciarrocca could help the young quarterback grow into his immense potential in 2023.
Balanced Scheme
While run-heavy, Ciarrocca also mixes in creative play-action shots downfield. His offenses tend to be methodically aggressive, probing defenses vertically after lulling them to sleep against the run.
At Minnesota, he opened up space for big-armed but inconsistent quarterback Morgan to attack downfield. That balanced approach could really aid Allar’s development.
Familiarity Breeds Optimism
Ciarrocca’s familiarity with Franklin’s program and success in his first stint at Penn State breeds optimism. His proven development of quarterbacks also provides hope for unlocking Allar’s potential.
If he can build a rugged, efficient offense centered on the run game, that would enable the young QB to thrive. The pieces are in place for Ciarrocca to put his stamp on a productive, balanced unit.
With the architect of their 2020 offensive resurgence returning, Penn State appears poised to make strides on that side of the ball under Ciarrocca’s guidance.
Comparison To 2022 Schedule Reveals Opportunities For Improvement
By comparing Penn State’s 2023 slate to last season’s schedule, some intriguing differences emerge. The key contrasts provide motivation and reveal potential areas for improvement this upcoming campaign.
Chance for Revenge vs. Michigan
After losing 41-17 to Michigan last season, Penn State will be hungry for payback when the Wolverines visit Happy Valley on October 7th. The Nittany Lions should benefit from catching Michigan at home rather than Ann Arbor.
With the painful memories of last year’s blowout loss in mind, expect James Franklin’s squad to bring maximum intensity for this shot at vengeance against a key Big Ten foe.
No Ohio State Hangover Spot
A possible pitfall of Penn State’s 2022 schedule was having to face Maryland the week after their crushing defeat at Ohio State. The letdown was apparent as the Terrapins upset them.
This year, the Nittany Lions face Rutgers after the Buckeyes. While still a rivalry game, there’s less chance of a mental hangover against the rebuilding Scarlet Knights.
Tougher Start
Beginning with a conference road game at Northwestern, Penn State faces a much tougher start than last season’s warm-up slate. Purdue and Auburn dominated the Nittany Lions in weeks one and two of 2022.
Facing a gritty Wildcats team out of the gates will provide an intense early test. How Penn State begins against Northwestern could set the tone for their season.
Easier Finish?
Despite the challenging start, Penn State’s back half looks more manageable on paper than 2022. They closed last year with a brutal November gauntlet.
Games against Maryland and Rutgers provide potential windows to rest players late before the Big Ten title game. The finish last season offered no such breathing room.
bye Week Before Ohio State
One scheduling break this year is Penn State’s bye before their showdown with Ohio State. Last year’s whiteout had no extra prep time.
The late bye provides extra rest and planning before facing the Buckeyes. That could give the Nittany Lions an edge heading into a potential decisive matchup.
While retaining marquee games, Penn State’s schedule alignment sets up favorably for improvement over last season’s disappointments. The path to a Big Ten championship appears less daunting this time around.
Here is a 1000+ word final analysis and prediction on Penn State’s potential for a Big Ten title run in 2023:
Final Analysis And Prediction On Penn State’s Big Ten Title Odds
After thoroughly breaking down Penn State’s 2023 schedule, matchups, and roster, what’s the final verdict on their championship chances? Let’s analyze the key factors and predict whether James Franklin’s Nittany Lions can finally break through.
Reasons For Optimism
There are several causes for optimism around Penn State’s title hopes. The schedule sets up favorably, with a late bye before Ohio State. Home games against Michigan and Iowa are advantageous.
The Nittany Lions return one of the most talented rosters in the Big Ten. Fresh faces like Drew Allar and Nick Singleton could thrive right away. The defense is stacked with future NFL talent.
Michigan and Ohio State have questions marks to address, so the gap could close slightly. With solid quarterback play, Penn State has the pieces in place to make a serious push.
Grounds for Concern
On the flip side, reasonable doubts linger. Until proven otherwise, Allar remains a question mark at quarterback. The passing game and secondary are shaky.
Beating Ohio State on the road remains an immense challenge. The schedule also contains tricky trips to Michigan State, Indiana and Rutgers where focus will be tested.
Ultimately, the chasm between Penn State and Ohio State/Michigan remains substantial. Franklin’s Lions have struggled mightily in marquee matchups.
Final Prediction
After weighing all factors, I expect Penn State to show improvement but ultimately fall just short of a Big Ten title. I foresee a 10-2 regular season, with losses at Ohio State and Michigan State.
That strong campaign will likely land them in the Rose Bowl. While the breakthrough conference championship still eludes them, 2023 will mark a clear step forward for Franklin’s program.
The future remains bright for Penn State. But this year, Allar experiences enough growing pains and the defense has just enough vulnerability for Ohio State and Michigan to maintain control atop the Big Ten.
Barring a shocking upset of the Buckeyes, the Nittany Lions’ wait for that elusive championship continues. But progress will be made toward closing the gap with their archnemesis.